CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
38.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2678
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0411
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.064864 | -2.58% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.067016 | -2.50% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.065206 | -2.52% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.068607 | -2.65% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.071914 | -2.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.070699 | -2.82% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.076207 | -2.91% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.071505 | -3.05% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0628 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.085412 | -3.21% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2187 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.092336 | -4.87% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3216 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.089015 | -3.62% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2509 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.087984 | -4.78% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.1910 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.083281 | -3.87% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1470 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.070664 | -3.38% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1098 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.068837 | -3.43% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0495 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.082914 | -5.75% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0285 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.0713 | -3.57% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2527 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.062874 | -3.68% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3475 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.066169 | -4.15% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.3099 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.070051 | -5.37% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1867 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.066044 | -5.44% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0613 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.065466 | -5.54% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0813 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.056423 | -5.71% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4693 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.053044 | -5.96% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3646 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.050355 | -6.05% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2885 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.048376 | -6.21% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3602 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.048776 | -6.43% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.4229 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.04677 | -6.36% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.4074 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.04944 | -6.90% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.3264 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.043917 | -6.18% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2762 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.042964 | -6.34% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.2317 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.042974 | -3.95% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2710 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.045604 | -4.53% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1718 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.053125 | -4.81% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0304 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.053251 | -3.15% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0762 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.057531 | -4.15% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0639 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.055191 | -3.72% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0203 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.059913 | -6.99% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.0997 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046741 | -0.69% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0558 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044806 | -0.14% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1540 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044561 | +0.18% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3084 | ✓ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045643 | +0.39% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1818 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047526 | +0.17% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1813 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.047059 | +0.59% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1273 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.04698 | +0.77% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.2935 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.043126 | +0.39% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0035 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044599 | -0.24% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0548 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.044915 | -0.72% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0683 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.047977 | -1.65% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1722 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.071681 | -1.39% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3953 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.069504 | -1.49% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3773 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.067194 | -1.74% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3562 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.066815 | -1.98% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3949 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.067622 | -2.30% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3854 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.068221 | -2.44% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3780 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.064188 | -2.81% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2572 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.068477 | -3.03% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0294 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.06712 | -3.33% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0299 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.066452 | -3.45% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0213 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.06671 | -3.83% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0204 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.06708 | -4.30% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0523 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.064174 | -4.32% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0772 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.061303 | -5.33% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2459 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.063276 | -6.67% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3589 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.063706 | -7.64% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5692 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.064518 | -8.66% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5687 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.061562 | -8.30% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6979 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.057215 | -7.90% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7460 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.05876 | -10.05% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.7217 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.052303 | -7.82% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5818 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.050932 | -7.88% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.5183 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.049822 | -9.04% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3723 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.04239 | -8.11% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5327 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037183 | -5.59% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5173 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.034899 | -5.45% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.5082 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.033917 | -5.70% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5861 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.029301 | -4.90% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6285 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026797 | -3.71% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6798 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.02438 | -3.90% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7894 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.02655 | -3.80% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5695 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.028333 | -4.07% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3806 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026257 | -3.76% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4264 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.036304 | -7.45% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0763 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.032261 | -6.56% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0636 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025225 | -3.22% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1302 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026266 | -3.78% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0255 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.02337 | -2.95% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1558 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021925 | -2.70% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2135 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020415 | -2.73% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3141 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025977 | -4.07% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4319 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.02287 | -3.04% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020619 | -2.63% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2681 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019467 | -2.65% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3791 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020438 | -2.81% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1876 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017948 | -2.92% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018343 | -2.89% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1424 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018146 | -2.79% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3974 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017902 | -2.79% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2559 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017823 | -2.88% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1514 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015823 | -3.83% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.2109 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018616 | -2.57% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0757 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016286 | -4.24% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.1121 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.014782 | -7.30% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.2292 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.01905 | -2.88% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.02127 | -2.19% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1535 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022066 | -2.24% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2234 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020433 | -2.44% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2427 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020744 | -2.34% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0546 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022732 | -2.29% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2926 | ✓ | 1.00 |