PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s9

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0380

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0054

actual +0.0003

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.593918	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.591609	-0.73%	0.59875	+0.47%	0.0104	✗	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.614627	-0.79%	0.59595	-3.80%	0.0396	✓	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.628773	-0.85%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0237	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.626471	-0.91%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0136	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.609605	-0.85%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0313	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.646542	-1.05%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0494	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.58772	-0.73%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1110	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.580518	-0.69%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0152	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.619137	-0.68%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0459	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.612478	-0.68%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0074	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.672941	-0.70%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0755	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.67464	-0.71%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0005	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.656795	-0.65%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0315	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.637276	-0.60%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0311	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.654547	-0.59%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0104	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.655148	-0.40%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0195	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.736314	-0.64%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1115	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.803026	-1.33%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0759	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.713816	-0.62%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1219	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.740965	-0.81%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0324	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.697516	-0.64%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0704	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.709655	-1.02%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0179	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.675441	-0.69%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0601	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.663947	-1.00%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0231	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.648649	-1.14%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0396	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.614797	-0.46%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0647	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.653279	-1.25%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0581	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.614545	-0.69%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0755	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.575858	-0.70%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0719	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.575741	-0.46%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0194	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.569618	-0.74%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0182	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.510792	-0.34%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0811	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.535849	-0.48%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0440	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.535574	-0.54%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0030	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.512199	-0.60%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0209	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.512076	-0.64%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0050	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.484432	-0.56%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0590	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.493477	-0.66%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0004	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.472494	-0.44%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0431	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.478432	-0.47%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0057	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.486312	-0.76%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0119	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.485483	-1.38%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0062	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.471956	-1.32%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0509	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.435484	-0.60%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0944	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.444822	-0.82%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0126	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.422528	-0.11%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0656	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.415031	-0.09%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0166	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.411472	-0.06%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0088	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.408863	+0.04%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0144	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.40559	-0.13%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0064	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.413554	-0.08%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0179	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.412536	-0.00%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0071	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.416871	-0.04%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0138	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.425083	+0.01%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0171	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.42036	+0.06%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0097	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.416755	+0.18%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0170	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.40906	+0.16%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0123	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.420265	+0.05%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0305	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.446401	-0.25%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0594	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.406791	+0.02%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0919	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.39301	+0.10%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0324	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.420739	+0.03%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0663	✗	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.397417	+0.00%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0500	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.396813	-0.22%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0045	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.386053	-0.48%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0253	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.367159	-0.36%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0547	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.365912	-0.45%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0048	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.374766	-0.41%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0191	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.367946	-0.34%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0224	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.376835	-0.32%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0199	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.377762	-0.30%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0007	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.390344	-0.33%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0295	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.399348	-0.35%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0183	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.407337	-0.38%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0134	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.391752	-0.28%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0430	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.392088	-0.28%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0019	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.393737	-0.31%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0031	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.393286	-0.28%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0054	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.400135	-0.32%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0165	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.413165	-0.39%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0312	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.437818	-0.54%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0539	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.442422	-0.58%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0076	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.433098	-0.57%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0273	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.448317	-0.65%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0228	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.430985	-0.75%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0445	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.422808	-0.91%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0266	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.396831	-0.41%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0723	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.377337	-0.20%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0583	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.384859	-0.27%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0203	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.384191	-0.33%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0039	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.37852	-0.40%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0207	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.363807	-0.09%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0468	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.34155	+0.07%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0654	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.32459	+0.07%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0470	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.349964	+0.02%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0775	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366469	-0.02%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0459	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394438	-0.09%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0765	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.393288	-0.08%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0034	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.387185	-0.02%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0199	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.384172	+0.02%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0090	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.390409	-0.09%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0278	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.415307	-0.09%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0556	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.416675	-0.10%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0022	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.413829	-0.09%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0092	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.392758	-0.06%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0503	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.399002	-0.12%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0181	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.413662	-0.20%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0317	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.404604	-0.25%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0262	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.39035	-0.17%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0372	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.41956	-0.13%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0721	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.423806	-0.14%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0106	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.415799	-0.13%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0175	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.415382	-0.15%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0020	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.416742	-0.18%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0058	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.453296	-0.33%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0798	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.457205	-0.59%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0063	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.457931	-0.42%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0050	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.42685	-0.22%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0746	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.433529	-0.25%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0137	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.457622	-0.28%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0506	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.500204	-0.37%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0873	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.539036	-0.46%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0731	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.54816	-0.52%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0111	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.555464	-0.54%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0095	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.560969	-0.56%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0033	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.597026	-0.99%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0561	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.549124	-0.50%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0948	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.555015	-0.49%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0047	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.58115	-0.62%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0407	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.579214	-0.56%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0093	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.588922	-0.67%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0117	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.610672	-0.99%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0305	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.550517	-0.56%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1137	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.582172	-0.72%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0558	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.578071	-0.69%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0149	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.598241	-0.74%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0243	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.630264	-0.92%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0442	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.637089	-1.09%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0083	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.6382	-1.33%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0097	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.608443	-0.81%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0786	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.604779	-0.79%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0156	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.600831	-0.77%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0345	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.626138	-0.88%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0012	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.620295	-0.84%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0400	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.613153	-0.80%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0219	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.604401	-0.76%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0187	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.620831	-0.89%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0178	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.632832	-0.97%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.603804	-0.80%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0768	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.612269	-0.83%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0127	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.612421	-0.79%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.646481	-0.91%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0504	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.633365	-0.84%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0138	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.65381	-0.97%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.626481	-0.81%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0515	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.571869	-0.53%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0902	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.630492	-0.66%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0900	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.716096	-0.85%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1147	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.754978	-1.05%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.706354	-0.77%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0893	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.734569	-0.77%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.697399	-0.71%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0374	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.761336	-0.73%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0656	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.794491	-0.74%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0200	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.897851	-1.42%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1091	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.9747	-2.84%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0868	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.843423	-2.64%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1677	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.628575	-0.57%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3185	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.