DRV

Derive · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

109

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

27.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4501

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0592

actual +0.3186

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.369846	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.371204	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.368433	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.369014	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.35318	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.371655	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.356094	-8.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.375855	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.381028	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.40812	-9.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.399028	-9.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.445718	-10.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.481154	-10.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.459511	-10.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.395192	-9.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.341981	-8.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.37069	-9.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.374561	-9.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.378584	-9.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.34903	-9.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.360297	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.360226	-8.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.35483	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.348339	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.339486	-8.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.395036	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.376567	-8.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.401118	-9.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.407465	-10.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.431225	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.391305	-10.32%	0.40159	-7.96%	0.0583	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.364762	-9.78%	0.402115	-0.54%	0.1403	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.347206	-11.32%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1049	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.388727	-12.94%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0144	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.265672	-10.00%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3416	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.22815	-10.56%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.4766	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.217977	-10.87%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.4764	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.131224	-4.25%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0295	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.136802	-2.97%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0545	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.138561	-3.48%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.0693	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.145396	-3.02%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0307	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.142297	-4.18%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1385	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.141654	-4.10%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2263	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.149784	-2.80%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1645	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.159188	-2.89%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9542	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.154321	-2.02%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8125	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.162689	-1.48%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8310	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.16796	-2.48%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.7985	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.148003	-1.09%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9156	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.157419	-0.72%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8332	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.140728	-2.08%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9013	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.140289	-1.79%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.8967	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.151678	-1.35%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8665	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.153479	-1.82%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8175	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.169038	-1.66%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7121	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.166452	-1.76%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.8728	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.174267	-1.26%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8090	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.164332	-1.55%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9288	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.144932	-2.10%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0660	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.156712	-4.34%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0641	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.127141	-3.01%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.1349	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.111182	-1.90%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1834	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.116187	-2.27%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1826	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.095464	-3.06%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4723	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.093642	-5.12%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0362	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.087326	-6.58%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9523	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.089223	-6.83%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8875	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.094721	-8.49%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2155	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.087004	-6.42%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.3023	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.086988	-6.20%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3348	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.089257	-6.03%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3542	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.092564	-6.16%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3081	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.091634	-6.15%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3217	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.08797	-5.78%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3895	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.091001	-6.25%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4308	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.091189	-6.34%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3827	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.090741	-6.34%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4218	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.091529	-6.42%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4504	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.093955	-6.86%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2905	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.094667	-6.89%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3152	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.090917	-6.43%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2945	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.092911	-6.81%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2658	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.098166	-7.18%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2531	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.106709	-8.55%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.1958	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.088209	-6.73%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4519	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.09079	-6.09%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.3947	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.096857	-6.11%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3320	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.099749	-5.75%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2608	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.108275	-5.50%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1067	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.107773	-5.19%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.1850	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.10923	-5.00%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0380	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.113285	-4.89%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1903	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.115837	-4.74%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1642	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.11447	-4.56%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2550	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.117687	-4.87%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2479	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.117078	-4.87%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.2251	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.119906	-4.91%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.2189	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.123155	-5.21%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1532	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.127869	-5.48%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.3039	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.136905	-6.13%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3565	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.143918	-7.27%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3863	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.110548	-5.43%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.1267	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.116354	-5.66%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1733	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.116857	-5.78%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.2259	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.110766	-5.91%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1393	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.107885	-5.67%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.1202	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.102906	-5.63%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0863	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.104122	-5.81%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0716	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.106883	-5.95%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0635	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.105491	-5.96%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0413	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.101176	-6.03%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0440	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.103251	-6.40%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0446	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.104788	-6.53%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0045	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.099808	-7.00%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1266	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.105019	-7.56%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1856	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.098581	-6.72%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0745	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.094525	-7.03%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0238	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.082104	-5.97%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.1988	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.078011	-5.97%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2991	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.07805	-6.01%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.3019	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.077679	-6.16%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3426	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.080702	-6.34%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3516	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.081591	-6.51%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3661	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.084809	-6.59%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2960	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.091711	-6.93%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2840	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.088545	-6.92%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.3104	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.087475	-7.01%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3357	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.0908	-7.27%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3669	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.092864	-7.53%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.4048	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.094254	-7.59%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4604	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.093045	-7.76%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.5226	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.092806	-7.90%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2649	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.093984	-8.01%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2686	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.095793	-8.19%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2550	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.090897	-7.81%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2159	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.096562	-8.09%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1454	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.101554	-8.83%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.0844	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.095341	-8.02%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1476	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.08517	-6.95%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2380	✗	1.00