SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 528

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

146

of 176 predictions shown

direction hit

71.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1795

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0295

actual -0.0395

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.011185	0.010823	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.011175	0.010864	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010495	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010694	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010765	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011319	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011386	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011576	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011413	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012257	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012399	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012353	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.01234	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012308	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.011821	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011757	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012113	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012235	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012298	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012152	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012194	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011753	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.011954	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.011899	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.012037	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.012978	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.012931	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.012628	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012249	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.011921	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.011991	-4.60%	0.011185	-11.01%	0.0472	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011652	-4.44%	0.011175	-8.35%	0.0122	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.010977	-5.05%	0.010772	-6.83%	0.0411	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011129	-5.46%	0.011014	-6.44%	0.0180	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011125	-5.68%	0.011069	-6.16%	0.0195	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010143	-5.66%	0.011685	+8.68%	0.0784	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010087	-5.51%	0.011774	+10.29%	0.0876	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.009955	-5.84%	0.012009	+13.59%	0.1059	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010064	-5.64%	0.011812	+10.75%	0.1196	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.00918	-5.86%	0.0128	+31.26%	0.2600	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010033	-7.05%	0.012991	+20.35%	0.2081	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.009944	-6.33%	0.012905	+21.57%	0.1878	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.009725	-5.67%	0.012919	+25.31%	0.2121	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010322	-5.58%	0.012907	+18.06%	0.1774	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.010591	-5.73%	0.012345	+9.88%	0.1181	✗	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.0104	-5.04%	0.01225	+11.86%	0.1182	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.01035	-3.79%	0.012594	+17.08%	0.1379	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010073	-2.93%	0.012734	+22.72%	0.1688	✗	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009626	-0.92%	0.012807	+31.81%	0.2118	✗	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009571	+0.48%	0.012649	+32.79%	0.2401	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008708	-0.86%	0.012734	+44.97%	0.2969	✗	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.008851	-0.95%	0.01223	+36.86%	0.2365	✗	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008838	+0.50%	0.012499	+42.13%	0.2920	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008731	+0.30%	0.012441	+42.92%	0.2882	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008511	+1.50%	0.012654	+50.89%	0.3362	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008368	+1.61%	0.013821	+67.83%	0.4258	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008435	+3.56%	0.013853	+70.08%	0.4476	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008386	+3.10%	0.013473	+65.65%	0.4141	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.008085	+3.06%	0.012913	+64.60%	0.3984	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.008058	+3.31%	0.012528	+60.62%	0.3772	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007993	+2.22%	0.012568	+60.74%	0.3508	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007889	+2.35%	0.012193	+58.19%	0.3205	✓	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007981	+3.16%	0.011562	+49.45%	0.3355	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007217	+0.01%	0.011772	+63.13%	0.3843	✓	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006794	-3.05%	0.011794	+68.30%	0.3928	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006261	-4.26%	0.010752	+64.42%	0.3712	✗	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006377	-4.45%	0.010675	+59.94%	0.3440	✗	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006316	-5.15%	0.010572	+58.75%	0.3214	✗	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006184	-5.09%	0.010665	+63.69%	0.3183	✗	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006079	-4.84%	0.009751	+52.67%	0.2638	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006195	-4.36%	0.010795	+66.65%	0.3444	✗	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006249	-4.32%	0.010615	+62.54%	0.3126	✗	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006387	-4.46%	0.01031	+54.23%	0.2725	✗	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006512	-3.96%	0.010932	+61.25%	0.2902	✗	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006614	-3.58%	0.011235	+63.78%	0.3174	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006624	-2.87%	0.010951	+60.57%	0.2827	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.006659	-2.58%	0.010757	+57.38%	0.2414	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006374	-2.17%	0.010377	+59.28%	0.2491	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006489	-2.21%	0.009716	+46.44%	0.1726	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006508	-1.84%	0.009525	+43.67%	0.1192	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006697	-1.23%	0.008784	+29.56%	0.0521	✗	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006701	-1.31%	0.008936	+31.61%	0.0686	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006655	-1.41%	0.008794	+30.28%	0.0276	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.00675	-1.60%	0.008705	+26.90%	0.0171	✗	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.006943	-1.59%	0.008386	+18.87%	0.0256	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006925	-1.35%	0.008235	+17.31%	0.0460	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007443	-2.26%	0.008145	+6.96%	0.1649	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007514	-2.67%	0.008134	+5.36%	0.1611	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008156	-2.78%	0.007845	-6.50%	0.2356	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008024	-3.32%	0.0078	-6.02%	0.2553	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.007956	-3.45%	0.007819	