BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
30.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2888
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0503
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.9685 | -6.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9061 | -6.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8276 | -7.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.208 | -8.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.206 | -9.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.7824 | -7.55% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.6826 | -7.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.1553 | -9.45% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0047 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9115 | -8.47% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0640 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6262 | -7.05% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1917 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5284 | -5.99% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4282 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.4908 | -5.89% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4648 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4767 | -6.26% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2480 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3156 | -5.54% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3307 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2307 | -5.15% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6286 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1529 | -5.00% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5508 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1674 | -5.37% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3323 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1747 | -5.70% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2735 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.967381 | -6.78% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4545 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.2817 | -7.23% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1651 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.309 | -7.71% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0053 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.225 | -7.82% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0513 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.2703 | -8.53% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0043 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0369 | -7.35% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.2239 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1276 | -7.63% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1471 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.933891 | -6.76% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.1130 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.1872 | -9.74% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1610 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.890396 | -6.71% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4755 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.954305 | -8.05% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.3131 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.843955 | -6.00% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.5282 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.756769 | -5.49% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4282 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.691583 | -7.42% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.5283 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.566419 | -4.05% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5315 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.598657 | -5.01% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7482 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.666181 | -7.46% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2594 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.68801 | -8.29% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.3084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.650345 | -7.76% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1910 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.55826 | -4.18% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2584 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.666072 | -9.31% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0595 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.53178 | -3.37% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0543 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.500685 | -1.60% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1837 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.492053 | -1.60% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3830 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.456524 | +1.20% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5244 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.446065 | +1.90% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.4950 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.460209 | +2.03% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2475 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.459543 | +2.71% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.464754 | +2.78% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.469497 | +2.84% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.469052 | +3.22% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1239 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.495059 | +1.11% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.1055 | ✗ | 1.00 |