HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s9

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

65.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2605

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0774

actual -0.1284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006699	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006849	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006856	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007373	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008256	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008648	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.00839	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008756	-3.08%	0.00679	-24.83%	0.3008	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.00855	-3.37%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2025	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008446	-3.20%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2047	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.008691	-4.74%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.0790	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010361	-5.72%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1376	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009436	-5.69%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0138	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.007889	-7.06%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0697	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010053	-7.39%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0358	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011077	-8.88%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1253	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.010766	-9.49%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.0450	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.012315	-10.55%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.1866	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.013228	-10.60%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1096	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.011786	-10.00%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.0820	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.013241	-11.17%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3138	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.010763	-8.90%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0199	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.011552	-9.87%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0246	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.009912	-8.03%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0904	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.010575	-9.37%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1826	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.012757	-10.83%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.1354	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012136	-10.46%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0597	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009266	-6.90%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4563	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008412	-6.57%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3743	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.008641	-8.70%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.5031	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.011104	-10.62%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0999	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010069	-7.36%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0019	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.01087	-8.05%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.1350	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.014663	-9.62%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2194	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011357	-5.30%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4590	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012237	-5.81%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6416	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.010983	-3.79%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.5752	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009463	-2.30%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1295	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.007822	-2.27%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.1184	✗	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.009847	-1.99%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0034	✓	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.011713	-2.87%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1555	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.009887	-5.08%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1955	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.007436	-22.53%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.5857	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.010143	-15.66%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.1554	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.010251	-19.86%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.0451	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.013747	-12.31%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.4959	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.021839	-4.52%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7437	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.016942	-7.79%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3085	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.023386	-4.73%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7488	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.017802	-6.98%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6301	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.019699	-6.26%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5070	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.023705	-6.16%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6236	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.024814	-8.07%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.4931	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.020728	-6.49%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0783	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.013516	-5.37%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2836	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016069	-3.55%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.4114	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.021251	-7.00%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.0827	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.018553	-5.87%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1390	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.017807	-5.87%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3551	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015383	-4.75%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5632	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013332	-2.82%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4933	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013024	-2.28%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0985	✗	1.00