CAP

Cap · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #71
symbol: CAP
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-26
predictions: 327

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

108

of 109 predictions shown

direction hit

39.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0848

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0110

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.066581	0.066252	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-20	oos	0.068735	0.068392	-0.50%	0.066581	-3.13%	0.0285	✓	-0.57
2026-10-19	oos	0.066889	0.066576	-0.47%	0.068735	+2.76%	0.0398	✗	-0.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.070477	0.070118	-0.51%	0.066889	-5.09%	0.0484	✓	-0.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.073935	0.073528	-0.55%	0.070477	-4.68%	0.0378	✓	-0.60
2026-10-16	oos	0.072748	0.072356	-0.54%	0.073935	+1.63%	0.0207	✗	-0.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.07849	0.077993	-0.63%	0.072748	-7.32%	0.0744	✓	-0.62
2026-10-14	oos	0.073752	0.073336	-0.56%	0.07849	+6.42%	0.0722	✗	-0.63
2026-10-13	oos	0.088248	0.087501	-0.85%	0.073752	-16.43%	0.1848	✓	-0.74
2026-10-12	oos	0.097059	0.095202	-1.91%	0.088248	-9.08%	0.0640	✓	-0.72
2026-10-11	oos	0.092361	0.091278	-1.17%	0.097059	+5.09%	0.0412	✗	-0.86
2026-10-10	oos	0.092402	0.090603	-1.95%	0.092361	-0.04%	0.0277	✗	-0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.086635	0.085483	-1.33%	0.092402	+6.66%	0.0819	✗	-0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.073139	0.072503	-0.87%	0.086635	+18.45%	0.1874	✗	-0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.07128	0.07065	-0.88%	0.073139	+2.61%	0.0166	✗	-0.94
2026-10-06	oos	0.087975	0.085614	-2.68%	0.07128	-18.98%	0.2146	✓	-1.17
2026-10-05	oos	0.073941	0.073151	-1.07%	0.087975	+18.98%	0.1817	✗	-1.17
2026-10-04	oos	0.065278	0.064726	-0.85%	0.073941	+13.27%	0.1233	✗	-1.12
2026-10-03	oos	0.069035	0.068257	-1.13%	0.065278	-5.44%	0.0219	✓	-1.10
2026-10-02	oos	0.074028	0.072497	-2.07%	0.069035	-6.74%	0.0458	✓	-1.10
2026-10-01	oos	0.069846	0.068495	-1.93%	0.074028	+5.99%	0.0733	✗	-1.08
2026-09-30	oos	0.069306	0.067988	-1.90%	0.069846	+0.78%	0.0441	✗	-1.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.059839	0.058884	-1.60%	0.069306	+15.82%	0.1619	✗	-1.12
2026-09-28	oos	0.056407	0.055536	-1.54%	0.059839	+6.09%	0.0772	✗	-1.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.053595	0.052875	-1.34%	0.056407	+5.25%	0.0502	✗	-1.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.051578	0.050906	-1.30%	0.053595	+3.91%	0.0521	✗	-1.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.052128	0.05136	-1.47%	0.051578	-1.05%	0.0087	✓	-1.17
2026-09-24	oos	0.049949	0.049242	-1.41%	0.052128	+4.36%	0.0529	✗	-1.15
2026-09-23	oos	0.053106	0.052086	-1.92%	0.049949	-5.94%	0.0418	✓	-1.16
2026-09-22	oos	0.046809	0.046237	-1.22%	0.053106	+13.45%	0.1151	✗	-1.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.045872	0.045326	-1.19%	0.046809	+2.04%	0.0272	✗	-1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.044741	0.044491	-0.56%	0.045872	+2.53%	0.1121	✗	-1.26
2026-09-19	oos	0.047769	0.047308	-0.97%	0.044741	-6.34%	0.0570	✓	-1.27
2026-09-18	oos	0.05581	0.05522	-1.06%	0.047769	-14.41%	0.1393	✓	-1.26
