SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s8
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +30d
assessed
68
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
52.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0481
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0353
actual -0.0494
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 738.0584 | -4.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 741.1132 | -3.94% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 735.3775 | -4.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 735.8722 | -4.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 729.2825 | -4.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 731.2815 | -4.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 739.5189 | -4.13% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 734.2863 | -4.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 745.6245 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 742.5749 | -4.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 748.7748 | -4.13% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 748.2255 | -3.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 751.2183 | -3.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 746.1256 | -3.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 751.7353 | -3.35% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 759.6182 | -2.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 754.6092 | -2.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 752.3372 | -2.41% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 748.9017 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 750.6755 | -2.48% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 746.3356 | -2.45% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 742.5296 | -3.04% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 743.6604 | -2.93% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 743.403 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 748.8139 | -2.74% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 749.8521 | -2.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 751.5002 | -2.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 748.4431 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 749.8835 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 760.0992 | -1.74% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 762.2827 | -1.48% | 771.235 | -0.32% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 736.9814 | -3.45% | 771.485 | +1.07% | 0.0437 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 734.7004 | -3.67% | 768.255 | +0.73% | 0.0440 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 736.8121 | -3.44% | 767.73 | +0.62% | 0.0398 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 734.9768 | -3.61% | 760.825 | -0.22% | 0.0279 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 731.205 | -3.53% | 762.325 | +0.57% | 0.0346 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 730.6384 | -3.69% | 771.365 | +1.68% | 0.0456 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 738.1398 | -3.01% | 768.04 | +0.92% | 0.0352 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 734.9027 | -3.30% | 778.575 | +2.44% | 0.0494 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 742.2368 | -2.98% | 778.155 | +1.71% | 0.0414 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 747.7711 | -2.25% | 780.995 | +2.09% | 0.0352 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 742.1676 | -2.07% | 779.025 | +2.79% | 0.0403 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 752.0259 | -1.46% | 779.035 | +2.08% | 0.0302 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 755.0753 | -1.40% | 774.915 | +1.20% | 0.0220 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 762.7395 | -0.82% | 777.815 | +1.14% | 0.0147 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 767.5882 | -0.31% | 779.94 | +1.30% | 0.0100 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 773.8986 | +0.33% | 775.085 | +0.49% | 0.0052 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 775.9876 | +0.80% | 770.915 | +0.14% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 785.4792 | +1.72% | 770.925 | -0.16% | 0.0226 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 772.2811 | +0.88% | 769.8 | +0.56% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 771.5583 | +1.25% | 765.105 | +0.40% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 778.5929 | +1.43% | 765.845 | -0.23% | 0.0215 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 774.8093 | +1.08% | 766.09 | -0.05% | 0.0173 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 786.0726 | +1.97% | 766.2 | -0.61% | 0.0307 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 792.0843 | +2.98% | 769.91 | +0.10% | 0.0348 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 799.7756 | +3.90% | 770.34 | +0.08% | 0.0416 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 794.1455 | +3.07% | 771.89 | +0.18% | 0.0335 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 786.4851 | +2.79% | 766.21 | +0.14% | 0.0320 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 790.9587 | +3.56% | 767.7 | +0.51% | 0.0353 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 791.5588 | +3.34% | 773.525 | +0.98% | 0.0319 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 788.0491 | +2.97% | 773.705 | +1.09% | 0.0283 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 795.947 | +3.81% | 763.305 | -0.45% | 0.0449 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 759.1056 | -0.52% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 740.6405 | -3.85% | 763.025 | -0.94% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 716.4511 | -6.64% | 762.5 | -0.64% | 0.0281 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 720.4465 | -6.84% | 757.98 | -1.99% | 0.0160 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 718.1101 | -7.66% | 758.605 | -2.45% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 717.6386 | -7.65% | 761.035 | -2.06% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 716.0949 | -7.79% | 760.005 | -2.13% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 716.99 | -7.91% | 765.035 | -1.73% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 712.499 | -7.82% | 764.985 | -1.03% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 711.0161 | -7.84% | 757.865 | -1.77% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 712.792 | -7.81% | 763.135 | -1.29% | 0.0179 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 715.2889 | -7.15% | 765.76 | -0.59% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 717.6832 | -7.26% | 769.03 | -0.62% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 717.3381 | -7.27% | 769.955 | -0.46% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 711.5158 | -7.58% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 716.7868 | -7.15% | 769.845 | -0.27% | 0.1383 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 714.0355 | -7.70% | 772.18 | -0.19% | 0.1597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 699.7891 | -7.81% | 765.52 | +0.85% | 0.1075 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 699.1937 | -6.83% | 762.065 | +1.55% | 0.1118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 689.5624 | -7.46% | 767.635 | +3.02% | 0.1173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 690.8695 | -7.33% | 766.5 | +2.82% | 0.1082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 700.1023 | -5.99% | 770.89 | +3.52% | 0.0933 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 686.2058 | -6.49% | 769.17 | +4.82% | 0.0833 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 695.4657 | -6.47% | 769.72 | +3.51% | 0.1275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 692.4686 | -6.42% | 770.475 | +4.13% | 0.1089 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 703.9732 | -5.63% | 765.15 | +2.57% | 0.1005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 698.5552 | -5.90% | 763.8 | +2.89% | 0.1164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 696.1271 | -5.95% | 766.01 | +3.49% | 0.0974 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 702.0191 | -5.13% | 765.34 | +3.43% | 0.0830 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 715.8436 | -4.24% | 766.75 | +2.57% | 0.1012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 721.015 | -3.77% | 763.06 | +1.84% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 707.5744 | -4.81% | 770.3 | +3.63% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 710.3645 | -4.86% | 767.375 | +2.78% | 0.0772 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 710.0857 | -4.67% | 773.335 | +3.82% | 0.0903 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 706.5911 | -5.09% | 777.65 | +4.46% | 0.1125 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 712.34 | -5.11% | 777.08 | +3.52% | 0.0988 | ✗ | 1.00 |