HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s9
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3452
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1811
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.006322 | -6.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006479 | -6.58% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006493 | -6.05% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.006989 | -6.52% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.007812 | -7.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008154 | -8.30% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.007905 | -8.26% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008229 | -8.91% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008015 | -9.42% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.007918 | -9.25% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008081 | -11.44% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.009495 | -13.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.008671 | -13.34% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.007157 | -15.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.009079 | -16.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.0098 | -19.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.009469 | -20.40% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.010582 | -23.14% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.011286 | -23.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.010156 | -22.45% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.011193 | -24.91% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.009397 | -20.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.009918 | -22.62% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.008756 | -18.76% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.009161 | -21.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.010788 | -24.59% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.010317 | -23.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.008258 | -17.03% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.00757 | -15.92% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.007657 | -19.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.009428 | -24.11% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.1662 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.00878 | -19.23% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.3149 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.009373 | -20.71% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.3316 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.012505 | -22.92% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.5645 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.009945 | -17.07% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.3718 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.010696 | -17.68% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4063 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.009657 | -15.40% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.3833 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.008362 | -13.66% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.0895 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.00692 | -13.54% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.0550 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.008788 | -12.53% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2165 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.010486 | -13.05% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.4344 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.008689 | -16.58% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.1549 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.005728 | -40.33% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.5049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.008462 | -29.64% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.0375 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.008316 | -34.99% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.2149 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.012067 | -23.02% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.0553 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.020466 | -10.53% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6141 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.01548 | -15.74% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.1995 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.021881 | -10.86% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4331 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.016307 | -14.79% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.018097 | -13.88% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.2858 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.021723 | -14.01% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.6706 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.022429 | -16.91% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.6337 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.019087 | -13.89% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.6362 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.012718 | -10.96% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.1678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.015317 | -8.07% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1185 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.019522 | -14.56% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.4270 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.017299 | -12.24% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.6247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.016801 | -11.18% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.6899 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.014776 | -8.51% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.5488 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013101 | -4.50% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1698 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.01305 | -2.10% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2183 | ✓ | 1.00 |