MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s9

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

119

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

66.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2950

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1196

actual -0.1788

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000326736	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000341568	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000327445	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000380292	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000379298	-12.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000365267	-20.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000295998	-34.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000250813	-44.72%	0.0003449	-23.98%	0.3048	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000304305	-45.65%	0.0003632	-35.13%	0.1789	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000353204	-47.01%	0.00035745	-46.37%	0.0108	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000337181	-52.04%	0.0004181	-40.53%	0.2353	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000310107	+0.03%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000315522	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000317236	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000393615	-1.03%	–	pending	–	–	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000398356	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000394368	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000443683	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000486606	-1.34%	0.00031	-37.15%	0.1961	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000479801	-1.32%	0.000317	-34.80%	0.3171	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000463807	-1.30%	0.0003192	-32.07%	0.2583	✓	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000459357	-1.36%	0.0003977	-14.60%	0.1684	✓	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000492639	-1.73%	0.0004024	-19.73%	0.1878	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000529181	-2.42%	0.0003984	-26.54%	0.1698	✓	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000506088	-2.81%	0.000448	-13.96%	0.0023	✓	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000532458	-2.10%	0.0004932	-9.32%	0.0165	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000538496	-2.29%	0.0004862	-11.78%	0.0320	✗	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000499388	-1.93%	0.0004699	-7.72%	0.0374	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.00049063	-1.91%	0.0004657	-6.90%	0.0191	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000490197	-1.84%	0.0005013	+0.38%	0.0142	✓	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000536416	-2.47%	0.0005423	-1.40%	0.0656	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000529539	-2.30%	0.0005207	-3.93%	0.0181	✓	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000492276	-1.31%	0.0005439	+9.04%	0.0292	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000502314	-1.51%	0.0005511	+8.06%	0.0040	✓	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000495839	-1.13%	0.0005092	+1.54%	0.0719	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000513753	-1.50%	0.0005002	-4.10%	0.0123	✓	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000528075	-1.81%	0.0004994	-7.14%	0.0582	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000490507	+0.02%	0.00055	+12.15%	0.0216	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.00051225	-0.38%	0.000542	+5.41%	0.0365	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000532376	-0.29%	0.0004988	-6.57%	0.0587	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000491554	+1.18%	0.00051	+4.98%	0.1376	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000569406	-0.10%	0.0005015	-12.02%	0.1855	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000583278	-1.17%	0.0005216	-11.62%	0.0513	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000610129	-1.58%	0.0005378	-13.24%	0.0339	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000616815	-2.17%	0.0004904	-22.22%	0.0705	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000607094	-2.26%	0.0005142	-17.21%	0.0616	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000653751	-1.68%	0.0005339	-19.70%	0.0537	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000623032	-0.84%	0.0004858	-22.68%	0.0002	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000787237	-4.90%	0.00057	-31.14%	0.0943	✗	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000673397	-0.97%	0.0005902	-13.21%	0.1377	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000705569	-0.62%	0.0006199	-12.69%	0.2101	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000594827	+0.63%	0.0006305	+6.67%	0.1143	✗	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000649359	+0.21%	0.0006211	-4.15%	0.2568	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000590618	+0.00%	0.0006649	+12.58%	0.1667	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000684026	-0.84%	0.0006283	-8.92%	0.1058	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000739273	-2.16%	0.0008278	+9.56%	0.1824	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000772538	-2.21%	0.00068	-13.92%	0.2545	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000785469	-1.94%	0.00071	-11.36%	0.3331	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000801014	-2.32%	0.0005911	-27.91%	0.1992	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000674511	-0.81%	0.000648	-4.71%	0.4138	✗	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000644376	+0.10%	0.0005906	-8.25%	0.1612	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000689808	-0.03%	0.0006898	-0.03%	0.1484	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000738348	-0.22%	0.0007556	+2.11%	0.0182	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000702712	-1.03%	0.00079	+11.27%	0.1516	✗	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000811956	+0.24%	0.000801	-1.11%	0.0326	✓	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000891278	+0.14%	0.00082	