DRV

Derive · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

131

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

53.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1606

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0314

actual +0.0604

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.377392	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.388853	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.389661	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.374369	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.392282	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.377313	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.397696	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.403436	-3.11%	0.386075	-7.28%	0.0631	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.432128	-4.15%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0777	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.420643	-4.57%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0549	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.469383	-5.43%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1747	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.5045	-6.33%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.1947	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.480411	-6.86%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.1952	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.411877	-5.69%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0097	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.358319	-4.08%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1848	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.387948	-4.82%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.1975	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.39052	-5.23%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.1990	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.393479	-5.63%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2865	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.363064	-5.58%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4297	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.372716	-5.98%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3628	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.370105	-6.34%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.2265	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.364459	-6.51%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0300	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.355945	-6.74%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0997	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.345173	-6.59%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1355	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.399641	-8.18%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0093	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.380304	-7.91%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0057	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.404854	-8.87%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0276	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.409734	-9.68%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.0435	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.431582	-11.21%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.0888	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.39128	-10.32%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0172	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.364235	-9.91%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0668	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.351267	-10.28%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.1527	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.389532	-12.76%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0002	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.267602	-9.35%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.4472	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.234176	-8.20%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.5164	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.221312	-9.51%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.6385	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.135857	-0.87%	0.436315	+218.36%	0.9881	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.140009	-0.69%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.9194	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.1423	-0.88%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9347	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.148993	-0.62%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0278	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.148146	-0.24%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6255	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.147376	-0.22%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5520	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.154212	+0.08%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.4988	✓	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.163164	-0.47%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.1239	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.158091	+0.37%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.0983	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.165586	+0.27%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0800	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.169532	-1.57%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0777	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.15056	+0.61%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0322	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.158622	+0.04%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0144	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.143387	-0.23%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0531	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142426	-0.29%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1203	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.152607	-0.75%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0231	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.154177	-1.37%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0260	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.167661	-2.47%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0051	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.16449	-2.92%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1198	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.169845	-3.77%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.0818	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.160244	-4.00%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.0856	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.14378	-2.88%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0085	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.154174	-5.89%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0027	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.126992	-3.13%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.2086	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.111568	-1.56%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.4183	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.115138	-3.15%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3920	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.09786	-0.62%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5271	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.097267	-1.44%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4448	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.092015	-1.56%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3356	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.094009	-1.83%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4079	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.099783	-3.60%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.0957	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.091935	-1.12%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0410	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.091725	-1.09%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0767	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.093869	-1.17%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0693	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.09724	-1.42%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0595	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.096249	-1.42%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0442	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.092348	-1.09%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0289	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.095827	-1.28%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1032	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.096083	-1.31%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0084	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.095628	-1.30%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0058	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.096399	-1.44%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0038	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.099218	-1.64%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0097	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.099803	-1.84%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0151	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.095818	-1.38%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0317	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.098159	-1.55%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0286	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.103456	-2.17%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0900	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.112101	-3.93%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1743	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.092992	-1.67%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0585	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.095154	-1.58%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0456	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.101347	-1.76%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0005	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.10381	-1.91%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0620	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.112115	-2.15%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0853	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.111144	-2.23%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0223	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.112428	-2.22%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0598	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.116325	-2.34%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.2013	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.118692	-2.39%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1674	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.117106	-2.36%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0809	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.120585	-2.53%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.1026	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.119951	-2.53%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0579	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.122769	-2.64%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0677	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.126314	-2.78%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.0977	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.131138	-3.07%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1210	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.139557	-4.31%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1631	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.144678	-6.78%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2155	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.11443	-2.11%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0457	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.120211	-2.53%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0140	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.120817	-2.58%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0324	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.114694	-2.57%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1271	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.112046	-2.03%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.1824	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.107069	-1.82%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.2848	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.108258	-2.06%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3443	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.111138	-2.21%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0670	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.109854	-2.07%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1142	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.105464	-2.05%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1557	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.107691	-2.37%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0734	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.109446	-2.37%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0260	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.104504	-2.62%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0189	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.110096	-3.09%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0593	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.103468	-2.09%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0373	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.099344	-2.29%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0616	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.086352	-1.11%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1742	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082081	-1.06%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2545	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082155	-1.07%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2814	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.081795	-1.18%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2885	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.085023	-1.32%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3579	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.086009	-1.45%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2670	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.089501	-1.42%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1888	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.096968	-1.59%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0357	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.093644	-1.56%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0649	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.09259	-1.57%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0570	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.096153	-1.80%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0946	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.098303	-2.12%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0855	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.099786	-2.17%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.0982	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.098667	-2.18%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0448	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.098656	-2.10%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.100007	-2.12%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0490	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.101922	-2.32%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0693	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.096958	-1.67%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0378	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.102993	-1.97%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0870	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.108029	-3.02%	0.102	-8.43%	0.1071	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.101564	-2.01%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0441	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.090774	-0.83%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0473	✗	1.00