FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 147
Track record at +30d
assessed
19
of 49 predictions shown
direction hit
31.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1890
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1345
actual +0.0099
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.04772 | 0.045636 | -4.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.046355 | -4.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.045252 | -4.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.045359 | -5.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.048215 | -5.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.049436 | -6.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.049308 | -6.70% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.049884 | -7.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.055125 | -8.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.054198 | -8.76% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.059931 | -10.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.058535 | -10.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.057432 | -10.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.054833 | -11.24% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.056304 | -12.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.059574 | -13.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.063169 | -14.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.059809 | -14.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.061581 | -15.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.054644 | -14.84% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.057151 | -15.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.057851 | -16.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.055501 | -15.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.051162 | -16.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.056858 | -17.63% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.054871 | -17.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.048457 | -17.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.048555 | -18.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.048209 | -19.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.048124 | -20.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.048204 | -21.05% | 0.04772 | -21.85% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.049765 | -19.75% | 0.04858 | -21.66% | 0.0458 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.055292 | -21.52% | 0.04751 | -32.56% | 0.1591 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.053216 | -20.28% | 0.04779 | -28.41% | 0.1214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.052886 | -17.49% | 0.05113 | -20.23% | 0.0976 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.047167 | -13.79% | 0.05269 | -3.69% | 0.0428 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.039687 | -9.25% | 0.05285 | +20.84% | 0.2034 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.043653 | -11.07% | 0.05383 | +9.67% | 0.1671 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.043208 | -10.32% | 0.060215 | +24.98% | 0.2530 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.04532 | -10.34% | 0.059405 | +17.53% | 0.2143 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.046158 | -9.66% | 0.06681 | +30.76% | 0.2893 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.047332 | -9.55% | 0.06538 | +24.94% | 0.2430 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.046722 | -9.07% | 0.064485 | +25.51% | 0.2692 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.048773 | -8.82% | 0.06178 | +15.50% | 0.1959 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.050854 | -8.09% | 0.064415 | +16.42% | 0.1848 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.051959 | -7.33% | 0.06901 | +23.08% | 0.2211 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.050166 | -9.01% | 0.07369 | +33.65% | 0.3130 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.049852 | -10.00% | 0.0701 | +26.56% | 0.2586 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.053053 | -10.12% | 0.072825 | +23.38% | 0.2749 | ✗ | 1.00 |