CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +30d
assessed
80
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
13.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7456
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0968
actual +0.6173
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.069027 | 0.064491 | -6.57% | – | pending | – | – | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06897 | 0.064746 | -6.12% | – | pending | – | – | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.06454 | -6.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.062777 | -6.15% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.065999 | -6.35% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.06909 | -6.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.06788 | -6.69% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.073087 | -6.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.068475 | -7.16% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.08164 | -7.49% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.087481 | -9.87% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.084945 | -8.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.083653 | -9.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.079379 | -8.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.067362 | -7.90% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.065626 | -7.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.07892 | -10.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.06803 | -7.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.059825 | -8.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.062565 | -9.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.065962 | -10.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.061862 | -11.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.061101 | -11.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.052215 | -12.74% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.048853 | -13.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.04631 | -13.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.044363 | -13.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.044536 | -14.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.0427 | -14.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.044937 | -15.38% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.040207 | -14.10% | 0.069027 | +47.46% | 0.5149 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.039232 | -14.48% | 0.06897 | +50.35% | 0.5311 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.039763 | -11.13% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5746 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.041987 | -12.11% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4751 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.048912 | -12.36% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3828 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.049693 | -9.62% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.4867 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.053583 | -10.73% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.4010 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.051517 | -10.13% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5379 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.055557 | -13.75% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3528 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.04347 | -7.64% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8503 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.041608 | -7.27% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9482 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.041404 | -6.92% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9468 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.042502 | -6.52% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9200 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.044352 | -6.52% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7692 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.044102 | -5.73% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.5821 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.0443 | -4.98% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.5732 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.040743 | -5.15% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.8867 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.042372 | -5.22% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.6898 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.043054 | -4.84% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.5694 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.046322 | -5.04% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.4819 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.069924 | -3.81% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.1799 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.067747 | -3.98% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.1571 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.065408 | -4.36% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.1432 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.064908 | -4.78% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0213 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.065537 | -5.31% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0592 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.066031 | -5.57% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0940 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.062032 | -6.08% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.1134 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.065973 | -6.57% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.1497 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.06449 | -7.12% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.1561 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.063793 | -7.31% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.0914 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.063776 | -8.06% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1658 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.063831 | -8.94% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.1688 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.06113 | -8.86% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.2629 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.057594 | -11.05% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0058 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.058444 | -13.80% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.2470 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.057957 | -15.97% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.3604 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.058285 | -17.48% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.4426 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.055681 | -17.06% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.5315 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.051943 | -16.38% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.7971 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.052972 | -18.91% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.4181 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.047618 | -16.08% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.4569 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.046411 | -16.06% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.4724 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.045302 | -17.30% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.4914 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.038816 | -15.86% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.7109 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.034588 | -12.18% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.7459 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.032565 | -11.77% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.8166 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.031648 | -12.01% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.7996 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.027578 | -10.49% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 1.0154 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.02544 | -8.59% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.0774 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.023132 | -8.82% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3348 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.025154 | -8.86% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5391 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.026729 | -9.50% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.4532 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.024862 | -8.87% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.5853 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.033259 | -15.21% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.2786 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.029866 | -13.50% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.3148 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024006 | -7.90% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6433 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.024868 | -8.90% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6444 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.022319 | -7.32% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.7823 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.02103 | -6.67% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7371 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.01957 | -6.75% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0518 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.02455 | -9.34% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8457 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.021861 | -7.32% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 0.9958 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.019819 | -6.41% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.018722 | -6.38% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1477 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.019598 | -6.81% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.1803 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017164 | -7.16% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.3909 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.017563 | -7.02% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.3967 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017372 | -6.94% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3685 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017139 | -6.93% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.2996 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017087 | -6.89% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3683 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015026 | -8.67% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3531 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.017884 | -6.41% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.1105 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.01544 | -9.21% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2696 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.013674 | -14.24% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.2139 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018362 | -6.39% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7519 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.020604 | -5.26% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5560 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021348 | -5.43% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4799 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.019759 | -5.66% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4295 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020113 | -5.31% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3154 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022055 | -5.20% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1327 | ✗ | 1.00 |