FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

57.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1295

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0508

actual -0.0241

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047014	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.047813	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.046736	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.046933	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050066	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.051479	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.051487	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.052261	-2.91%	0.04772	-11.35%	0.1028	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.058126	-3.47%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.1779	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.0573	-3.54%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.1882	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.063951	-4.28%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2784	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.062465	-4.46%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1886	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.06148	-4.66%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1464	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.058827	-4.78%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.1103	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.060856	-5.53%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.1108	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.064788	-6.12%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0588	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.069065	-6.28%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1276	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.065488	-6.58%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0375	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.067919	-6.74%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0256	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.059921	-6.62%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0867	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.062971	-6.92%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0018	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.064148	-7.05%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0061	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.061384	-7.03%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.1042	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.056633	-7.21%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.2477	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.063633	-7.82%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.0853	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.061545	-7.97%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.1664	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.054095	-7.87%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.1685	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.054683	-8.40%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.2103	✗	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.054592	-8.57%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.2442	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.054749	-9.24%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.2174	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.055226	-9.55%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.1369	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.056934	-8.19%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.1528	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.064055	-9.08%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.061235	-8.27%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.0810	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.059996	-6.40%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.1050	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.052553	-3.94%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0250	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043418	-0.73%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.1975	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048051	-2.11%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.1373	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.047496	-1.42%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.2115	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.04981	-1.45%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.2966	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.050599	-0.97%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.2307	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.051904	-0.81%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.2135	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051024	-0.69%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.0975	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053144	-0.65%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.1577	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055117	-0.38%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.1042	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.055931	-0.25%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.1041	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.054294	-1.53%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.053948	-2.60%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.0229	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.057155	-3.17%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.0283	✓	1.00