2026-09-17	oos	0.054984	0.054601	-0.70%	0.05581	+1.50%	0.1026	✗	-1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.060022	0.059229	-1.32%	0.054984	-8.39%	0.0706	✓	-1.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.057324	0.056593	-1.28%	0.060022	+4.71%	0.0692	✗	-1.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.064413	0.062408	-3.11%	0.057324	-11.01%	0.1401	✓	-1.64
2026-09-13	oos	0.047068	0.047081	+0.03%	0.064413	+36.85%	0.3455	✓	-1.80
2026-09-12	oos	0.044869	0.044945	+0.17%	0.047068	+4.90%	0.0354	✓	-1.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04448	0.044583	+0.23%	0.044869	+0.87%	0.0077	✓	-1.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.045466	0.045581	+0.25%	0.04448	-2.17%	0.0088	✗	-1.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.047448	0.04753	+0.17%	0.045466	-4.18%	0.0869	✗	-1.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.046785	0.046897	+0.24%	0.047448	+1.42%	0.0077	✓	-1.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.046622	0.046742	+0.26%	0.046785	+0.35%	0.0145	✗	-1.89
2026-09-06	oos	0.042957	0.043044	+0.20%	0.046622	+8.53%	0.0507	✓	-1.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.044706	0.044722	+0.04%	0.042957	-3.91%	0.0285	✗	-1.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.045241	0.045178	-0.14%	0.044706	-1.18%	0.0069	✓	-1.86
2026-09-03	oos	0.04878	0.048607	-0.35%	0.045241	-7.25%	0.1108	✓	-1.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.072695	0.072458	-0.33%	0.04878	-32.90%	0.3268	✓	-1.38
2026-09-01	oos	0.070557	0.070327	-0.33%	0.072695	+3.03%	0.0315	✗	-1.38
2026-08-31	oos	0.068387	0.06814	-0.36%	0.070557	+3.17%	0.0142	✗	-1.38
2026-08-30	oos	0.068164	0.067885	-0.41%	0.068387	+0.33%	0.0233	✗	-1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.069214	0.068882	-0.48%	0.068164	-1.52%	0.0207	✓	-1.41
2026-08-28	oos	0.069928	0.06956	-0.53%	0.069214	-1.02%	0.0021	✓	-1.40
2026-08-27	oos	0.066045	0.065662	-0.58%	0.069928	+5.88%	0.0194	✗	-1.41
2026-08-26	oos	0.070614	0.070135	-0.68%	0.066045	-6.47%	0.0384	✓	-1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.069435	0.06891	-0.76%	0.070614	+1.70%	0.0332	✗	-1.38
2026-08-24	oos	0.068823	0.068265	-0.81%	0.069435	+0.89%	0.0090	✗	-1.39
2026-08-23	oos	0.069367	0.068695	-0.97%	0.068823	-0.78%	0.0240	✗	-1.39
2026-08-22	oos	0.070097	0.069281	-1.16%	0.069367	-1.04%	0.0133	✗	-1.38
2026-08-21	oos	0.067073	0.066273	-1.19%	0.070097	+4.51%	0.0334	✗	-1.38
2026-08-20	oos	0.064753	0.063819	-1.44%	0.067073	+3.58%	0.1767	✗	-1.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.067798	0.066449	-1.99%	0.064753	-4.49%	0.0731	✗	-1.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.068975	0.067381	-2.31%	0.067798	-1.71%	0.1780	✗	-2.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.070634	0.068487	-3.04%	0.068975	-2.35%	0.0150	✓	-2.48
2026-08-16	oos	0.067132	0.065258	-2.79%	0.070634	+5.22%	0.1493	✗	-2.72
2026-08-15	oos	0.062121	0.060504	-2.60%	0.067132	+8.07%	0.0961	✗	-2.70
2026-08-14	oos	0.065324	0.062545	-4.25%	0.062121	-4.90%	0.0049	✓	-2.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.056743	0.055205	-2.71%	0.065324	+15.12%	0.1497	✗	-2.62
2026-08-12	oos	0.055292	0.053719	-2.84%	0.056743	+2.62%	0.0553	✗	-2.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.054776	0.052709	-3.77%	0.055292	+0.94%	0.0429	✗	-2.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.046134	0.044619	-3.28%	0.054776	+18.73%	0.1901	✗	-2.52
