MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s9

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

100.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.8891

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.4109

actual -1.3000

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001695	-12.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001585	-11.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001699	-12.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001575	-11.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001808	-13.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.00199	-15.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.00201	-17.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.001908	-15.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001752	-14.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.001848	-14.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001603	-12.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.00161	-11.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001626	-12.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.001828	-13.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002046	-15.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.001997	-16.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002363	-17.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.001959	-15.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001418	-17.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001222	-27.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.000933411	-44.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002178	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.002821	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003234	-11.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003253	-11.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.003828	-16.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004064	-17.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.003782	-15.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.003838	-16.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.003952	-18.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.004261	-20.33%	0.001936	-63.80%	0.7428	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.003762	-15.75%	0.0018	-59.70%	0.7591	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.003477	-18.55%	0.001942	-54.51%	0.5899	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.004661	-16.82%	0.001786	-68.12%	0.9731	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.00468	-15.05%	0.002094	-61.99%	0.8681	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.00256	-41.06%	0.002361	-45.64%	0.1488	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.004789	-19.13%	0.002423	-59.08%	0.7643	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.006984	-18.29%	0.002253	-73.64%	1.1738	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.00351	-44.17%	0.002043	-67.50%	0.6200	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.005671	-32.52%	0.002155	-74.36%	1.0242	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.001939	-69.52%	0.001829	-71.24%	0.1386	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.003174	-62.45%	0.001829	-78.36%	0.6312	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.004489	-57.18%	0.001849	-82.37%	0.9404	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.015672	-12.23%	0.002105	-88.21%	2.0481	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.015542	-13.68%	0.002412	-86.60%	1.9146	✓	1.00