PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s9

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +30d

assessed

139

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1940

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0445

actual +0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.553049	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.551141	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.571774	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.585032	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.583404	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.568391	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.602997	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.551723	-6.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.544414	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.582527	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.575524	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.632412	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.633938	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.616982	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.599221	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.61974	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.623491	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.699041	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.761626	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.674541	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.700337	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.663905	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.674849	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.646757	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.639374	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.630538	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.600076	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.638032	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.601167	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.564844	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.566764	-2.01%	0.59875	+3.52%	0.0682	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.56596	-1.38%	0.59595	+3.85%	0.0707	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.502096	-2.04%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.1983	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.525114	-2.48%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.1847	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.522616	-2.95%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.1829	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.491252	-4.67%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.1920	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.490175	-4.89%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2541	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.465067	-4.53%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2083	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.478173	-3.74%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1841	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.456635	-3.79%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2804	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.462024	-3.89%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2668	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.469521	-4.19%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3367	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.468453	-4.84%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3429	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.460992	-3.61%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3402	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.428738	-2.14%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3888	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.438592	-2.21%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3895	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.419807	-0.75%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4252	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.413664	-0.42%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5553	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.410614	-0.26%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6542	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.412216	+0.86%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5395	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.401615	-1.10%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5955	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.409928	-0.96%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5123	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.411737	-0.20%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5387	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.414719	-0.56%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4728	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.424322	-0.17%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4401	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.421781	+0.40%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4197	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.427856	+2.85%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3525	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.418033	+2.36%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4413	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.428403	+1.99%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3467	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.455636	+1.82%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2244	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.414027	+1.80%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.3117	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.398699	+1.55%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3395	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.42809	+1.78%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1736	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.394289	-0.78%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.3015	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.387393	-2.59%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3115	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.369523	-4.74%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3218	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.352012	-4.47%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3658	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.348553	-5.17%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3185	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.358144	-4.82%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.3047	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.353345	-4.29%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2727	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.363109	-3.95%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2642	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.364256	-3.86%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2758	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.375811	-4.04%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2411	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.384799	-3.98%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1794	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.391883	-4.16%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0739	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.377209	-3.98%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1321	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.377083	-4.10%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0848	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.377782	-4.35%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0553	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.377096	-4.39%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0386	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.38266	-4.67%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0086	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.393229	-5.20%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0184	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.414645	-5.81%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0520	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.418021	-6.06%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0634	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.410203	-5.83%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0309	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.425203	-5.77%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0385	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.411251	-5.30%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0014	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.405256	-5.03%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0079	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.382561	-3.99%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0441	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.367832	-2.72%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.1052	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.375268	-2.76%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1435	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.37661	-2.29%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0467	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.374164	-1.55%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0196	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.361577	-0.71%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1180	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.340692	-0.18%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1346	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.323121	-0.38%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.1977	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.347256	-0.76%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1107	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.363471	-0.84%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0147	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.388731	-1.54%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0523	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.387728	-1.49%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0273	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.382907	-1.12%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0300	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.380677	-0.89%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0011	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.384245	-1.66%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0189	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.409329	-1.53%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0434	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.4107	-1.53%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0250	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.407814	-1.54%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0001	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.387107	-1.50%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0096	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.393221	-1.57%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0082	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.407535	-1.68%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0341	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.398988	-1.63%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0134	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.384146	-1.75%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0426	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.409696	-2.48%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0112	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.413339	-2.61%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0598	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.405154	-2.69%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0901	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.404563	-2.75%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0659	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.405218	-2.94%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0909	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.439831	-3.29%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0181	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.443173	-3.64%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0442	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.442007	-3.88%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1093	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.411752	-3.75%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.0921	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.417611	-3.91%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.0850	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.437905	-4.58%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1300	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.473534	-5.68%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2184	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.506223	-6.52%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3262	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.514509	-6.62%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4058	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.520143	-6.87%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4708	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.52578	-6.80%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4054	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.558503	-7.38%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4194	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.514588	-6.76%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2646	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.519107	-6.93%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2753	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.542564	-7.21%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3364	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.539481	-7.39%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3394	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.547908	-7.59%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3367	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.567051	-8.07%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3107	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.513112	-7.31%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2073	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.540581	-7.81%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.2732	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.536375	-7.86%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3149	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.55292	-8.26%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3232	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.580381	-8.76%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3367	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.586757	-8.90%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.3778	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.588241	-9.05%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4154	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.562542	-8.29%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.2875	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.559519	-8.22%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2670	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.556008	-8.17%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2489	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.577293	-8.61%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2386	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.569903	-8.90%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1512	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.563555	-8.82%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0705	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.556654	-8.60%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0483	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.57155	-8.76%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0791	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.581601	-8.98%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.0932	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.555053	-8.81%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.562804	-8.84%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0323	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.563338	-8.74%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0908	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.593925	-8.96%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0888	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.58201	-8.88%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1218	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.603478	-8.59%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.1111	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.577381	-8.58%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1761	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.525653	-8.57%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3368	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.579437	-8.71%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1286	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.659534	-8.68%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.699876	-8.27%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.658851	-7.44%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0618	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.693729	-6.29%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0728	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.651232	-7.28%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1671	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.716226	-6.61%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0215	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.75456	-5.73%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0331	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.856044	-6.01%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0986	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.919616	-8.33%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1765	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.801753	-7.45%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.59728	-5.52%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3491	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.