FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0476

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0080

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047618	-0.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048466	-0.24%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0130	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047405	-0.22%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0134	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047671	-0.25%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0017	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050976	-0.30%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0711	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052509	-0.34%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0254	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052641	-0.40%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0075	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053591	-0.44%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0198	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.05987	-0.57%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0919	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.059061	-0.58%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0067	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.066243	-0.85%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0940	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064878	-0.77%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0236	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063982	-0.78%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0189	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061303	-0.77%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0444	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063815	-0.93%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0214	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068253	-1.10%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0445	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072767	-1.25%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0518	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069215	-1.26%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0673	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071751	-1.47%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0351	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063417	-1.17%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1367	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.066784	-1.29%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0377	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.068017	-1.45%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0140	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065159	-1.31%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0581	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060266	-1.26%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0900	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.067906	-1.63%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1010	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.065749	-1.68%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0484	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.05789	-1.41%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1425	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.058774	-1.55%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0006	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.058742	-1.62%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0161	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059275	-1.74%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0287	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.059937	-1.84%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061119	-1.44%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.068948	-2.13%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1051	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065483	-1.91%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0687	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.063086	-1.58%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054301	-0.75%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1632	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043845	+0.25%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2140	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.049073	-0.02%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0815	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048241	+0.13%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050592	+0.09%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0428	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051166	+0.14%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0129	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052405	+0.14%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0341	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.05147	+0.17%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053577	+0.16%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0398	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055421	+0.16%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0273	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056143	+0.13%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055053	-0.15%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0120	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055118	-0.49%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.058592	-0.73%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0365	✓	1.00