HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s9

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

54.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1368

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0108

actual -0.0142

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007162	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007129	-0.72%	0.007225	+0.61%	0.0056	✓	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006899	-0.52%	0.007181	+3.54%	0.0036	✓	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006885	-0.38%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0376	✓	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007433	-0.58%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0659	✓	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008376	-0.86%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1393	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008802	-1.02%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0361	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008527	-1.04%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0678	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008932	-1.13%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0590	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008733	-1.31%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0988	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008624	-1.16%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0317	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.008993	-1.44%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0528	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010811	-1.63%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2026	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009847	-1.59%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0939	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008361	-1.49%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1428	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.01069	-1.52%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1650	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012	-1.30%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0081	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011755	-1.18%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0421	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013618	-1.08%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1052	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014581	-1.46%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1289	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012928	-1.28%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1252	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014669	-1.60%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.0993	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011656	-1.35%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1941	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.01262	-1.54%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0626	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010644	-1.24%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1784	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011542	-1.08%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0278	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.01409	-1.51%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1904	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013333	-1.63%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0576	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009841	-1.12%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3322	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.0089	-1.16%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1116	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009384	-0.85%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0357	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012331	-0.74%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2484	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010746	-1.13%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0913	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011686	-1.15%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0691	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015871	-2.17%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3106	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011812	-1.50%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1292	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012735	-1.98%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0688	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011269	-1.29%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1183	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009582	-1.07%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.3075	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.007973	-0.38%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1268	✗	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.009957	-0.89%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.1961	✓	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.011922	-1.14%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1737	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010289	-1.22%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1500	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009412	-1.96%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.1240	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.011887	-1.16%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2116	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012679	-0.89%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0447	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015617	-0.38%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1839	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022726	-0.64%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3777	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018318	-0.30%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2202	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024368	-0.72%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2627	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.019052	-0.45%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2035	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020897	-0.56%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0867	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024986	-1.09%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1582	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.026448	-2.02%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021867	-1.35%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2179	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014271	-0.09%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4353	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016646	-0.09%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1223	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022556	-1.29%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3186	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019536	-0.89%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1503	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018736	-0.95%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0565	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.016037	-0.70%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1491	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013668	-0.37%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1581	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013281	-0.36%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0488	✗	1.00