KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

153

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1709

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0206

actual -0.0446

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.028395	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.02877	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.027672	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.027795	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.032232	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.032988	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.030663	-9.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.029228	-8.43%	0.030038	-5.89%	0.0285	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026816	-7.13%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.1287	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.025498	-6.96%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1412	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023551	-5.94%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.2303	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023319	-6.77%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.4052	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023362	-7.29%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.4418	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022962	-7.49%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3837	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019534	-5.66%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4958	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021223	-6.56%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.3125	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.02431	-9.42%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.1275	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.018873	-7.14%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2917	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018081	-6.34%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.3300	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.02032	-7.67%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.2213	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.019962	-7.09%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.2276	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022236	-7.91%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.0704	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.024214	-9.02%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.0697	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.029164	-12.15%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.0889	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013945	-5.03%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3610	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014139	-5.80%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.3089	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013025	-3.38%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5214	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012824	-3.07%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.5125	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013197	-3.25%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.6105	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013178	-2.76%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7218	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013353	-2.81%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9346	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013037	-3.51%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0886	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013337	-3.50%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0891	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013081	-3.18%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0012	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013512	-2.75%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1087	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013507	-3.18%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.0810	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012997	-0.75%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0783	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012927	-0.68%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0379	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013215	-0.22%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0317	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013948	-0.30%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0571	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.01401	+0.30%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0795	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.014017	+0.89%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0065	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014175	+1.48%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0106	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014388	+1.48%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0600	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015093	+1.13%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1376	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015895	+1.00%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1424	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.01587	+1.11%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.0967	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.01653	+0.98%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1439	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016977	+1.11%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1572	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017451	+0.29%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2355	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017866	+0.42%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2452	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.01826	+0.64%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2081	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017854	+0.67%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1615	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017699	+0.81%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1435	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018052	+0.79%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1253	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018024	+1.32%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0866	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017474	+1.28%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0239	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018382	+1.09%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0139	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018913	+1.04%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0344	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020311	-0.17%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1344	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018346	+0.80%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0653	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017763	+1.20%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0173	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017273	-0.10%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1176	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016663	-1.13%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1676	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.01567	-1.80%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1698	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017352	-1.75%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2492	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017433	-1.89%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1940	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017565	-1.90%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2986	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017512	-1.92%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3601	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017184	-1.72%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2371	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016976	-1.64%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1470	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.01806	-2.01%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1516	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017697	-1.82%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0163	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016986	-1.47%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.0987	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016748	-1.48%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1170	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017518	-1.64%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0704	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017862	-2.07%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0013	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018077	-2.42%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0146	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017874	-2.78%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0457	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016851	-2.43%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0546	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.01578	-1.44%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0503	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014647	-1.14%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0893	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014986	-1.44%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1152	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016492	-2.99%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1130	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015092	-1.87%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1864	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014079	-1.61%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2615	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013362	-1.17%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2625	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016705	-3.44%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0008	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012942	-0.83%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1670	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013955	-1.13%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1121	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013454	-1.18%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2409	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012851	-1.60%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2273	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012671	-2.53%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1798	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014853	-1.76%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0576	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015737	-1.61%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0788	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015319	-1.86%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1482	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015931	-1.51%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1257	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018848	-0.90%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3572	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.01933	-0.82%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4260	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020738	-0.82%	0.013	-37.83%	0.5046	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020037	-0.73%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3570	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020582	-0.81%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2765	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020359	-0.83%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2920	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020766	-0.88%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2438	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020075	-0.84%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0692	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019833	-0.81%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0804	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.02083	-0.93%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0381	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021849	-1.09%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0348	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021139	-1.03%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0225	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.02006	-1.06%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0063	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021028	-1.00%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0436	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022651	-0.94%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1568	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.02274	-0.74%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1906	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023671	-0.67%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2556	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.0265	-0.92%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2868	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025945	-0.77%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.3057	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025103	-0.68%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.2993	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026283	-0.75%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2819	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025133	-0.58%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1427	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023984	-0.65%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0166	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025364	-0.80%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0569	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.02935	-1.10%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0099	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029982	-1.12%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0331	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.029985	-1.17%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0516	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027239	-0.77%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0625	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026146	-0.62%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0470	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028313	-0.86%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0739	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029079	-0.99%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0555	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029305	-1.06%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0694	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.03044	-0.98%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0574	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031739	-0.83%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0398	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030849	-0.52%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1152	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030224	-0.35%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1217	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031071	+0.15%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1643	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.03155	+0.22%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1747	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032412	+0.04%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1756	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034613	-0.14%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1830	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.03783	-0.05%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.2953	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028465	+1.70%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0037	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034354	+0.54%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1208	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037719	+0.26%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1540	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036752	-0.10%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0773	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.040762	-2.51%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1066	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.04744	-5.12%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1635	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.061306	-9.22%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.2897	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.037884	-0.96%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1186	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036572	-0.54%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0737	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.03879	-1.00%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.1182	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.043436	-2.08%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0372	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.049699	-3.43%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.0929	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.052908	-3.29%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.051978	-2.63%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.3000	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.054885	-1.99%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3332	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.051651	-3.56%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.2864	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.050951	-5.14%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2211	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.05994	-3.47%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.2887	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.057614	-5.81%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1168	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.070924	-4.43%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2540	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.072116	-5.73%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.2820	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.090305	-3.98%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4310	✓	1.00