MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s9

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1006

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0204

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000342836	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000360414	-0.77%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0411	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000353407	-1.13%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0140	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.00041253	-1.33%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1412	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000427037	-2.02%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000442272	-3.50%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000421503	-6.93%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0913	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000409596	-9.72%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0937	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000503819	-10.01%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.0861	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000597194	-10.40%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.0811	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000618546	-12.01%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0981	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000310145	+0.05%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000316845	-0.05%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0569	✗	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000318969	-0.07%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0268	✓	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000397025	-0.17%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0831	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000401769	-0.16%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0009	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000397767	-0.16%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0060	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000447372	-0.14%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1341	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000491997	-0.24%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0200	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000485069	-0.23%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0563	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000468914	-0.21%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0319	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000464714	-0.21%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0177	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000499654	-0.33%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0208	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000539087	-0.59%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0068	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000516561	-0.79%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0410	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000541474	-0.45%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0259	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000548259	-0.52%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0055	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000507369	-0.36%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0460	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000498466	-0.35%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0374	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000497845	-0.31%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0101	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000547154	-0.52%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0882	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.00053999	-0.37%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0877	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000498177	-0.12%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0300	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000509232	-0.15%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0165	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000501127	-0.07%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0234	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000520802	-0.15%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0144	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000536172	-0.30%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0385	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000491458	+0.22%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0032	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000515045	+0.16%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0283	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000534938	+0.19%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0616	✗	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000488079	+0.47%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0506	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000571252	+0.22%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0926	✗	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000590769	+0.10%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1478	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000619871	-0.00%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0310	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000630247	-0.04%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0872	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000620648	-0.07%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0373	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000665112	+0.03%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1786	✗	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000629945	+0.26%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0203	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000821364	-0.78%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0266	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000681684	+0.25%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0495	✗	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000711562	+0.22%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.1021	✗	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.00059439	+0.56%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1887	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000651081	+0.48%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1140	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000593691	+0.52%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2524	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000692268	+0.36%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0559	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000756683	+0.14%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0746	✓	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000790826	+0.10%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0348	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000801873	+0.11%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0295	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000820184	+0.02%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0517	✓	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000682801	+0.41%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1255	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.00064732	+0.56%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0146	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000693767	+0.55%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0690	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000743819	+0.52%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0636	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000712451	+0.35%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0883	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000813959	+0.49%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1396	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000894013	+0.45%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1290	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001092	+0.23%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1632	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001409	-0.07%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3314	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001368	-0.18%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0914	✗	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001546	-0.29%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1561	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001564	-0.35%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0093	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001464	-0.40%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0721	✗	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001591	-0.57%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0780	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001421	-1.29%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1210	✗	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001288	-3.85%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1542	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001704	-3.18%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1119	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001294	-8.21%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.1800	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001591	-7.47%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.0233	✓	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.001911	-6.77%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.0484	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002244	-6.50%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0184	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002316	-7.35%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0049	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002112	-9.74%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0919	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002464	-9.40%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.0276	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.002816	-9.16%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.0192	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.003831	-6.80%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.1485	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004279	-6.77%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.0370	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004689	-6.60%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.0481	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006109	-4.40%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2039	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006285	-5.20%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0898	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004351	-10.85%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.3129	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.004544	-11.24%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0453	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.006792	-6.96%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2033	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009087	-3.84%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2270	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010636	-2.51%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2363	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013393	-2.38%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1900	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010062	-2.97%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.2056	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012947	-1.62%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2827	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016476	-1.81%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2246	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015766	-1.52%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0640	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019444	-2.34%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1902	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020112	-2.61%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0788	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017673	-1.60%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2413	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022234	-2.57%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1528	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025422	-3.85%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0559	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022091	-3.45%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0605	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019638	-2.97%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1486	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020014	-4.06%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0090	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.015978	-3.17%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2300	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012686	-1.27%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1939	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012634	-1.37%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0120	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013083	-1.56%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0422	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011096	-0.93%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2086	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015066	-2.99%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2799	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.01192	-2.46%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2545	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007895	-0.07%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4527	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.009005	-0.61%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0932	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009886	-0.84%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0949	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009936	-0.64%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0362	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008395	-0.06%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1784	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007529	+0.12%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1318	✓	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006806	-0.20%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.1052	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007641	-0.25%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1177	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011108	-0.64%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3435	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013556	-1.20%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1346	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015623	-2.90%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1303	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012239	-1.14%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2579	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010666	-0.69%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1194	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009779	-0.52%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0940	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010911	-0.72%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1182	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011763	-0.99%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0563	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009341	-0.53%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1946	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009272	-0.94%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011453	-0.67%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1630	✓	1.00