XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s8

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

61.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1822

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0457

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.076002	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.075283	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.07336	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.073679	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.07525	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.078812	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.081248	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.07652	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.07918	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.076599	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.084042	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.08251	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.079772	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.078678	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.082464	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.085224	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.089468	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.090974	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.089502	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.087402	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.090208	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.0885	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.089285	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.091244	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.09781	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.101683	-8.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.103301	-9.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.101885	-8.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.087657	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.093935	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.095611	-2.43%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.1112	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.08669	-2.85%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.1356	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089261	-3.17%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1675	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.090446	-3.59%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1856	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.083691	-4.27%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1585	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.078453	-3.11%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0500	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.079092	-3.41%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0524	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.082066	-2.20%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0853	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.076071	-2.22%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0311	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.078894	-1.46%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0613	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082088	-0.48%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0421	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.083115	-1.16%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0677	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.08897	-0.24%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.1264	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.09676	-1.61%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.2084	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.092324	-0.66%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1357	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089943	+0.40%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.1059	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093161	+0.04%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.1016	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.094241	+1.12%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1145	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.098872	+2.49%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.1026	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083953	+0.81%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0527	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.083681	+1.26%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0263	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.085739	+2.23%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0016	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.085197	+1.32%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0015	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.088248	+1.59%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0119	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.086107	+1.82%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0878	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.093331	+3.46%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.1037	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.090068	+2.68%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1497	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.092067	+1.76%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0822	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.098383	+1.04%	0.09	-7.57%	0.1837	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101089	-0.54%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.1961	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.094294	+0.61%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1278	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.101535	-0.06%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.1787	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.0876	-1.43%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.0908	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.07857	-2.29%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0270	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.072854	-4.00%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0515	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.073187	-3.80%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1369	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.071534	-4.40%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1334	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.07295	-3.81%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1729	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.073283	-4.03%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.2299	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.072579	-3.68%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1913	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071165	-3.73%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1477	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.075249	-4.17%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1665	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.075516	-4.02%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.1360	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.074051	-3.34%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0073	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.073275	-3.69%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0651	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.072891	-3.78%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.1181	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.072136	-3.92%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0717	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.072215	-3.67%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0623	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.074625	-4.20%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0972	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.074352	-4.16%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1849	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.073302	-3.55%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1816	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.072609	-3.38%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1929	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071235	-3.15%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1522	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.076281	-2.27%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1508	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.075368	-2.31%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1710	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.081155	-2.87%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.2256	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.076841	-2.55%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1790	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.0835	-2.05%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1794	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.081429	-2.19%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.1118	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.082847	-2.13%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0676	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080269	-1.09%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0883	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.084402	-0.59%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0565	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.08366	+0.01%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0725	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084383	-0.78%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.1347	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079834	-0.70%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0507	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082183	-0.62%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0704	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084472	-0.85%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0978	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085443	-1.11%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.1017	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090545	-1.58%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.1338	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.091421	-1.91%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1603	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087249	-2.52%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1907	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.086712	-2.41%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0946	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.088581	-2.55%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.1217	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.089367	-2.70%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1710	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.092527	-3.01%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2378	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.088162	-3.01%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.2169	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.095569	-3.27%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2639	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.104882	-3.95%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3499	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.102489	-3.90%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2856	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.102258	-4.07%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2854	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.102229	-4.19%	0.076	-28.77%	0.3203	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.091743	-3.53%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2304	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.087833	-3.27%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2468	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.083915	-3.10%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.2140	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.100074	-4.60%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.3374	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.091934	-4.04%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1856	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.096219	-4.59%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2758	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.098264	-5.24%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2498	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.098723	-5.89%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2644	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.088342	-3.98%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.1103	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.085481	-3.74%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.1062	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.081854	-3.53%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0122	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.085482	-4.17%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0978	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.089629	-4.95%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0751	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.094349	-6.40%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1884	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.091328	-6.62%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1442	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.101223	-10.10%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1602	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.085785	-6.04%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0515	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.084344	-6.44%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1248	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.083943	-6.31%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1222	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.081361	-6.48%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1526	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.076936	-6.86%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1388	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.07173	-4.87%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2315	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.060441	-1.24%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3553	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.064624	-2.23%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3541	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.067676	-3.32%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3144	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.066904	-3.46%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.3893	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.063937	-2.39%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4630	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.065104	-2.83%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4352	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.078219	-7.32%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3235	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.084871	-9.62%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2617	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.079739	-7.50%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.2948	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.084501	-9.14%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3042	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.082329	-7.60%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3698	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.083269	-8.50%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5172	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.081366	-8.27%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4591	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.087087	-8.81%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4405	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.080446	-5.47%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.5699	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.083344	-5.40%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.5870	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.081626	-5.14%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5086	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.07748	-4.70%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.4738	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.08018	-4.89%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3440	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.07861	-4.37%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4079	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.084893	-5.36%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4004	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.08276	-5.09%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5092	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.078191	-4.24%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5343	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.080176	-4.27%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6163	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.080037	-4.26%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.3918	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.08277	-4.53%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3431	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.084724	-4.81%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3484	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.091349	-5.19%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3113	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.089036	-5.48%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.2730	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.090698	-5.57%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.1757	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.096449	