PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s9

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +7d

assessed

162

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0907

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0157

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.580769	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.578689	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.600952	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.614867	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.612665	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.59685	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.632497	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.57719	-2.51%	0.59875	+1.13%	0.0200	✓	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.570352	-2.43%	0.59595	+1.95%	0.0242	✓	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.608311	-2.41%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0194	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.601763	-2.42%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0517	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.661095	-2.45%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0345	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.66281	-2.45%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0650	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.645388	-2.38%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0193	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.626642	-2.26%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0596	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.645189	-2.01%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0875	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.647561	-1.55%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0225	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.726745	-1.93%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1384	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.790939	-2.82%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1379	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.703491	-2.05%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0250	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.729886	-2.29%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0887	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.689001	-1.85%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0551	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.700001	-2.36%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0597	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.668452	-1.71%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0264	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.657537	-1.96%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1074	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.643969	-1.85%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2216	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.612478	-0.84%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1573	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.649426	-1.83%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1374	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.612183	-1.07%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1340	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.573853	-1.04%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2278	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.574733	-0.63%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.1855	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.569413	-0.77%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.1870	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.510084	-0.48%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2300	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.534587	-0.72%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1239	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.533628	-0.90%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.1940	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.507903	-1.44%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1468	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.507457	-1.54%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0830	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.480891	-1.28%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1321	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.490672	-1.22%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1161	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.470115	-0.95%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0649	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.475596	-1.06%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1046	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.482611	-1.52%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.0921	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.480679	-2.36%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0704	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.468802	-1.98%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1054	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.434497	-0.82%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1268	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.443691	-1.07%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1168	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.423735	+0.17%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1305	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.416637	+0.30%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1557	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.413313	+0.39%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1818	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.412097	+0.83%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.2005	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.406274	+0.04%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1596	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.414537	+0.15%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0515	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.414336	+0.43%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0775	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.418044	+0.24%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0018	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.426693	+0.39%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0324	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.422305	+0.52%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0317	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.420936	+1.19%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0331	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.412348	+0.97%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0090	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.42291	+0.68%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0173	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.448763	+0.28%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0828	✗	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.408961	+0.56%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0198	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.394953	+0.60%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0702	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.423138	+0.60%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0061	✗	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.397503	+0.03%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0365	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.394933	-0.70%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0184	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.3818	-1.57%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0830	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.363467	-1.37%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1891	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.361455	-1.66%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0992	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.370622	-1.51%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0367	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.364528	-1.27%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1186	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.373727	-1.14%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0498	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.374794	-1.08%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0499	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.38708	-1.17%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0007	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.396072	-1.17%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0738	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.403775	-1.25%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0878	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.388557	-1.09%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0259	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.388716	-1.14%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0473	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.390066	-1.24%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0289	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.389516	-1.24%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0233	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.395915	-1.37%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0089	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.408101	-1.62%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0200	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.431575	-1.96%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0593	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.43577	-2.07%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1112	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.426872	-2.00%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0894	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.441891	-2.07%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1109	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.425512	-2.01%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0772	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.417854	-2.07%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0404	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.393472	-1.25%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0531	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.375436	-0.70%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1634	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.382899	-0.78%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1541	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.382634	-0.73%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1327	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.37761	-0.64%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1790	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.363832	-0.09%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1835	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.3421	+0.23%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2295	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.324937	+0.18%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2078	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.350101	+0.06%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0750	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366557	+0.00%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0529	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394024	-0.20%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0227	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.392863	-0.19%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0376	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.387032	-0.06%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0659	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.384188	+0.02%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1239	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.389703	-0.27%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1960	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.414703	-0.24%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1733	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.415985	-0.27%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1302	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.413019	-0.29%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0443	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.391875	-0.29%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0026	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.397948	-0.39%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0349	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.412353	-0.52%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0757	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.403179	-0.60%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0260	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.388863	-0.55%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0663	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.417529	-0.61%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0032	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.421543	-0.67%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0227	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.413377	-0.71%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0555	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.412866	-0.75%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0393	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.414017	-0.83%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0119	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.449757	-1.11%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1088	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.453166	-1.46%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1535	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.45364	-1.35%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0815	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.422935	-1.14%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0002	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.42943	-1.19%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0333	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.452467	-1.40%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0832	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.492965	-1.81%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1689	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.529831	-2.16%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1586	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.538677	-2.24%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1638	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.545302	-2.36%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1770	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.550807	-2.37%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2581	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.585354	-2.93%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3008	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.539164	-2.31%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1584	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.544565	-2.36%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0789	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.569691	-2.58%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0493	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.567494	-2.58%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0284	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.576677	-2.74%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0319	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.597241	-3.17%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0569	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.539679	-2.51%	0.603	+8.92%	0.1114	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.570348	-2.74%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0406	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.566427	-2.69%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0254	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.585222	-2.90%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0076	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.615611	-3.22%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0605	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.623416	-3.21%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0599	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.624813	-3.40%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0197	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.596384	-2.77%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0729	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.593311	-2.67%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0045	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.588755	-2.77%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0273	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.61117	-3.25%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0492	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.604304	-3.40%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1564	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.597565	-3.32%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.2109	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.589921	-3.14%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2171	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.60564	-3.31%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.1087	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.616616	-3.50%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1374	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.588675	-3.29%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1570	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.596316	-3.41%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1376	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.597002	-3.29%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0919	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.629546	-3.50%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0199	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.618105	-3.22%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.637461	-3.44%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0359	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.611481	-3.19%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0857	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.560628	-2.48%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0946	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.615901	-2.96%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.698346	-3.30%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1178	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.737103	-3.39%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1033	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.691617	-2.84%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0328	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.721924	-2.48%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0448	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.683166	-2.74%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0554	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.747678	-2.51%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2155	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.78266	-2.22%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1492	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.883973	-2.95%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1421	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.953042	-5.00%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1903	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.827015	-4.53%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1358	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.619635	-1.99%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1646	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.