SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 525

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

168

of 175 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0606

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0115

actual -0.0125

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.01036	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.01068	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010925	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010986	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011578	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.011656	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011864	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011713	-0.84%	0.010474	-11.33%	0.1250	✓	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.01261	-1.48%	0.010772	-15.84%	0.1557	✓	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012798	-1.49%	0.011014	-15.22%	0.1512	✓	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012734	-1.33%	0.011069	-14.23%	0.1213	✓	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.012745	-1.34%	0.011685	-9.55%	0.0696	✓	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012723	-1.42%	0.011774	-8.78%	0.0657	✓	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.012235	-0.89%	0.012009	-2.73%	0.0236	✓	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.012125	-1.02%	0.011812	-3.58%	0.0068	✓	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012462	-1.05%	0.0128	+1.63%	0.0536	✗	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012584	-1.18%	0.012991	+2.01%	0.0761	✗	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012643	-1.28%	0.012905	+0.77%	0.0511	✗	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.012506	-1.13%	0.012919	+2.14%	0.0527	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012561	-1.36%	0.012907	+1.36%	0.0488	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.012094	-1.11%	0.012345	+0.94%	0.0557	✗	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.012331	-1.34%	0.01225	-1.99%	0.0034	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.01226	-1.45%	0.012594	+1.23%	0.0058	✓	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.012421	-1.84%	0.012734	+0.64%	0.0007	✓	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.013457	-2.63%	0.012807	-7.34%	0.0719	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013447	-2.93%	0.012649	-8.69%	0.0648	✓	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.013099	-2.77%	0.012734	-5.49%	0.0329	✓	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.012621	-2.26%	0.01223	-5.29%	0.0367	✓	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012252	-2.21%	0.012499	-0.24%	0.0293	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.012298	-2.15%	0.012441	-1.01%	0.0405	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011939	-2.09%	0.012654	+3.78%	0.0943	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011321	-2.08%	0.013821	+19.54%	0.1587	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011496	-2.35%	0.013853	+17.67%	0.1471	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.011499	-2.51%	0.013473	+14.23%	0.1178	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010541	-1.97%	0.012913	+20.10%	0.1041	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010463	-1.99%	0.012528	+17.36%	0.0788	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010339	-2.21%	0.012568	+18.88%	0.0659	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010423	-2.27%	0.012193	+14.33%	0.0592	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009561	-1.95%	0.011562	+18.56%	0.1393	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010481	-2.90%	0.011772	+9.06%	0.0715	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010347	-2.53%	0.011794	+11.11%	0.0889	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010089	-2.15%	0.010752	+4.29%	0.0659	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.010676	-2.35%	0.010675	-2.35%	0.0240	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.010946	-2.57%	0.010572	-5.90%	0.0026	✓	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010717	-2.14%	0.010665	-2.61%	0.0055	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010568	-1.75%	0.009751	-9.35%	0.0385	✓	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010241	-1.31%	0.010795	+4.02%	0.0827	✗	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009719	+0.03%	0.010615	+9.26%	0.1164	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.009604	+0.83%	0.01031	+8.24%	0.1263	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008796	+0.14%	0.010932	+24.46%	0.2057	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.008927	-0.10%	0.011235	+25.73%	0.2172	✗	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.00883	+0.41%	0.010951	+24.53%	0.2094	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008715	+0.11%	0.010757	+23.57%	0.1805	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008429	+0.52%	0.010377	+23.74%	0.1890	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008257	+0.27%	0.009716	+17.98%	0.1410	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.008225	+0.99%	0.009525	+16.94%	0.1349	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.00816	+0.33%	0.008784	+8.00%	0.0949	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.007883	+0.48%	0.008936	+13.91%	0.1395	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.007832	+0.41%	0.008794	+12.74%	0.1210	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007816	-0.04%	0.008705	+11.33%	0.1085	✗	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007678	-0.39%	0.008386	+8.80%	0.0732	✗	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.007732	-0.05%	0.008235	+6.45%	0.0692	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007139	-1.07%	0.008145	+12.87%	0.0385	✗	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006845	-2.33%	0.008134	+16.06%	0.0375	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006423	-1.79%	0.007845	+19.96%	0.0017	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.006548	-1.90%	0.0078	+16.86%	0.0338	✓	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006518	-2.12%	0.007819	+17.41%	0.0410	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006383	-2.03%	0.007708	+18.30%	0.0229	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006263	-1.94%	0.007736	+21.11%	0.0184	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006367	-1.71%	0.007216	+11.41%	0.0252	✓	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006417	-1.74%	0.007008	+7.30%	0.0100	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006557	-1.92%	0.00654	-2.18%	0.0225	✓	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006663	-1.72%	0.006674	-1.56%	0.0082	✓	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.00673	-1.89%	0.006659	-2.92%	0.0246	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006711	-1.60%	0.006515	-4.46%	0.0034	✓	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.00674	-1.38%	0.006387	-6.55%	0.0203	✓	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.006461	-0.83%	0.006477	-0.58%	0.0170	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.00657	-0.98%	0.006531	-1.57%	0.0146	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006601	-0.44%	0.006685	+0.83%	0.0216	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006766	-0.21%	0.00678	+0.00%	0.0057	✓	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006774	-0.23%	0.00686	+1.03%	0.0107	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006735	-0.22%	0.00682	+1.04%	0.0251	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006837	-0.33%	0.006835	-0.36%	0.0365	✓	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.007016	-0.55%	0.006515	-7.65%	0.0661	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006988	-0.45%	0.006635	-5.48%	0.0641	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.007549	-0.86%	0.00663	-12.93%	0.1334	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007637	