KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

131

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

74.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4013

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0406

actual -0.2150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.026824	-9.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.026523	-9.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.027486	-9.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.02647	-9.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.02664	-10.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.031051	-11.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.03181	-12.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.029606	-12.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.028286	-11.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026141	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.024803	-9.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023144	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.022931	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023012	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022625	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019487	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021477	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.024706	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.01937	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018415	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020668	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020297	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022355	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.024137	-9.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.02901	-12.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014062	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014269	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012917	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012744	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013143	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013275	-2.04%	0.029719	+119.29%	0.8204	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013541	-1.45%	0.029335	+113.50%	0.7926	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.012871	-4.73%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8463	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013248	-4.15%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7904	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.012974	-3.97%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8145	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.012899	-7.16%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9395	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.012921	-7.38%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9726	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.01231	-6.00%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9318	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012555	-3.54%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.8920	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.01277	-3.58%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7390	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013603	-2.77%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6464	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013685	-2.03%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5291	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.01369	-1.46%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5275	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013988	+0.14%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5378	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014225	+0.33%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5195	✓	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014971	+0.31%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2777	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015826	+0.56%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3055	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015779	+0.53%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4669	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016421	+0.32%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1491	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016929	+0.82%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.1010	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.01718	-1.26%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1560	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017634	-0.88%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.1018	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018086	-0.32%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2300	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017699	-0.20%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3307	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017623	+0.38%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5587	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017986	+0.42%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.2991	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018177	+2.17%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2562	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017646	+2.28%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3486	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018582	+2.19%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4330	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.019183	+2.48%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4295	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020459	+0.56%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5596	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018518	+1.75%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4619	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.018086	+3.04%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3426	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017312	+0.12%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3907	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016572	-1.66%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4423	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015348	-3.81%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3720	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.016854	-4.56%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4555	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016866	-5.09%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5557	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017022	-4.93%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6266	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.016998	-4.80%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5792	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016752	-4.19%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5214	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016582	-3.93%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4813	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017577	-4.63%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5234	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017282	-4.12%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5389	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.01671	-3.08%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4883	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016486	-3.02%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4355	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017183	-3.52%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4535	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017454	-4.31%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4785	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017641	-4.77%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4316	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017394	-5.39%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4758	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016446	-4.77%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3034	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015489	-3.25%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2209	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014465	-2.36%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1722	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014814	-2.57%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.1967	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016257	-4.37%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2537	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.014879	-3.26%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1476	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013938	-2.60%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1395	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013287	-1.72%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0969	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016386	-5.28%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1745	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012912	-1.05%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.0999	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013866	-1.76%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1264	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.01343	-1.36%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0720	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.01291	-1.15%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0669	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012801	-1.53%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1683	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014805	-2.08%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0356	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015614	-2.38%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0217	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015278	-2.13%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1526	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015811	-2.25%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1432	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018466	-2.91%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0118	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.018908	-2.99%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0131	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020215	-3.33%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1057	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019521	-3.29%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1529	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020078	-3.24%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0802	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.019913	-3.00%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.1032	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020325	-2.98%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1831	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019679	-2.80%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1904	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019437	-2.79%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1548	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020414	-2.91%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1365	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021379	-3.22%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1584	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020666	-3.25%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1286	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019678	-2.95%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1399	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020613	-2.95%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2771	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022084	-3.42%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4330	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.02207	-3.67%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4501	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022695	-4.76%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4640	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.025427	-4.93%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.6047	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.024846	-4.97%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6699	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024095	-4.67%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6796	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.02512	-5.14%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5159	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024068	-4.79%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7334	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023105	-4.29%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5785	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024424	-4.48%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6504	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.027977	-5.72%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8172	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028459	-6.14%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8691	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028477	-6.14%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6595	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.026048	-5.11%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5181	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025069	-4.72%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5205	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027009	-5.43%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4994	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.02771	-5.65%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3313	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.027901	-5.80%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3209	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.028882	-6.04%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3054	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.029943	-6.44%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3377	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.029109	-6.13%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3435	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.028552	-5.86%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3350	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.02926	-5.69%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4058	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.029651	-5.81%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4214	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.030405	-6.16%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.3965	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.0323	-6.81%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4299	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.034947	-7.67%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5719	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.026989	-3.57%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3173	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.032228	-5.68%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4521	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.0352	-6.43%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4811	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.034382	-6.55%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3271	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.037578	-10.12%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3214	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.043201	-13.60%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.3660	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.056115	-16.90%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5371	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.035225	-7.91%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0882	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.0342	-6.99%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0982	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.036348	-7.23%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.1028	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.040632	-8.40%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2355	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.046337	-9.96%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4156	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.049504	-9.52%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4546	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.048945	-8.31%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3193	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.051852	-7.41%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3601	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.049016	-8.48%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2911	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.049118	-8.55%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3825	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.057641	-7.17%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5847	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.056685	-7.33%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5082	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.069193	-6.76%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6917	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.071523	-6.51%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7173	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.088552	-5.85%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8730	✓	1.00