-5.81%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0328	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.100822	-6.08%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0013	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.098981	-6.80%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0178	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.101609	-7.80%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0342	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.099349	-6.80%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0168	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.09457	-5.48%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0218	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.087848	-5.08%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2568	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.083857	-5.14%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.3835	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.084653	-5.63%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2236	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.085815	-5.28%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2033	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.086231	-5.34%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1098	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.086017	-5.68%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1006	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.087659	-5.79%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0538	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.090235	-6.10%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1074	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.09234	-6.16%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0272	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.094722	-5.94%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0221	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.093535	-6.61%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0763	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.093289	-6.76%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1288	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.094665	-6.32%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0868	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.0953	-6.34%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0980	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.094805	-7.60%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0771	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.096196	-8.03%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1277	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.094396	-9.10%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.2011	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.10048	-8.11%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.2047	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.117257	-7.96%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3440	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.126993	-9.81%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4375	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.11948	-8.83%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3741	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.121402	-9.40%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3617	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.125972	-10.02%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3828	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.111951	-9.90%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3373	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.122723	-10.22%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3382	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.117231	-10.06%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2549	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.111366	-9.57%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2101	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.112272	-9.97%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1874	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.116414	-10.66%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2372	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.107232	-10.71%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3075	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.10884	-10.53%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.3883	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.104889	-10.62%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4113	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.099156	-10.10%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3226	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.104434	-12.31%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3688	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.098022	-7.53%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2733	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.087861	-5.37%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1251	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.083698	-5.27%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0770	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.082001	-5.09%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0523	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.084074	-5.16%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0650	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.08486	-4.92%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0748	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.089302	-4.64%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0620	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.096448	-4.03%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0835	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.094057	-3.73%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0791	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.093455	-3.21%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0576	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.088069	-3.27%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0183	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.089852	-3.07%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0127	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.091963	-2.43%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0548	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.09653	-2.50%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0081	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.10579	-2.45%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0702	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.115513	-2.56%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.1740	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.119997	-3.07%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.0891	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.105329	-1.97%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2149	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.107412	-2.57%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2011	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.105504	-2.63%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1674	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.103613	-2.71%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2257	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.097234	-2.38%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2363	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.096558	-2.61%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2056	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.089035	-2.16%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2823	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.090759	-2.46%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2334	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.092264	-2.68%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2288	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.09577	-2.97%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2200	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.112644	-5.30%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1143	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.108804	-4.73%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1324	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.108754	-6.00%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1235	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.100665	-3.76%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0677	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.094966	-2.70%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0783	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.09822	-3.61%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.1007	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.089873	-1.99%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0416	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.092093	-2.65%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0119	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.098587	-4.65%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0630	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086258	-0.97%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0181	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.08605	-1.09%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0159	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.087828	-1.92%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0457	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.093515	-3.29%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0286	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.092064	-3.24%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0081	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.090837	-3.00%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0208	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.089801	-2.76%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0374	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.092731	-4.00%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0142	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.096308	-5.77%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0700	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.092311	-4.04%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1474	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.096573	-5.51%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1483	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.093201	-4.21%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0622	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.089669	-2.37%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1038	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081594	-0.01%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2027	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.080855	-0.24%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2398	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083096	-0.66%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.1790	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082381	-0.26%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.1918	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.083896	+0.11%	0.091	+8.59%	0.0984	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.083761	+0.01%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2025	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.081155	+2.86%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0366	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.09291	-2.05%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2124	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.092722	-2.50%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.3989	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.099851	-3.94%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3167	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.097922	-3.33%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4420	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.101831	-4.20%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3387	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.114699	-6.64%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4287	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.116732	-7.13%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4220	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.132453	-8.65%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3467	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.127172	-8.11%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3588	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.116962	-6.32%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.4754	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.111408	-6.06%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4391	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.120644	-6.55%	0.087	-32.61%	0.3949	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.116501	-6.35%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3713	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.115032	-6.36%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4490	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.117828	-6.49%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4060	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.112363	-6.83%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4385	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.125175	-6.45%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4532	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.12253	-6.75%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5290	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.132029	-5.96%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.4891	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.136727	-5.51%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4034	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.134739	-5.65%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4488	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.153155	-5.34%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.2938	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.151649	-6.22%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3102	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.141741	-7.54%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.2012	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.151389	-7.97%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0651	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.147899	-8.14%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0581	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.155076	-8.35%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0061	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.151844	-8.03%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0873	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.163639	-8.43%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0330	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.188996	-9.66%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0182	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.174341	-8.14%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0637	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.174788	-9.25%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1474	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.178726	-10.10%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.1871	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.174628	-10.72%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1496	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.156472	-8.50%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1094	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.148509	-7.87%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1502	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.151247	-7.66%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1401	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.145743	-7.87%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0284	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.143753	-7.49%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0520	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.142635	-6.84%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1382	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.132047	-5.51%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0990	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.126418	-5.09%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.126194	-5.12%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.123819	-4.68%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.122495	-4.60%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0191	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.12328	-4.66%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0183	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.13004	-5.08%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0183	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.124721	-4.94%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.11364	-4.74%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1045	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.119471	-4.61%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.0892	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.127293	-4.61%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0306	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.12931	-4.39%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1091	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.144372	-4.74%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0347	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.149022	-4.60%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.14194	-4.35%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1409	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.156655	-4.04%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0511	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.