XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s8

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +7d

assessed

308

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

60.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0997

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0201

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.078275	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.077167	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.07541	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.075765	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.077551	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.081233	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.083675	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.079071	-1.48%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0152	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.081346	-1.59%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0360	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.079203	-1.60%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0387	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.086546	-2.10%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0894	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.085305	-2.31%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0530	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.082673	-2.29%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0199	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.081778	-2.34%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0388	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.085386	-2.52%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0312	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.087647	-2.40%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0150	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.092196	-2.76%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0626	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.093638	-2.78%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0056	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.092732	-3.06%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0258	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.090502	-3.02%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0304	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.093269	-3.00%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0484	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.09201	-3.00%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0438	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.092816	-3.08%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0692	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.095038	-3.30%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0462	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.10195	-3.90%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.0979	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.106333	-4.60%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1125	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.108093	-5.70%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1554	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.10565	-4.69%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1038	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.088876	-1.25%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0825	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.094863	-1.57%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0587	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.096143	-1.89%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0798	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.08826	-1.09%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1235	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.090945	-1.34%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1458	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.092224	-1.70%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1584	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.086212	-1.38%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1000	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080701	-0.34%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0466	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.08141	-0.57%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0411	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083623	-0.35%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0066	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077798	+0.00%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0572	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080165	+0.13%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0674	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082813	+0.40%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0577	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084062	-0.03%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0428	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089339	+0.17%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0585	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.097573	-0.78%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1167	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.092694	-0.26%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0807	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089797	+0.24%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0685	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.092975	-0.16%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.0951	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093298	+0.10%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0711	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.096883	+0.43%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0422	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083234	-0.06%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0467	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082603	-0.04%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1502	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084169	+0.36%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0883	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.083998	-0.11%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0116	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.08672	-0.17%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0413	✗	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.08433	-0.28%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0655	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.090143	-0.07%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0499	✗	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.08742	-0.34%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0162	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.089736	-0.81%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0616	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.096099	-1.31%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1285	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.099242	-2.36%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1645	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.091874	-1.97%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0776	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.098788	-2.77%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1468	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.086843	-2.28%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0880	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078893	-1.89%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0677	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.074255	-2.16%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0759	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.074663	-1.86%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0249	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.073263	-2.09%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0182	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.074574	-1.67%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0635	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.074967	-1.82%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0143	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.074197	-1.54%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0260	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.072801	-1.51%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0337	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.07708	-1.84%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0423	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.077158	-1.93%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0272	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.075452	-1.51%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0398	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.074851	-1.62%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0584	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.074446	-1.73%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0709	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.073797	-1.71%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0408	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.073783	-1.58%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0300	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.076608	-1.65%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0368	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.076526	-1.36%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0172	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.075199	-1.05%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0134	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.074533	-0.82%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0298	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.07311	-0.60%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0130	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077433	-0.79%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0204	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.076651	-0.65%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0381	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.082594	-1.14%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0632	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.078258	-0.75%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0035	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.084464	-0.92%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0652	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.082516	-0.88%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0595	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.083839	-0.96%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.1030	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080747	-0.50%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0267	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.084448	-0.53%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0424	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083326	-0.39%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0611	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084467	-0.69%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0353	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.080006	-0.49%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0493	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082254	-0.54%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0227	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084669	-0.62%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0044	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085747	-0.76%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0844	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091038	-1.05%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0979	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092008	-1.28%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1267	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.088404	-1.22%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.1019	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.087691	-1.30%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1073	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.089627	-1.40%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.1040	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.090478	-1.49%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0545	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.093879	-1.59%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0976	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.089551	-1.48%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0341	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.097057	-1.76%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0802	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.10669	-2.30%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1341	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.104418	-2.09%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1652	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.104271	-2.18%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1538	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.104167	-2.37%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1648	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.093364	-1.83%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0191	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.089397	-1.54%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0387	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.085445	-1.33%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0344	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.102457	-2.33%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0156	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.094011	-1.87%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0414	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.098648	-2.18%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0129	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.100954	-2.65%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0034	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.101528	-3.21%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.1027	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.090185	-1.97%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0298	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.087137	-1.87%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0917	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.083321	-1.80%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3209	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.087313	-2.12%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1851	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.091897	-2.55%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1954	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.097383	-3.39%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1478	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.094388	-3.49%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1832	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.105561	-6.25%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0595	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.088057	-3.55%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0804	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.086632	-3.90%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0361	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.086369	-3.61%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0936	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.083747	-3.74%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1241	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.079064	-4.28%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2445	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.0733	-2.78%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.3060	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061288	+0.14%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5378	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065896	-0.31%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2344	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069338	-0.95%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1893	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.068737	-0.81%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2089	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065642	+0.22%	0.087	+32.82%	0.1998	✓	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.06702	+0.03%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1516	✓	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.082155	-2.66%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0811	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.089872	-4.29%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3278	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.083925	-2.64%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1249	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.089145	-4.15%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0770	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.086255	-3.19%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0091	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.087508	-3.84%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0194	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.085344	-3.78%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0174	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.091195	-4.51%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1263	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.083411	-1.98%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3383	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.086226	-2.13%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.1921	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.084326	-2.00%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2294	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.08	-1.60%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.1817	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.08276	-1.83%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1557	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.081313	-1.08%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1315	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.087797	-2.12%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1678	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.085572	-1.87%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0596	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.081003	-0.79%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1032	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.082974	-0.93%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0302	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.082806	-0.95%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0096	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.085593	