LONGXIA

? · · gru_s9

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

47.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2399

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0221

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.02196	+0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021277	+0.38%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0324	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020454	+0.49%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0178	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020976	+0.46%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0273	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027576	+0.42%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2892	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029204	+0.41%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0595	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030117	+0.41%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0240	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.02975	+0.42%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0015	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.04813	-1.01%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4681	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040206	-0.22%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1773	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.04376	-0.57%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0670	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045952	-0.69%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0496	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045688	-0.68%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0096	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051345	-1.18%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1179	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.040881	-0.68%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2603	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.06439	-2.68%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4409	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.044654	-1.73%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3940	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.043989	-2.87%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0355	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.048765	-2.36%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.0839	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.03597	-8.22%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.3269	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.104635	-5.03%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9818	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.031561	-12.09%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.2648	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.066961	-2.92%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6244	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.06726	-4.22%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0275	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.085744	-2.29%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2152	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.101933	-1.80%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1491	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.127411	-2.12%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2088	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.101092	-2.27%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2563	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.163717	-2.62%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4592	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.136844	-1.88%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2272	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.227037	-3.09%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4827	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.230091	-3.45%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0468	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.218426	-3.49%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0880	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.214483	-3.49%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0494	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.221594	-3.94%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0547	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.204675	-3.95%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1170	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.18781	-4.18%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1189	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.155112	-3.70%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2676	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.13936	-3.70%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1271	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.146669	-5.12%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.069586	-1.32%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.7975	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.037527	-1.48%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6221	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.048985	-0.35%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2290	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058849	+0.01%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1779	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054315	-0.43%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0882	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.074206	+0.14%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2921	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.087397	-0.39%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1714	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.