BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s9
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +30d
assessed
20
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
40.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.1115
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0693
actual +1.0422
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.795 | -14.70% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.7319 | -15.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.6524 | -15.97% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 1.9568 | -18.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 1.9428 | -20.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.6009 | -16.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.518 | -16.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 1.9043 | -20.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.7121 | -18.02% | – | pending | – | – | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.47 | -15.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.4013 | -13.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.3678 | -13.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.3509 | -14.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.2124 | -12.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.1407 | -12.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.0723 | -11.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.0812 | -12.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.0848 | -12.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.884921 | -14.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.1594 | -16.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.1783 | -16.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.1007 | -17.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.1365 | -18.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 0.937645 | -16.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.0191 | -16.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.849815 | -15.15% | – | pending | – | – | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.0653 | -19.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.812395 | -14.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.866401 | -16.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.781677 | -12.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.710046 | -11.32% | 2.1044 | +162.82% | 1.1325 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.628554 | -15.86% | 2.0432 | +173.50% | 1.1572 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.534361 | -9.48% | 1.9664 | +233.12% | 1.2955 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.557177 | -11.59% | 2.4152 | +283.24% | 1.4527 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.59633 | -17.16% | 2.4383 | +238.69% | 1.3444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.611572 | -18.48% | 1.9279 | +156.98% | 1.0802 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.582898 | -17.33% | 1.8166 | +157.66% | 1.0537 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.526798 | -9.58% | 2.3803 | +308.57% | 1.4657 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.59823 | -18.55% | 2.0884 | +184.34% | 1.1713 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.509021 | -7.50% | 1.7495 | +217.93% | 1.1783 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.488085 | -4.07% | 1.6258 | +219.53% | 1.1228 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.480501 | -3.91% | 1.5842 | +216.81% | 1.1130 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.452871 | +0.39% | 1.5753 | +249.20% | 1.1936 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.443038 | +1.21% | 1.3928 | +218.17% | 1.1049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.459784 | +1.94% | 1.2975 | +187.67% | 0.9859 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.461142 | +3.07% | 1.2135 | +171.23% | 0.9048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.466118 | +3.08% | 1.2336 | +172.81% | 0.9018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.471716 | +3.32% | 1.2458 | +172.87% | 0.8889 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.4759 | +4.73% | 1.0377 | +128.37% | 0.7376 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.490932 | +0.27% | 1.3815 | +182.17% | 0.9456 | ✓ | 1.00 |