NIULAI

? · · gru_s9

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

59.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0927

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0060

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.062479	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.062429	-0.11%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0063	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.058011	+0.11%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0541	✓	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058843	+0.13%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0121	✗	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059576	+0.20%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0255	✗	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.065097	+0.13%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0884	✗	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.06745	+0.10%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0253	✗	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069704	+0.11%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0442	✗	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.074585	-0.06%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0412	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.072161	+0.14%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0093	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.079172	-0.12%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0613	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079992	-0.10%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0220	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.074345	+0.21%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0680	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.073323	+0.30%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0028	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071947	+0.37%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0436	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.07913	+0.07%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0624	✗	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076921	+0.16%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0309	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.082344	-0.01%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0580	✓	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.080188	+0.10%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0008	✓	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.087511	-0.04%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0921	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.099079	-0.19%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1185	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.104576	-0.24%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0723	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.104862	-0.25%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0009	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.115357	-0.42%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0957	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.103719	-0.30%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1271	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.105483	-0.34%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0146	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103936	-0.35%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0129	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.10026	-0.38%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0443	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.106947	-0.43%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0609	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.111786	-0.48%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0120	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.107203	-0.53%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0527	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100476	-0.61%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0250	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.107237	-0.63%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0577	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.118755	-0.72%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.1021	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105402	-0.82%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0689	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.099693	-0.85%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0612	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118404	-1.09%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1708	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.121007	-1.02%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0229	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.11585	-1.06%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0360	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.132717	-1.64%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1193	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.123587	-1.73%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0871	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.118505	-2.37%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0507	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.078098	-0.62%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4635	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.100929	-1.17%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2481	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.081159	-0.60%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2380	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.09039	-0.69%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0861	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.117652	-2.41%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2630	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083551	-0.68%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3647	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.094928	-1.44%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.1011	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.07726	-0.72%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1705	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082319	-1.25%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0550	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.099765	-3.02%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1647	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.097041	-4.37%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0468	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.05495	+0.02%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6207	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055878	-0.33%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0220	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.