-1.28%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0143	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.08764	-1.53%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0099	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.094293	-2.13%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0198	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.092355	-1.96%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0211	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.094023	-2.11%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0689	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.099892	-2.45%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0870	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.104435	-2.72%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1339	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.103036	-2.98%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1251	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.105969	-3.84%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1536	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.103268	-3.13%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0888	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.097612	-2.44%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0016	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.090752	-1.94%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0633	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.086831	-1.77%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1365	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.087955	-1.95%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1426	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.088858	-1.92%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1473	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.089273	-2.01%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1796	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.089296	-2.09%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1151	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.090959	-2.25%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0002	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.093738	-2.46%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0918	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.095792	-2.65%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1232	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.097953	-2.73%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0860	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.097134	-3.01%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0878	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.096952	-3.10%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0760	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.098033	-2.99%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0368	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.098659	-3.04%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0143	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.099087	-3.42%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0301	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.100741	-3.69%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0510	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.099885	-3.82%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0831	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.105447	-3.57%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0871	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.122439	-3.89%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2086	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.133575	-5.13%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3382	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.125653	-4.12%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2749	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.128014	-4.47%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2636	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.132746	-5.18%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2659	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.11894	-4.27%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.1963	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.129897	-4.98%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2223	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.123807	-5.02%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0482	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.117688	-4.44%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.1153	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.119037	-4.54%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0241	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.123521	-5.20%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0380	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.11409	-5.00%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0938	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.115687	-4.90%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0358	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.111634	-4.87%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0866	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.10508	-4.73%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0953	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.110881	-6.90%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0062	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.102256	-3.53%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1367	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.091039	-1.95%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2822	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.087057	-1.46%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2767	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.085331	-1.24%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2893	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.087336	-1.48%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2744	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.08793	-1.48%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2135	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.091936	-1.83%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.2991	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.09859	-1.90%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1388	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095997	-1.74%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0149	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.09501	-1.60%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0145	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.089833	-1.34%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0019	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.091437	-1.36%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0246	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093082	-1.24%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0457	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.097748	-1.26%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0187	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.106943	-1.39%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0633	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.116511	-1.72%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.1077	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.121049	-2.22%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1459	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.10602	-1.33%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0522	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.108533	-1.56%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1098	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.10658	-1.63%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1138	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.104742	-1.65%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0438	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.098136	-1.47%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0786	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.097543	-1.62%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1149	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.089919	-1.19%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1904	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.09195	-1.18%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0086	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.093534	-1.34%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0790	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.097175	-1.55%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0489	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.115492	-2.91%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0740	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.111007	-2.80%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0582	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.111638	-3.51%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1546	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.102366	-2.14%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1088	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.096322	-1.31%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0392	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.099959	-1.90%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0596	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.090799	-0.98%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0332	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.093246	-1.43%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1698	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.100577	-2.73%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0272	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086944	-0.18%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.1944	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086743	-0.30%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.0978	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.088913	-0.71%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1332	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.095359	-1.39%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0874	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.093912	-1.30%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0219	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.092615	-1.11%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0101	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.09159	-0.82%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0876	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.095196	-1.45%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0147	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.099619	-2.53%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0448	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.094851	-1.40%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0330	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.099787	-2.36%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0063	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.095845	-1.50%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0098	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.091898	+0.05%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0027	✓	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.083726	+2.61%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1109	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.083339	+2.82%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.1759	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.085746	+2.51%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2013	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.085014	+2.92%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1544	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.086648	+3.40%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1538	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.086704	+3.53%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1512	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.083425	+5.74%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0046	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.097147	+2.42%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0127	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.097003	+2.00%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0387	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.104679	+0.70%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0415	✓	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.10306	+1.74%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0115	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.107402	+1.04%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0497	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.120704	-1.75%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0570	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.123157	-2.02%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2670	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.13928	-3.95%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0876	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.133258	-3.72%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0482	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.122563	-1.83%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.0992	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.117347	-1.06%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1226	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.126304	-2.17%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1078	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.121871	-2.03%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1480	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.120332	-2.05%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1725	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.123133	-2.28%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1686	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.117998	-2.16%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1391	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.129984	-2.85%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0685	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.127372	-3.07%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.1124	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.136282	-2.93%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0969	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.140624	-2.82%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0275	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.138648	-2.91%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0317	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.157024	-2.95%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0424	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.156416	-3.27%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0887	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.1478	-3.59%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1361	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.158214	-3.82%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2599	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.154898	-3.79%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2245	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.162518	-3.95%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2484	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.158871	-3.77%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2285	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.171465	-4.05%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2069	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.198179	-5.27%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2410	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.181711	-4.26%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1072	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.183479	-4.74%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.0926	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.188481	-5.19%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1514	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.184106	-5.88%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1000	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.163487	-4.39%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0486	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.154729	-4.01%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.1017	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.157534	-3.83%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2252	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.151665	-4.13%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1496	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.149029	-4.10%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.2161	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.147541	-3.63%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2669	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.136009	-2.68%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3333	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.130056	-2.36%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2559	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.129704	-2.48%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2187	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.127381	-1.94%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2405	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.125963	-1.90%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2443	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.126807	-1.93%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2120	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.133738	-2.38%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1411	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.128474	-2.08%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.0932	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118076	-1.03%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1007	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.123623	-1.30%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0570	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.131207	-1.68%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0052	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.133143	-1.56%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0607	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.148367	-2.10%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1429	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.152673	-2.26%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0867	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.145512	-1.95%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0790	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.159756	-2.14%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2124	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.