LONGXIA

? · · gru_s9

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +7d

assessed

40

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

67.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6362

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1178

actual -0.1668

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.02166	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021073	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020331	-0.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020853	-0.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027466	+0.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029147	+0.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030144	+0.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029822	+0.67%	0.02189	-26.11%	0.3288	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.045956	-5.48%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7721	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.039244	-2.61%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6574	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.042189	-4.14%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.6900	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.044139	-4.61%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4617	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.043958	-4.44%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.4042	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.048849	-5.99%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.4918	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.039099	-5.01%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.2554	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.059634	-9.86%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.1971	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.040793	-10.23%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.0040	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.038088	-15.90%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.1559	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.043244	-13.42%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0782	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.024169	-38.33%	0.046	+17.38%	0.6544	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.09689	-12.06%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.6203	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.01734	-51.70%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.8612	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.057858	-16.12%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.1578	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.054756	-22.03%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.1579	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.076656	-12.64%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.4953	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.093412	-10.01%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.6211	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.118263	-9.15%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1094	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.09036	-12.64%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.1928	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.151172	-10.08%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4279	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.125207	-10.22%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.5661	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.208887	-10.84%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.0532	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.210708	-11.58%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9159	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.20001	-11.63%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.6943	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.196494	-11.58%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.4508	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.202909	-12.04%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.7739	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.187874	-11.83%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2138	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.172748	-11.86%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3454	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.143584	-10.86%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3873	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.129634	-10.42%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5536	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.135773	-12.17%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4609	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.067868	-3.76%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1398	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.034707	-8.88%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.8966	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.047968	-2.41%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.5189	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058665	-0.30%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2434	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.053316	-2.26%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.1173	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.074415	+0.43%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7102	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.086755	-1.12%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6104	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.