SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s8
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +1d
assessed
97
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
52.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0068
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0048
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 768.4996 | -0.35% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 768.9518 | -0.33% | 771.235 | -0.03% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 765.1469 | -0.40% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0068 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 765.3666 | -0.31% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0040 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 758.6104 | -0.29% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0111 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 759.9372 | -0.31% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 768.8705 | -0.32% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 765.1671 | -0.37% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0074 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 775.836 | -0.35% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 775.1967 | -0.38% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 778.0986 | -0.37% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 776.4097 | -0.34% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0049 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 776.8142 | -0.29% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 772.6051 | -0.30% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0072 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 775.0525 | -0.36% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 777.523 | -0.31% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0032 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 772.0842 | -0.39% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 768.6372 | -0.30% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0093 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 768.4108 | -0.33% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 767.5787 | -0.29% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0040 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 762.9935 | -0.28% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0093 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 763.4354 | -0.31% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 763.7088 | -0.31% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 763.7218 | -0.32% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 767.4272 | -0.32% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 767.8533 | -0.32% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 769.3821 | -0.32% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 763.8332 | -0.31% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 765.2011 | -0.33% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 770.9201 | -0.34% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 770.7472 | -0.38% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0041 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 759.4917 | -0.50% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 754.4656 | -1.08% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 755.3343 | -1.01% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 761.0845 | -0.19% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 756.5894 | -0.18% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 757.3012 | -0.17% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 759.6821 | -0.18% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0021 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 758.7821 | -0.16% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 763.9418 | -0.14% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 764.4816 | -0.07% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 757.5264 | -0.04% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 762.8127 | -0.04% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 765.3216 | -0.06% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 768.9038 | -0.02% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 770.0635 | +0.01% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 771.8483 | +0.07% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0031 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 770.5646 | +0.09% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 773.1763 | +0.13% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0025 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 766.0957 | +0.08% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 762.5912 | +0.07% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 767.8582 | +0.03% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0064 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 766.0734 | -0.06% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0011 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 770.3705 | -0.07% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 768.8049 | -0.05% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0023 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 769.403 | -0.04% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0022 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 769.3463 | -0.15% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 763.3832 | -0.23% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 761.4434 | -0.31% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 762.6169 | -0.44% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 761.1506 | -0.55% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0056 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 762.3938 | -0.57% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 757.5499 | -0.72% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 764.4411 | -0.76% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 761.4953 | -0.77% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 767.3959 | -0.77% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 771.606 | -0.78% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 770.8516 | -0.80% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0095 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 769.7839 | -0.88% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0093 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 769.9105 | -1.11% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0104 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 764.8254 | -1.05% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0177 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 762.9212 | -1.12% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0135 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 763.5591 | -1.24% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 761.5242 | -1.14% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0190 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 763.9694 | -1.27% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 763.4281 | -1.31% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0135 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 759.8094 | -1.30% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 763.183 | -1.14% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0139 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 763.0386 | -1.37% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 749.0366 | -1.32% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0232 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 745.2343 | -0.70% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0189 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 738.1276 | -0.94% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 738.5207 | -0.93% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 738.4838 | -0.83% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 727.0947 | -0.92% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0111 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 737.5759 | -0.81% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 735.2112 | -0.64% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 741.7223 | -0.57% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 738.1382 | -0.57% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 736.0542 | -0.56% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 736.0831 | -0.52% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 743.7023 | -0.51% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0107 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 745.2261 | -0.54% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0096 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 737.1935 | -0.82% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 742.9184 | -0.50% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 741.397 | -0.47% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0088 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 740.655 | -0.51% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 746.5547 | -0.55% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.00 |