SWM
Swarm · · gru_s9
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3142
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0562
actual -0.1438
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.086954 | -4.38% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.087057 | -4.15% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.087612 | -4.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.08797 | -4.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.089294 | -4.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.089168 | -4.75% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.090228 | -5.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.084628 | -4.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.085706 | -4.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.098039 | -5.38% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.095455 | -5.47% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.095694 | -4.53% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.095351 | -4.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.094368 | -4.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.09431 | -4.75% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.092505 | -4.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.094765 | -3.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.081654 | -3.33% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.0897 | -3.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.087335 | -3.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.089893 | -4.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.091093 | -4.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.103417 | -4.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.120436 | -4.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.117534 | -4.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.147966 | -6.46% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.121621 | -4.91% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.100845 | -4.34% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.099397 | -4.43% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.099054 | -4.65% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.090431 | -4.62% | 0.090935 | -4.09% | 0.0396 | ✓ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.098878 | -3.85% | 0.090825 | -11.68% | 0.1447 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.106602 | -5.76% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.1071 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.112139 | -5.69% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1827 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.112616 | -5.84% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.1552 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.118708 | -8.20% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.3014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.128343 | -8.61% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.3684 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.118772 | -8.51% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3750 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.143658 | -7.75% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.5115 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.143139 | -8.60% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.4020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.167288 | -9.84% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.5612 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.175157 | -10.68% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.6387 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.165355 | -11.06% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.5823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.127129 | -7.00% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.3042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.127283 | -7.21% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.2917 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.110734 | -5.75% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.1905 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.098864 | -3.94% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.075305 | -2.18% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.0433 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.074131 | -1.99% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.1429 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.072523 | -1.05% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.1828 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.068268 | -2.64% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.2274 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.068075 | -2.44% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.2429 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.068255 | -1.73% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.3989 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.069909 | -2.14% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.5208 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.070444 | -1.70% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.4971 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.073119 | -2.02% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.6900 | ✗ | 1.00 |