MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s9
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 402
Track record at +30d
assessed
92
of 134 predictions shown
direction hit
84.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7985
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.2401
actual -0.8731
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.000324 | 0.000258556 | -20.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003162 | 0.000252575 | -20.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.000300573 | -17.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000298755 | -16.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000343194 | -17.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000354431 | -18.68% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000357706 | -21.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000321213 | -29.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000305889 | -32.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000354625 | -36.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000438489 | -34.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000417029 | -40.68% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000303511 | -2.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.000308734 | -2.61% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000310336 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000377912 | -4.98% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000382467 | -4.95% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000377581 | -5.23% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000421836 | -5.84% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000458384 | -7.06% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.00045238 | -6.96% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000437658 | -6.86% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000432809 | -7.06% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000460335 | -8.17% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000489348 | -9.76% | – | pending | – | – | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000466824 | -10.35% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000488713 | -10.15% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000493214 | -10.50% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.00045455 | -10.73% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000449945 | -10.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000448919 | -10.11% | – | pending | – | – | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000487244 | -11.41% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000473155 | -12.70% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000450283 | -9.73% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000456515 | -10.49% | – | pending | – | – | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000453253 | -9.62% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000462361 | -11.36% | – | pending | – | – | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000474662 | -11.74% | – | pending | – | – | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000448317 | -8.58% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000458116 | -10.91% | – | pending | – | – | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000475166 | -11.00% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000450968 | -7.17% | – | pending | – | – | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000511028 | -10.35% | 0.00031 | -45.61% | 0.3545 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000498894 | -15.47% | 0.000317 | -46.29% | 0.2156 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000516633 | -16.66% | 0.0003192 | -48.51% | 0.1930 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000506233 | -19.71% | 0.0003977 | -36.92% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000497443 | -19.91% | 0.0004024 | -35.21% | 0.0088 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000550533 | -17.20% | 0.0003984 | -40.08% | 0.1837 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000531809 | -15.36% | 0.000448 | -28.70% | 0.0545 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000639268 | -22.78% | 0.0004932 | -40.42% | 0.0130 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000575745 | -15.33% | 0.0004862 | -28.50% | 0.0589 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000611043 | -13.94% | 0.0004699 | -33.82% | 0.1981 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000518622 | -12.26% | 0.0004657 | -21.21% | 0.0394 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000566024 | -12.65% | 0.0005013 | -22.64% | 0.1306 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000510375 | -13.58% | 0.0005423 | -8.18% | 0.1101 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.00058463 | -15.25% | 0.0005207 | -24.51% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000618398 | -18.16% | 0.0005439 | -28.02% | 0.1893 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000648049 | -17.97% | 0.0005511 | -30.24% | 0.1628 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000663593 | -17.15% | 0.0005092 | -36.43% | 0.0998 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000670043 | -18.29% | 0.0005002 | -39.00% | 0.2414 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000578059 | -14.99% | 0.0004994 | -26.56% | 0.3096 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000563261 | -12.50% | 0.00055 | -14.56% | 0.3904 | ✗ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000599542 | -13.11% | 0.000542 | -21.45% | 0.2166 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000637461 | -13.86% | 0.0004988 | -32.59% | 0.2438 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000611895 | -13.82% | 0.00051 | -28.17% | 0.3131 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000702955 | -13.22% | 0.0005015 | -38.09% | 0.2124 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000771 | -13.37% | 0.0005216 | -41.39% | 0.0614 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.000910766 | -16.44% | 0.0005378 | -50.66% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001162 | -17.60% | 0.0004904 | -65.22% | 0.2857 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001102 | -19.55% | 0.0005142 | -62.47% | 0.2258 