2026-08-09	oos	0.039386	0.038717	-1.70%	0.046134	+17.13%	0.1414	✗	-2.33
2026-08-08	oos	0.036911	0.036273	-1.73%	0.039386	+6.70%	0.0802	✗	-2.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.035967	0.035257	-1.97%	0.036911	+2.62%	0.0465	✗	-2.31
2026-08-06	oos	0.030811	0.030308	-1.63%	0.035967	+16.74%	0.1949	✗	-2.45
2026-08-05	oos	0.02783	0.027609	-0.79%	0.030811	+10.71%	0.0973	✗	-2.39
2026-08-04	oos	0.025369	0.025191	-0.70%	0.02783	+9.70%	0.1208	✗	-2.47
2026-08-03	oos	0.027598	0.027393	-0.74%	0.025369	-8.08%	0.0546	✓	-2.42
2026-08-02	oos	0.029535	0.029261	-0.93%	0.027598	-6.56%	0.0598	✓	-2.44
2026-08-01	oos	0.027282	0.027089	-0.71%	0.029535	+8.26%	0.1162	✗	-2.55
2026-07-31	oos	0.039226	0.038101	-2.87%	0.027282	-30.45%	0.3366	✓	-2.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.034526	0.033663	-2.50%	0.039226	+13.61%	0.0786	✗	-2.50
2026-07-29	oos	0.026065	0.025873	-0.74%	0.034526	+32.46%	0.3259	✗	-2.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.027298	0.027009	-1.06%	0.026065	-4.52%	0.0333	✓	-2.92
2026-07-27	oos	0.024081	0.023921	-0.67%	0.027298	+13.36%	0.1391	✗	-2.92
2026-07-26	oos	0.022534	0.022414	-0.53%	0.024081	+6.87%	0.0036	✓	-2.95
2026-07-25	oos	0.020987	0.020883	-0.50%	0.022534	+7.37%	0.0600	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.02708	0.026741	-1.25%	0.020987	-22.50%	0.2456	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.023588	0.023403	-0.78%	0.02708	+14.81%	0.1609	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.021176	0.021057	-0.56%	0.023588	+11.39%	0.1293	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.019997	0.01989	-0.53%	0.021176	+5.90%	0.0691	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.02103	0.020896	-0.64%	0.019997	-4.91%	0.0638	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.018488	0.018386	-0.55%	0.02103	+13.75%	0.1262	✗	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.018888	0.018781	-0.56%	0.018488	-2.12%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.018668	0.018565	-0.55%	0.018888	+1.18%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.018416	0.018315	-0.55%	0.018668	+1.37%	0.0171	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.018352	0.018249	-0.56%	0.018416	+0.35%	0.0238	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.016452	0.016342	-0.67%	0.018352	+11.55%	0.1202	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.019108	0.019016	-0.48%	0.016452	-13.90%	0.1877	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.017007	0.01688	-0.75%	0.019108	+12.35%	0.1474	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.015945	0.015728	-1.36%	0.017007	+6.66%	0.0787	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.019616	0.019515	-0.51%	0.015945	-18.71%	0.1965	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.021747	0.021654	-0.43%	0.019616	-9.80%	0.1139	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.022573	0.022462	-0.49%	0.021747	-3.66%	0.0473	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.020944	0.020851	-0.44%	0.022573	+7.78%	0.0966	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.02124	0.021142	-0.46%	0.020944	-1.39%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.023265	0.023131	-0.58%	0.02124	-8.70%	0.0918	✓	1.00