LONGXIA

? · · gru_s9

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +30d

assessed

17

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

94.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.1393

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1978

actual -1.2964

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.019212	-12.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.018751	-11.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.018168	-10.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.018711	-10.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.02492	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.026654	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.027826	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.027661	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.041621	-14.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.036202	-10.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.038544	-12.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.040062	-13.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.039849	-13.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.043491	-16.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.035331	-14.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.051366	-22.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.035308	-22.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.031482	-30.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.036194	-27.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.015542	-60.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.085191	-22.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.009105	-74.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.04821	-30.10%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.043155	-38.55%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.066546	-24.16%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.082808	-20.22%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.104665	-19.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.078259	-24.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.131968	-21.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.110329	-20.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.18045	-22.98%	0.02189	-90.66%	2.0634	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.179434	-24.70%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.1577	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.170146	-24.83%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.1307	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.167048	-24.83%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.0934	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.171573	-25.63%	0.02746	-88.10%	1.8961	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.159441	-25.18%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.7694	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.147219	-24.89%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.6739	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.123815	-23.13%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.4726	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.112656	-22.16%	0.04862	-66.40%	0.9192	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.118333	-23.45%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.1336	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.063774	-9.57%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.4514	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.03022	-20.66%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.3460	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.044818	-8.82%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0270	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.056611	-3.79%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.1263	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.050742	-6.98%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.2608	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073252	-1.14%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1646	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.083737	-4.56%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.6828	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.