MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s9

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

76.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3265

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0996

actual -0.2993

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001848	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001723	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001858	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001716	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001999	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002234	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.00228	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002147	-4.72%	0.001936	-14.07%	0.1159	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001965	-3.81%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0859	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002078	-3.56%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0689	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001791	-2.09%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0272	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001799	-1.61%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1790	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001822	-1.42%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2779	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002065	-1.91%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1519	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002341	-2.96%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0081	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002303	-3.22%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0720	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002748	-4.49%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1659	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002267	-2.57%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1530	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.00165	-3.99%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.1342	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001493	-11.36%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.2467	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001272	-24.63%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.5585	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002418	+1.16%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0035	✓	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003112	+0.55%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.3060	✗	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003593	-1.16%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2681	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003613	-1.56%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4640	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004361	-4.46%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9353	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.00468	-5.28%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0268	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004309	-4.14%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9426	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004386	-4.39%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.5973	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004556	-5.91%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3567	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.004973	-7.00%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.2765	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004303	-3.63%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.1990	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004014	-5.98%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0900	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005367	-4.21%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1216	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005356	-2.78%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2753	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.003383	-22.13%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.2018	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.00556	-6.12%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.2696	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008115	-5.06%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5193	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.004742	-24.57%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.1154	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.007079	-15.76%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.5559	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.003405	-46.47%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.4516	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.005063	-40.10%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.0869	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.006716	-35.94%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.4080	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.016999	-4.79%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0173	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.01695	-5.86%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.6730	✓	1.00