NIULAI

? · · gru_s9

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +7d

assessed

48

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

72.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1805

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0253

actual -0.0428

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.061825	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.061803	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057664	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058523	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059353	-0.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.06471	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.067005	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069278	-0.51%	0.06254	-10.18%	0.1232	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.073881	-1.00%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1644	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071804	-0.35%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.2161	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.078342	-1.17%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2593	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079282	-0.99%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2616	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.074204	+0.02%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.1143	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.073465	+0.50%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0939	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.072229	+0.76%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0067	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.07881	-0.34%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0153	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076803	+0.00%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0015	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.081857	-0.60%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0119	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079916	-0.24%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0311	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.086831	-0.82%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1263	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.097957	-1.32%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2445	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.103331	-1.43%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3612	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.103579	-1.48%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2994	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.113742	-1.82%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4279	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.102322	-1.64%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2501	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.103932	-1.80%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2656	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.102286	-1.94%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1623	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.098471	-2.15%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0005	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.104923	-2.32%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0124	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.109615	-2.41%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0023	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.104792	-2.76%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1491	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.097576	-3.48%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0056	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.104159	-3.48%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0392	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.115516	-3.43%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1580	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.101653	-4.34%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1101	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.095628	-4.90%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0135	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.1138	-4.94%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1444	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.116746	-4.50%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1823	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.111416	-4.85%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1525	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.127701	-5.35%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2185	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.119121	-5.28%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.114024	-6.06%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0680	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.075735	-3.63%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.3111	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.097987	-4.05%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2374	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.078893	-3.38%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4496	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.088135	-3.17%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3291	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.113679	-5.71%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.2040	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.081924	-2.61%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4601	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.092855	-3.59%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3278	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.07584	-2.54%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.080664	-3.23%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2224	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.096908	-5.80%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1780	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.093916	-7.45%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.055828	+1.62%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7497	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.056573	+0.92%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3734	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.