SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s8
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +7d
assessed
91
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
39.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0228
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0144
actual -0.0007
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 760.9655 | -1.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 761.9007 | -1.24% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 757.4193 | -1.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 758.8018 | -1.16% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 752.2863 | -1.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 753.4682 | -1.16% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 762.1727 | -1.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 757.9864 | -1.31% | 771.235 | +0.42% | 0.0159 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 768.8201 | -1.25% | 771.485 | -0.91% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 767.6299 | -1.35% | 768.255 | -1.27% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 770.9014 | -1.29% | 767.73 | -1.70% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 769.5668 | -1.21% | 760.825 | -2.34% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 770.7064 | -1.07% | 762.325 | -2.14% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 766.3506 | -1.11% | 771.365 | -0.46% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 768.8366 | -1.15% | 768.04 | -1.26% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 772.7229 | -0.93% | 778.575 | -0.18% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 766.9012 | -1.06% | 778.155 | +0.40% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 764.4048 | -0.84% | 780.995 | +1.31% | 0.0251 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 763.1389 | -1.01% | 779.025 | +1.05% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 763.0302 | -0.88% | 779.035 | +1.20% | 0.0233 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 758.6396 | -0.85% | 774.915 | +1.28% | 0.0254 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 757.9174 | -1.04% | 777.815 | +1.56% | 0.0263 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 758.2621 | -1.02% | 779.94 | +1.81% | 0.0257 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 758.048 | -1.06% | 775.085 | +1.16% | 0.0192 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 761.9309 | -1.04% | 770.915 | +0.13% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 762.2889 | -1.05% | 770.925 | +0.08% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 763.645 | -1.07% | 769.8 | -0.27% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 758.5919 | -0.99% | 765.105 | -0.14% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 759.7215 | -1.04% | 765.845 | -0.24% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 765.9565 | -0.98% | 766.09 | -0.96% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 765.8234 | -1.02% | 766.2 | -0.97% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 751.5038 | -1.55% | 769.91 | +0.87% | 0.0204 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 744.5976 | -2.38% | 770.34 | +1.00% | 0.0303 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 746.8046 | -2.13% | 771.89 | +1.16% | 0.0293 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 758.9124 | -0.47% | 766.21 | +0.49% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 755.1138 | -0.38% | 767.7 | +1.28% | 0.0058 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 756.4097 | -0.29% | 773.525 | +1.97% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 759.0765 | -0.26% | 773.705 | +1.66% | 0.0083 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 758.7514 | -0.16% | 763.305 | +0.43% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 764.5343 | -0.07% | 762.725 | -0.30% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 766.9476 | +0.26% | 763.025 | -0.26% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 760.8267 | +0.39% | 762.5 | +0.61% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 766.7942 | +0.48% | 757.98 | -0.68% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 769.1902 | +0.45% | 758.605 | -0.93% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 774.7815 | +0.75% | 761.035 | -1.04% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 777.2561 | +0.95% | 760.005 | -1.29% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 780.6106 | +1.20% | 765.035 | -0.82% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 780.5067 | +1.38% | 764.985 | -0.63% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 785.0336 | +1.66% | 757.865 | -1.85% | 0.0296 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 775.3595 | +1.29% | 763.135 | -0.31% | 0.0170 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 772.2332 | +1.33% | 765.76 | +0.48% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 777.7135 | +1.31% | 769.03 | +0.18% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 773.873 | +0.96% | 769.955 | +0.45% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 779.3695 | +1.10% | 771.335 | +0.06% | 0.0119 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 778.9699 | +1.27% | 769.845 | +0.09% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 781.6969 | +1.56% | 772.18 | +0.32% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 777.9278 | +0.97% | 765.52 | -0.64% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 769.5465 | +0.57% | 762.065 | -0.40% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 767.7734 | +0.52% | 767.635 | +0.50% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 766.6823 | +0.09% | 766.5 | +0.06% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 763.3323 | -0.26% | 770.89 | +0.73% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 766.1437 | -0.08% | 769.17 | +0.32% | 0.0045 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 750.773 | -1.61% | 769.72 | +0.87% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 750.5658 | -2.56% | 770.475 | +0.02% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 742.3702 | -3.26% | 765.15 | -0.29% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 747.6875 | -3.32% | 763.8 | -1.23% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 750.2046 | -3.53% | 766.01 | -1.50% | 0.0325 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 749.2608 | -3.58% | 765.34 | -1.51% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 747.5256 | -3.74% | 766.75 | -1.27% | 0.0294 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 746.331 | -4.14% | 763.06 | -1.99% | 0.0129 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 741.849 | -4.02% | 770.3 | -0.34% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 739.7336 | -4.12% | 767.375 | -0.54% | 0.0322 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 739.9997 | -4.29% | 773.335 | +0.03% | 0.0419 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 739.7377 | -3.97% | 777.65 | +0.95% | 0.0582 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 741.5353 | -4.17% | 777.08 | +0.42% | 0.0545 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 741.0072 | -4.21% | 776.58 | +0.39% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 737.0343 | -4.26% | 778.54 | +1.13% | 0.0582 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 741.9334 | -3.89% | 772.95 | +0.13% | 0.0596 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 740.0605 | -4.34% | 771.53 | -0.27% | 0.0498 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 726.5905 | -4.28% | 773.14 | +1.86% | 0.0551 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 727.5486 | -3.05% | 770.34 | +2.65% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 718.4829 | -3.58% | 773.83 | +3.85% | 0.0406 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 719.4006 | -3.50% | 773.54 | +3.76% | 0.0402 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 722.3952 | -2.99% | 769.85 | +3.38% | 0.0707 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 710.2786 | -3.21% | 771.95 | +5.20% | 0.0723 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 721.3233 | -2.99% | 773.64 | +4.04% | 0.0668 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 720.2909 | -2.66% | 759.05 | +2.58% | 0.0560 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 728.3336 | -2.36% | 750.47 | +0.61% | 0.0585 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 723.9996 | -2.48% | 745.165 | +0.38% | 0.0529 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 721.9032 | -2.47% | 745.49 | +0.72% | 0.0520 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 723.366 | -2.24% | 744.68 | +0.64% | 0.0341 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 732.3941 | -2.02% | 733.825 | -1.83% | 0.0357 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 734.5825 | -1.96% | 743.59 | -0.76% | 0.0531 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 723.7973 | -2.62% | 739.94 | -0.45% | 0.0456 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 731.2228 | -2.06% | 745.955 | -0.09% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 730.1147 | -1.99% | 742.375 | -0.34% | 0.0244 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 728.4045 | -2.16% | 740.185 | -0.57% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 733.9265 | -2.23% | 739.95 | -1.43% | 0.0117 | ✓ | 1.00 |