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.00125 | -19.33% | 0.0005339 | -65.55% | 0.3126 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001264 | -19.50% | 0.0004858 | -69.06% | 0.2253 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.001186 | -19.30% | 0.00057 | -61.22% | 0.0958 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001282 | -19.89% | 0.0005902 | -63.11% | 0.3722 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001138 | -21.00% | 0.0006199 | -56.95% | 0.2233 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001015 | -24.29% | 0.0006305 | -52.95% | 0.1730 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001207 | -31.43% | 0.0006211 | -64.71% | 0.2692 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.000950647 | -32.58% | 0.0006649 | -52.84% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001091 | -36.60% | 0.0006283 | -63.47% | 0.0409 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001254 | -38.81% | 0.0008278 | -59.62% | 0.1469 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.001399 | -41.69% | 0.00068 | -71.67% | 0.0914 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.001455 | -41.82% | 0.00071 | -71.60% | 0.0504 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.001366 | -41.64% | 0.0005911 | -74.74% | 0.2625 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.001569 | -42.30% | 0.000648 | -76.18% | 0.2712 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.00177 | -42.91% | 0.0005906 | -80.95% | 0.6353 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.002372 | -42.29% | 0.0006898 | -83.22% | 0.8281 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.002616 | -43.00% | 0.0007556 | -83.54% | 0.9851 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.002877 | -42.69% | 0.00079 | -84.26% | 1.0702 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.004065 | -36.39% | 0.000801 | -87.46% | 1.3954 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.004061 | -38.74% | 0.00082 | -87.63% | 1.3640 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.002386 | -51.10% | 0.00068 | -86.07% | 1.0993 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.002487 | -51.43% | 0.0006437 | -87.43% | 1.1904 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.004227 | -42.09% | 0.00069 | -90.55% | 1.5940 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.00663 | -29.84% | 0.00074 | -92.17% | 1.9896 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.008207 | -24.78% | 0.00071 | -93.49% | 2.3770 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.010949 | -20.20% | 0.00081 | -94.10% | 2.5170 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.007698 | -25.76% | 0.00089 | -91.42% | 2.1600 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.010627 | -19.25% | 0.00109 | -91.72% | 2.3772 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.013988 | -16.64% | 0.00141 | -91.60% | 2.3327 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.01326 | -17.17% | 0.00137 | -91.44% | 2.3561 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.016649 | -16.38% | 0.00155 | -92.21% | 2.4272 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.017354 | -15.96% | 0.00157 | -92.40% | 2.5270 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.0151 | -15.93% | 0.00147 | -91.82% | 2.3800 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.019055 | -16.50% | 0.0016 | -92.99% | 2.4654 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.021759 | -17.71% | 0.00144 | -94.55% | 2.5419 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.018823 | -17.73% | 0.00134 | -94.14% | 2.6254 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.016677 | -17.61% | 0.00176 | -91.30% | 2.3474 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.016918 | -18.90% | 0.00141 | -93.24% | 2.4705 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.01357 | -17.76% | 0.00172 | -89.58% | 2.1746 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.010801 | -15.95% | 0.00205 | -84.05% | 1.8755 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.010752 | -16.06% | 0.0024 | -81.26% | 1.8036 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.011127 | -16.27% | 0.0025 | -81.19% | 1.7969 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.009443 | -15.69% | 0.00234 | -79.11% | 1.6159 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.012705 | -18.19% | 0.00272 | -82.49% | 1.6117 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.010176 | -16.73% | 0.0031 | -74.63% | 1.2739 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.006954 | -11.98% | 0.00411 | -47.97% | 0.6164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.007867 | -13.17% | 0.00459 | -49.34% | 0.5927 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.008602 | -13.72% | 0.00502 | -49.65% | 0.5912 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.008674 | -13.26% | 0.00639 | -36.10% | 0.3954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.007456 | -11.24% | 0.00663 | -21.07% | 0.2275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.006717 | -10.68% | 0.00488 | -35.11% | 0.3688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.006003 | -11.99% | 0.00512 | -24.93% | 0.1937 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.006769 | -11.63% | 0.0073 | -4.70% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.009885 | -11.58% | 0.00945 | -15.47% | 0.0837 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.012132 | -11.58% | 0.01091 | -20.48% | 0.0464 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.013895 | -13.64% | 0.01372 | -14.73% | 0.0414 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.011004 | -11.12% | 0.01037 | -16.24% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.009603 | -10.58% | 0.01316 | +22.53% | 0.3855 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.008758 | -10.91% | 0.01678 | +70.70% | 0.7209 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.009861 | -10.27% | 0.01601 | +45.68% | 0.5408 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.010574 | -10.99% | 0.01991 | +67.59% | 0.6992 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.008465 | -9.85% | 0.02065 | +119.91% | 0.9353 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.008404 | -10.22% | 0.01796 | +91.88% | 0.7833 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.01028 | -10.84% | 0.02282 | +97.92% | 0.8402 | ✗ | 1.00 |