BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
38.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1143
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0169
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0731 | -1.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.012 | -1.53% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0406 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9363 | -1.53% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0738 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3559 | -2.45% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1839 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3595 | -3.23% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0350 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8895 | -1.99% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2528 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.789 | -1.52% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0634 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.3007 | -3.35% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2267 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0248 | -3.05% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1371 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7131 | -2.08% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2223 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5982 | -1.69% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0564 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5593 | -1.57% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0552 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5465 | -1.83% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0305 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3729 | -1.43% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1533 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2806 | -1.30% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0552 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1998 | -1.13% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0381 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2174 | -1.31% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0069 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2274 | -1.48% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0085 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.024 | -1.32% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2326 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3548 | -1.93% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2617 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3862 | -2.27% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0106 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.298 | -2.33% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1168 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3485 | -2.90% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0164 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0947 | -2.19% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2419 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1909 | -2.44% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0858 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.984315 | -1.72% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2163 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.262 | -4.06% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2237 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.93452 | -2.08% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3355 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0054 | -3.12% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0519 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.878879 | -2.11% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1875 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.783537 | -2.14% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1407 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.727383 | -2.63% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0312 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.584785 | -0.93% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.622849 | -1.17% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0581 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.705507 | -2.00% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1705 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.730595 | -2.61% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0174 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.687176 | -2.54% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0804 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.574865 | -1.33% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2378 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.706124 | -3.86% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.543278 | -1.28% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.3075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.505312 | -0.69% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0846 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.49584 | -0.84% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.451226 | +0.03% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1253 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.43851 | +0.17% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0304 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.451587 | +0.12% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.448492 | +0.24% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0213 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.453332 | +0.25% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0195 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.457615 | +0.23% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0139 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.455301 | +0.20% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0225 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.488436 | -0.24% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1221 | ✓ | 1.00 |