SWM
Swarm · · gru_s8
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +30d
assessed
25
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
64.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3174
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1280
actual -0.1469
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.09181 | 0.084543 | -7.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.084132 | -8.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.084259 | -8.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.085933 | -8.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.085505 | -8.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.086239 | -9.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.080722 | -8.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.08157 | -9.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.092788 | -10.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.090362 | -10.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.089719 | -10.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.08927 | -10.79% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.088315 | -10.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.088314 | -10.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.086176 | -10.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.088097 | -10.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.07681 | -9.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.084036 | -9.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.082158 | -9.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.084554 | -9.74% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.085815 | -9.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.097166 | -10.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.112929 | -10.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.110016 | -10.94% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.137772 | -12.91% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.113615 | -11.17% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.094282 | -10.57% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.093002 | -10.58% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.092683 | -10.78% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.084556 | -10.82% | – | pending | – | – | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.092639 | -9.92% | 0.09181 | -10.73% | 0.1003 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.100592 | -11.08% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.0491 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.105762 | -11.06% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1242 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.106097 | -11.29% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.0955 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.11368 | -12.09% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.2581 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.122678 | -12.65% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.3232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.113259 | -12.75% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.135499 | -12.99% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.4530 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.13524 | -13.65% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.3453 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.156979 | -15.40% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.4976 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.16343 | -16.66% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.5694 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.153557 | -17.40% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.5083 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.118267 | -13.48% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.2319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.117845 | -14.09% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.2146 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.101771 | -13.38% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.1061 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.090495 | -12.07% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0207 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.068515 | -11.00% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.1378 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.067346 | -10.97% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.2389 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.065884 | -10.11% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.2788 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.062571 | -10.77% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.3146 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.06251 | -10.42% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.3282 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.062835 | -9.54% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.4817 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.064561 | -9.63% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.6004 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.065343 | -8.81% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.5722 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.06828 | -8.51% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.7585 | ✗ | 1.00 |