NIULAI
? · · gru_s9
- token id
- #227
- symbol
- NIULAI
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +30d
assessed
25
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
92.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3366
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0830
actual -0.2998
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06254 | 0.06003 | -4.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0625 | 0.060029 | -3.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.05795 | 0.05608 | -3.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.058765 | 0.056853 | -3.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.059455 | 0.057596 | -3.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.065015 | 0.062682 | -3.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.06738 | 0.064729 | -3.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.06963 | 0.066853 | -3.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.070985 | -4.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07206 | 0.06898 | -4.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07927 | 0.074992 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.080075 | 0.075906 | -5.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07419 | 0.070858 | -4.49% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.070199 | -3.97% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.071685 | 0.068812 | -4.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.079075 | 0.075582 | -4.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0768 | 0.073705 | -4.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.08235 | 0.079088 | -3.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.08011 | 0.07712 | -3.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.08755 | 0.084188 | -3.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.09927 | 0.095216 | -4.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.104825 | 0.100411 | -4.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.10513 | 0.100641 | -4.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.115845 | 0.110359 | -4.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.10403 | 0.099321 | -4.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.10584 | 0.100784 | -4.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.104305 | 0.099064 | -5.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10064 | 0.09521 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10741 | 0.101381 | -5.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.112325 | 0.105962 | -5.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10777 | 0.101037 | -6.25% | 0.06254 | -41.97% | 0.4187 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.10109 | 0.093239 | -7.77% | 0.0625 | -38.17% | 0.4318 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.107915 | 0.099485 | -7.81% | 0.05795 | -46.30% | 0.5511 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11962 | 0.110251 | -7.83% | 0.058765 | -50.87% | 0.6491 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.10627 | 0.095873 | -9.78% | 0.059455 | -44.05% | 0.5416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.10055 | 0.089791 | -10.70% | 0.065015 | -35.34% | 0.3908 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.11971 | 0.106367 | -11.15% | 0.06738 | -43.71% | 0.5395 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.12225 | 0.109862 | -10.13% | 0.06963 | -43.04% | 0.4985 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.11709 | 0.104319 | -10.91% | 0.07463 | -36.26% | 0.4138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.134925 | 0.119262 | -11.61% | 0.07206 | -46.59% | 0.5602 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.125765 | 0.111573 | -11.28% | 0.07927 | -36.97% | 0.4223 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.12138 | 0.106655 | -12.13% | 0.080075 | -34.03% | 0.3666 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.078585 | 0.072185 | -8.14% | 0.07419 | -5.59% | 0.0256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.102125 | 0.092887 | -9.05% | 0.0731 | -28.42% | 0.2801 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.08165 | 0.075367 | -7.70% | 0.071685 | -12.20% | 0.1016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.09102 | 0.084318 | -7.36% | 0.079075 | -13.12% | 0.1269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12056 | 0.107435 | -10.89% | 0.0768 | -36.30% | 0.4072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.08412 | 0.078963 | -6.13% | 0.08235 | -2.10% | 0.0403 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.09631 | 0.089491 | -7.08% | 0.08011 | -16.82% | 0.1526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.073152 | -6.00% | 0.08755 | +12.50% | 0.0907 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.08336 | 0.077762 | -6.72% | 0.09927 | +19.09% | 0.1523 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.10287 | 0.093343 | -9.26% | 0.104825 | +1.90% | 0.0544 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.10148 | 0.091574 | -9.76% | 0.10513 | +3.60% | 0.0640 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.05494 | 0.057305 | +4.30% | 0.115845 | +110.86% | 0.6392 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.05606 | 0.058398 | +4.17% | 0.10403 | +85.57% | 0.4957 | ✓ | 1.00 |