KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

159

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

55.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0685

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0061

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029633	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030052	-1.47%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0005	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028931	-1.48%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0530	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029163	-1.47%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0067	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034103	-2.28%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1411	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035057	-3.40%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0046	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032517	-3.57%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.1092	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030901	-3.19%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0879	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028155	-2.49%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1253	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026732	-2.45%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0773	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024586	-1.80%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1105	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024392	-2.48%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0251	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024481	-2.85%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0210	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024077	-3.00%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0444	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.02039	-1.53%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.2011	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022227	-2.14%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0666	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025665	-4.37%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1218	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019812	-2.52%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.3059	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018966	-1.76%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0639	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021386	-2.83%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1031	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020969	-2.41%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0494	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023379	-3.18%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.0885	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025525	-4.10%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0553	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.031178	-6.08%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1586	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014418	-1.80%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8418	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014663	-2.31%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0010	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013371	-0.82%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1132	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013142	-0.66%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0277	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013538	-0.75%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0231	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013458	-0.70%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0268	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013632	-0.78%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0029	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013412	-0.73%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0251	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013717	-0.76%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0144	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013417	-0.69%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0264	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013808	-0.62%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0721	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013811	-1.00%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0036	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.01311	+0.11%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0554	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013029	+0.11%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0377	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013271	+0.21%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0368	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.014009	+0.14%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0504	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.014	+0.23%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0014	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013938	+0.33%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0061	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014019	+0.37%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0126	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014228	+0.35%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0165	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014964	+0.26%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0465	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015768	+0.19%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0411	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015729	+0.21%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0051	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016397	+0.17%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0453	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.01682	+0.17%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0129	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017408	+0.05%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0875	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017801	+0.05%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0215	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018156	+0.07%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0060	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017749	+0.08%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0100	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017574	+0.10%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0175	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017927	+0.08%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0268	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017818	+0.16%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0449	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.01728	+0.15%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0091	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018206	+0.12%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0620	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018733	+0.08%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0220	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020287	-0.29%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1033	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018213	+0.07%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.0985	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017575	+0.13%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0584	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017282	-0.05%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0934	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016818	-0.21%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0527	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015908	-0.31%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0556	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017599	-0.34%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1030	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017701	-0.39%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0445	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017832	-0.41%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0013	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017779	-0.43%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0059	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017417	-0.39%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0371	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017199	-0.35%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0162	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018332	-0.53%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0573	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017937	-0.49%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0367	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017171	-0.40%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0733	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016925	-0.44%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0200	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017719	-0.51%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0419	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018106	-0.74%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0331	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018354	-0.92%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0026	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018186	-1.08%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0026	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017108	-0.94%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0553	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015939	-0.44%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0811	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014766	-0.33%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0602	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.01513	-0.49%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0193	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.01677	-1.35%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0461	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015273	-0.70%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0855	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014232	-0.54%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0763	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013478	-0.31%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0560	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017049	-1.45%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.1932	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013034	-0.12%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2618	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014086	-0.21%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0808	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013591	-0.18%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0584	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013025	-0.27%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0666	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.01294	-0.46%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0185	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015078	-0.28%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1789	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015956	-0.24%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0666	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015565	-0.29%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0300	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.01614	-0.22%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0555	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018995	-0.13%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1638	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019466	-0.12%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0006	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020877	-0.16%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0620	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020164	-0.11%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0335	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020722	-0.13%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0127	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020503	-0.13%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0128	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020918	-0.15%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0095	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020219	-0.13%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0111	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019974	-0.10%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0107	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020993	-0.15%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0208	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.02204	-0.23%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0299	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021321	-0.18%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0250	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.02025	-0.12%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0411	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021217	-0.11%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0596	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022841	-0.11%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.1001	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022896	-0.06%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0430	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023814	-0.07%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0809	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026715	-0.11%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0675	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026128	-0.07%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0042	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025267	-0.03%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0471	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026466	-0.05%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0441	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025281	+0.00%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0382	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.02414	+0.00%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0828	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.02556	-0.04%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0100	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029632	-0.15%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1127	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.03027	-0.16%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0389	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030284	-0.18%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0279	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027442	-0.03%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0815	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026314	+0.01%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0276	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028548	-0.04%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0435	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029351	-0.06%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0011	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.0296	-0.07%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0081	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030726	-0.05%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0505	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.032001	-0.01%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0727	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.031033	+0.07%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0086	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030369	+0.13%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0215	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031099	+0.24%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0819	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031565	+0.27%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0108	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.03248	+0.25%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0067	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.03473	+0.20%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0629	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037903	+0.14%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1780	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028157	+0.60%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3019	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034312	+0.41%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1592	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037757	+0.36%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0962	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036916	+0.34%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0590	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041756	-0.13%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0591	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049493	-1.01%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1375	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.065253	-3.37%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2636	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038345	+0.25%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5605	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036905	+0.37%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0378	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.03929	+0.28%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0554	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044383	+0.05%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1046	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051331	-0.26%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1274	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054556	-0.28%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0619	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053295	-0.16%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0220	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055946	-0.10%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0628	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053387	-0.31%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0753	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053394	-0.59%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.061885	-0.34%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1509	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.060683	-0.79%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0253	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073762	-0.60%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1813	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.075824	-0.88%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093343	-0.75%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1869	✓	1.00