MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s9

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

52.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1513

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0138

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001923	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.00179	-0.52%	0.001936	+7.59%	0.0808	✗	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001931	-0.56%	0.0018	-7.34%	0.0823	✓	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001779	-0.37%	0.001942	+8.73%	0.0893	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002082	-0.56%	0.001786	-14.71%	0.1607	✓	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002341	-0.86%	0.002094	-11.33%	0.1102	✓	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002397	-1.08%	0.002361	-2.54%	0.0076	✓	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002236	-0.74%	0.002423	+7.55%	0.0740	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.002035	-0.37%	0.002253	+10.28%	0.1221	✗	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002146	-0.41%	0.002043	-5.18%	0.0675	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.00183	+0.04%	0.002155	+17.76%	0.1981	✓	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001832	+0.16%	0.001829	+0.03%	0.0149	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001853	+0.22%	0.001829	-1.05%	0.0193	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002107	+0.11%	0.001849	-12.19%	0.1468	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002408	-0.17%	0.002105	-12.73%	0.1066	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002375	-0.20%	0.002412	+1.34%	0.0600	✗	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002853	-0.84%	0.00238	-17.27%	0.1773	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002322	-0.20%	0.002877	+23.66%	0.2306	✗	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001715	-0.20%	0.002327	+35.42%	0.2760	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001656	-1.70%	0.001718	+1.99%	0.0329	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001607	-4.81%	0.001685	-0.21%	0.0531	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002404	+0.59%	0.001688	-29.37%	0.3803	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.00311	+0.49%	0.00239	-22.77%	0.2615	✗	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003641	+0.16%	0.003095	-14.88%	0.1664	✗	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003674	+0.11%	0.003635	-0.94%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.00454	-0.52%	0.00367	-19.59%	0.2133	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004902	-0.79%	0.004564	-7.64%	0.0753	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004474	-0.46%	0.004941	+9.93%	0.1027	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004563	-0.51%	0.004495	-2.01%	0.0152	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004799	-0.88%	0.004587	-5.27%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005282	-1.23%	0.004842	-9.46%	0.0824	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004454	-0.25%	0.005348	+19.78%	0.1181	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.00424	-0.68%	0.004465	+4.59%	0.0526	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.00558	-0.41%	0.004269	-23.81%	0.2722	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005504	-0.09%	0.005603	+1.71%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004164	-4.15%	0.005509	+26.82%	0.2773	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005881	-0.69%	0.004344	-26.65%	0.3104	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008495	-0.61%	0.005922	-30.71%	0.3271	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.005993	-4.67%	0.008547	+35.96%	0.3373	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008182	-2.64%	0.006287	-25.20%	0.2576	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.005692	-10.53%	0.008404	+32.11%	0.3890	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.00771	-8.79%	0.006361	-24.74%	0.2010	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.009665	-7.82%	0.008453	-19.38%	0.1114	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017727	-0.72%	0.010485	-41.28%	0.5231	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017833	-0.96%	0.017855	-0.83%	0.0094	✓	1.00