-7.87%	0.1421	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001076	-1.30%	0.00068	-37.61%	0.4171	✓	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001371	-2.79%	0.0006437	-54.35%	0.7497	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001319	-3.71%	0.00069	-49.64%	0.5876	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001486	-4.15%	0.00074	-52.26%	0.6838	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001499	-4.50%	0.00071	-54.78%	0.7886	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001399	-4.81%	0.00081	-44.90%	0.5823	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001512	-5.51%	0.00089	-44.38%	0.5321	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001305	-9.34%	0.00109	-24.31%	0.2252	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001061	-20.83%	0.00141	+5.22%	0.3598	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001443	-18.00%	0.00137	-22.16%	0.0889	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.000871059	-38.22%	0.00155	+9.93%	0.6178	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.00111	-35.46%	0.00157	-8.72%	0.4852	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.001377	-32.82%	0.00147	-28.29%	0.2566	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.001637	-31.81%	0.0016	-33.33%	0.2376	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.001621	-35.15%	0.00144	-42.40%	0.1094	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.001317	-43.73%	0.00134	-42.74%	0.1298	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.001567	-42.38%	0.00176	-35.29%	0.1348	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.00182	-41.28%	0.00141	-54.52%	0.1014	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.002782	-32.31%	0.00172	-58.15%	0.3601	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.003106	-32.33%	0.00205	-55.34%	0.3447	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.003418	-31.92%	0.0024	-52.19%	0.3772	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.004959	-22.40%	0.0025	-60.88%	0.6872	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.004925	-25.71%	0.00234	-64.71%	0.5993	✓	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.002538	-47.99%	0.00272	-44.26%	0.0715	✓	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.002596	-49.30%	0.0031	-39.45%	0.1400	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.004838	-33.73%	0.00411	-43.70%	0.1702	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.007545	-20.16%	0.00459	-51.43%	0.5151	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.009425	-13.61%	0.00502	-53.99%	0.7429	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.012325	-10.16%	0.00639	-53.43%	0.7457	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.008669	-16.40%	0.00663	-36.07%	0.5143	✓	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.011924	-9.39%	0.00488	-62.92%	1.1160	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.015391	-8.27%	0.00512	-69.49%	1.2973	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.014685	-8.27%	0.0073	-54.40%	0.9840	✓	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.018086	-9.16%	0.00945	-52.54%	0.9203	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.018729	-9.30%	0.01091	-47.17%	0.7712	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.016506	-8.09%	0.01372	-23.61%	0.3656	✓	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.020528	-10.04%	0.01037	-54.56%	0.6700	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.02322	-12.18%	0.01316	-50.23%	0.3262	✓	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.020276	-11.38%	0.01678	-26.66%	0.0684	✓	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.018119	-10.48%	0.01601	-20.90%	0.0091	✓	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.018348	-12.04%	0.01991	-4.55%	0.1898	✗	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.014839	-10.06%	0.02065	+25.15%	0.4636	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.01209	-5.92%	0.01796	+39.77%	0.3777	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012047	-5.96%	0.02282	+78.14%	0.5392	✗	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.012461	-6.23%	0.02644	+98.95%	0.4866	✗	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.010668	-4.75%	0.02288	+104.29%	0.6243	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.014074	-9.37%	0.02024	+30.33%	0.3314	✗	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011304	-7.50%	0.02086	+70.70%	0.5715	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007757	-1.80%	0.0165	+108.86%	0.7419	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008712	-3.84%	0.01285	+41.83%	0.4398	✗	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009534	-4.37%	0.01281	+28.49%	0.3500	✗	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009658	-3.42%	0.01329	+32.90%	0.3421	✗	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008268	-1.58%	0.0112	+33.33%	0.3197	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007448	-0.96%	0.01553	+106.52%	0.7566	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006632	-2.75%	0.01222	+79.18%	0.6486	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.00745	-2.74%	0.0079	+3.13%	0.0763	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.010765	-3.71%	0.00906	-18.96%	0.1644	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013167	-4.03%	0.00997	-27.33%	0.2045	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.014883	-7.50%	0.01	-37.85%	0.2846	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.011923	-3.69%	0.0084	-32.15%	0.2564	✓	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010416	-3.01%	0.00752	-29.98%	0.2838	✓	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009555	-2.80%	0.00682	-30.62%	0.3004	✓	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010651	-3.09%	0.00766	-30.30%	0.3027	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011453	-3.60%	0.01118	-5.89%	0.0136	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009052	-3.60%	0.01372	+46.11%	0.3223	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.008821	-5.76%	0.01609	+71.90%	0.5148	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011114	-3.61%	0.01238	+7.37%	0.0761	✗	1.00