-1.08%	0.00678	-12.18%	0.1150	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.00829	-1.19%	0.00679	-19.07%	0.1690	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.008185	-1.38%	0.00675	-18.67%	0.1662	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.008121	-1.45%	0.00686	-16.75%	0.1470	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008317	-1.52%	0.007055	-16.46%	0.1590	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008459	-1.41%	0.00702	-18.18%	0.1497	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008521	-1.38%	0.007615	-11.86%	0.0677	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008431	-1.56%	0.00772	-9.87%	0.0628	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008267	-1.64%	0.00839	-0.18%	0.0039	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008267	-1.52%	0.0083	-1.13%	0.0122	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008405	-1.46%	0.00824	-3.40%	0.0230	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.008284	-1.33%	0.008445	+0.60%	0.0021	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.00854	-1.39%	0.00858	-0.92%	0.0178	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.008565	-1.44%	0.00864	-0.58%	0.0162	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008431	-1.45%	0.008565	+0.12%	0.0358	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008455	-1.52%	0.008405	-2.10%	0.0226	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.008628	-1.67%	0.008395	-4.33%	0.0455	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008614	-1.66%	0.00853	-2.63%	0.0057	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.008533	-1.58%	0.008395	-3.17%	0.0270	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008454	-1.64%	0.00866	+0.76%	0.0204	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008509	-2.09%	0.00869	+0.00%	0.0088	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008511	-1.50%	0.008555	-0.98%	0.0371	✗	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008513	-1.47%	0.008585	-0.64%	0.0056	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.00857	-1.49%	0.008775	+0.86%	0.0110	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.00858	-1.50%	0.00876	+0.57%	0.0088	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008526	-1.60%	0.00867	+0.06%	0.0150	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008326	-1.35%	0.008595	+1.84%	0.0116	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008059	-0.99%	0.00869	+6.76%	0.0152	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.00845	-1.40%	0.00864	+0.82%	0.0480	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.0082	-1.21%	0.00864	+4.10%	0.0223	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008319	-1.02%	0.0087	+3.51%	0.0126	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008547	-1.08%	0.00871	+0.81%	0.0271	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008249	-0.85%	0.008665	+4.15%	0.0168	✗	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.008333	-0.86%	0.00844	+0.42%	0.0317	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008658	-1.11%	0.00814	-7.02%	0.0144	✗	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009143	-1.69%	0.00857	-7.85%	0.0021	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.008971	-1.15%	0.0083	-8.54%	0.0115	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009376	-1.30%	0.008405	-11.53%	0.0356	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.00921	-1.18%	0.00864	-7.30%	0.0044	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009175	-1.13%	0.00832	-10.34%	0.0431	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009377	-1.19%	0.008405	-11.43%	0.0504	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008783	-0.37%	0.008755	-0.68%	0.0500	✗	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008847	-0.43%	0.0093	+4.67%	0.0911	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008957	-0.48%	0.009075	+0.83%	0.0575	✗	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008607	-0.10%	0.0095	+10.27%	0.1024	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008605	+0.29%	0.00932	+8.62%	0.0810	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008603	+0.38%	0.00928	+8.28%	0.0879	✓	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008385	+1.03%	0.00949	+14.34%	0.0708	✓	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008683	+0.91%	0.008815	+2.44%	0.0537	✗	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009166	+0.40%	0.008885	-2.68%	0.0852	✗	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008834	+0.85%	0.009	+2.74%	0.0219	✗	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.00879	+1.51%	0.008615	-0.52%	0.0856	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008986	+1.53%	0.00858	-3.05%	0.0923	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009718	+0.60%	0.00857	-11.28%	0.1216	✗	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.01054	+0.00%	0.0083	-21.25%	0.1947	✗	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.010293	-0.16%	0.008605	-16.54%	0.0792	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010849	-1.46%	0.00913	-17.08%	0.0164	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011534	-3.07%	0.00876	-26.39%	0.0569	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.01151	-1.08%	0.00866	-25.57%	0.0034	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011614	-1.03%	0.00885	-24.58%	0.0019	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.01145	-0.69%	0.00966	-16.22%	0.0382	✗	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.011959	-1.08%	0.01054	-12.82%	0.0880	✗	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.012175	-1.18%	0.01031	-16.31%	0.0271	✗	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012705	-1.59%	0.01101	-14.72%	0.0252	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.012574	-1.22%	0.0119	-6.52%	0.0111	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.01291	-1.34%	0.011635	-11.08%	0.0473	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012645	-0.90%	0.011735	-8.03%	0.0342	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.013296	-1.58%	0.01153	-14.66%	0.0670	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.012844	-0.86%	0.01209	-6.68%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012727	-0.49%	0.01232	-3.67%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012941	-0.34%	0.01291	-0.58%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.013334	-0.53%	0.01273	-5.04%	0.0408	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013691	-0.79%	0.013085	-5.18%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014594	-1.12%	0.01276	-13.55%	0.0875	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015679	-1.70%	0.01351	-15.30%	0.1043	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.01536	-1.48%	0.012955	-16.90%	0.1471	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.016224	-1.91%	0.01279	-22.67%	0.1905	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.016172	-1.72%	0.012985	-21.09%	0.1592	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.016165	-1.52%	0.013405	-18.34%	0.1271	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015875	-1.52%	0.0138	-14.39%	0.1080	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015819	-1.50%	0.01476	-8.09%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.015553	-1.32%	0.01595	+1.21%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015877	-1.20%	0.01559	-2.99%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015785	-1.16%	0.01654	+3.57%	0.0520	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015732	-1.24%	0.016455	+3.30%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.015304	-1.20%	0.016415	+5.97%	0.0248	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.01553	-1.21%	0.01612	+2.54%	0.0125	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015456	-1.18%	0.01606	+2.69%	0.0136	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015456	-1.43%	0.01576	+0.51%	0.0279	✓	1.00