-5.11%	0.2292	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008152	-3.47%	0.007708	-8.73%	0.2415	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008322	-3.01%	0.007736	-9.84%	0.2585	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008397	-2.81%	0.007216	-16.48%	0.2532	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.00829	-3.21%	0.007008	-18.18%	0.2332	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008109	-3.52%	0.00654	-22.20%	0.2151	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008133	-3.12%	0.006674	-20.49%	0.1923	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008285	-2.87%	0.006659	-21.93%	0.2004	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008157	-2.84%	0.006515	-22.39%	0.2119	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.00841	-2.89%	0.006387	-26.24%	0.2458	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008436	-2.92%	0.006477	-25.46%	0.2381	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008284	-3.17%	0.006531	-23.66%	0.2581	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008313	-3.17%	0.006685	-22.13%	0.2142	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008478	-3.38%	0.00678	-22.74%	0.2260	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.00846	-3.42%	0.00686	-21.69%	0.2224	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008393	-3.20%	0.00682	-21.34%	0.2384	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008317	-3.23%	0.006835	-20.48%	0.2439	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008374	-3.63%	0.006515	-25.03%	0.2681	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008381	-3.00%	0.006635	-23.21%	0.2445	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008378	-3.04%	0.00663	-23.26%	0.2424	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.008436	-3.04%	0.00678	-22.07%	0.2255	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.00845	-2.99%	0.00679	-22.04%	0.2367	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008399	-3.07%	0.00675	-22.10%	0.2426	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008207	-2.76%	0.00686	-18.72%	0.2337	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.00795	-2.33%	0.007055	-13.33%	0.2350	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008329	-2.81%	0.00702	-18.09%	0.2393	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008089	-2.54%	0.007615	-8.25%	0.1397	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.0082	-2.44%	0.00772	-8.15%	0.1283	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008424	-2.50%	0.00839	-2.89%	0.0994	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008144	-2.12%	0.0083	-0.24%	0.0628	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008248	-1.86%	0.00824	-1.96%	0.0566	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008567	-2.15%	0.008445	-3.54%	0.0565	✓	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.00903	-2.90%	0.00858	-7.74%	0.0871	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.008879	-2.16%	0.00864	-4.79%	0.0820	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009268	-2.45%	0.008565	-9.84%	0.0952	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009112	-2.23%	0.008405	-9.82%	0.1007	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009077	-2.19%	0.008395	-9.54%	0.1098	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009274	-2.28%	0.00853	-10.12%	0.0744	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008724	-1.03%	0.008395	-4.76%	0.0057	✓	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008787	-1.10%	0.00866	-2.53%	0.0128	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008889	-1.24%	0.00869	-3.44%	0.0099	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.00855	-0.76%	0.008555	-0.70%	0.0390	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008535	-0.53%	0.008585	+0.06%	0.0023	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008528	-0.49%	0.008775	+2.39%	0.0248	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008302	+0.03%	0.00876	+5.54%	0.0062	✓	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008601	-0.05%	0.00867	+0.76%	0.0185	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009063	-0.73%	0.008595	-5.86%	0.0387	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008727	-0.38%	0.00869	-0.80%	0.0046	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008677	+0.20%	0.00864	-0.23%	0.0622	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008874	+0.27%	0.00864	-2.37%	0.0736	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009575	-0.88%	0.0087	-9.94%	0.0837	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010317	-2.11%	0.00871	-17.36%	0.1436	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010079	-2.24%	0.008665	-15.96%	0.0471	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010539	-4.27%	0.00844	-23.34%	0.0443	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011136	-6.42%	0.00814	-31.60%	0.0187	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011115	-4.47%	0.00857	-26.34%	0.0376	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011212	-4.45%	0.0083	-29.27%	0.0070	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011039	-4.25%	0.008405	-27.10%	0.0275	✓	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.011531	-4.62%	0.00864	-28.54%	0.0195	✓	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.011726	-4.82%	0.00832	-32.47%	0.0155	✓	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012232	-5.25%	0.008405	-34.90%	0.0264	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012091	-5.02%	0.008755	-31.23%	0.0210	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012403	-5.21%	0.0093	-28.93%	0.0198	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012141	-4.85%	0.009075	-28.88%	0.0354	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.012781	-5.40%	0.0095	-29.68%	0.0303	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012329	-4.83%	0.00932	-28.06%	0.0805	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.01221	-4.54%	0.00928	-27.44%	0.0748	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012463	-4.02%	0.00949	-26.92%	0.0953	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.012846	-4.17%	0.008815	-34.24%	0.2113	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013221	-4.20%	0.008885	-35.62%	0.2332	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014094	-4.51%	0.009	-39.02%	0.2635	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015196	-4.73%	0.008615	-45.99%	0.3377	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.014822	-4.92%	0.00858	-44.96%	0.3252	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.015663	-5.30%	0.00857	-48.19%	0.3670	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.015666	-4.79%	0.0083	-49.56%	0.3500	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.015727	-4.19%	0.008605	-47.58%	0.3159	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015402	-4.45%	0.00913	-43.36%	0.2769	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.01534	-4.48%	0.00876	-45.45%	0.3238	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015097	-4.21%	0.00866	-45.05%	0.2821	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.01551	-3.48%	0.00885	-44.93%	0.2726	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015404	-3.55%	0.00966	-39.51%	0.2291	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015323	-3.81%	0.01054	-33.84%	0.1535	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.014858	-4.08%	0.01031	-33.44%	0.2012	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015112	-3.86%	0.01101	-29.96%	0.2184	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015056	-3.74%	0.0119	-23.91%	0.1738	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.014995	-4.37%	0.011635	-25.80%	0.2199	✓	1.00