QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s8

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

92.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3396

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0226

actual -0.2564

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007425	0.007304	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007832	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008222	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008434	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008683	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008682	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.0088	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008634	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008829	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008863	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.00935	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009426	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009178	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.00917	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009156	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009777	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010033	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010843	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011097	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010661	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010091	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010175	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010533	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011023	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010632	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011008	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010167	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009982	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.01012	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.010079	+1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009885	+1.85%	0.007425	-23.49%	0.2566	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008518	-0.44%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0817	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008655	-0.64%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0294	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008633	-0.77%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0085	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008374	-3.08%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0074	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008389	-3.25%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0028	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008499	-3.80%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0055	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.00847	-2.75%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0102	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008666	-2.90%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0295	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009504	-3.17%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0882	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009794	-3.12%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0844	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010276	-3.42%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1190	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011075	-2.04%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.2025	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010996	-1.29%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1877	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012686	-1.16%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3449	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010983	+1.84%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1559	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011093	+2.15%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1451	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.010048	+3.22%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0265	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008613	+3.52%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2432	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007515	+0.40%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.3029	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008023	+0.91%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.1704	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008685	+1.58%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1337	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008997	+1.67%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.1266	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009179	+2.33%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.1671	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.00967	+2.44%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0542	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.011025	+4.80%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0146	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010457	+4.41%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0578	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011597	+4.19%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.1934	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.012062	+3.85%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.2181	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.012063	+3.10%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2592	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.012066	+2.43%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.2915	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012415	+3.72%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.3951	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.012003	-0.39%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3931	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011605	-3.61%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.3989	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011209	-6.43%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.3935	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.010928	-6.20%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3665	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.010836	-6.42%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3556	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010629	-5.94%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3762	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.010795	-6.13%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3525	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010832	-6.30%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2588	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010368	-5.66%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1780	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010503	-5.72%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1247	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011018	-5.83%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1190	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011277	-5.44%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1465	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011209	-5.41%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0033	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011244	-5.19%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1833	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011092	-5.35%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1637	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010908	-5.07%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2515	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011015	-5.24%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4341	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010755	-5.32%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4873	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.01164	-5.21%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.5056	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011594	-5.35%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4473	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.01112	-4.96%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3623	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011711	-4.36%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3831	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012661	-4.38%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.4135	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013365	-4.47%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3769	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013406	-4.24%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4198	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015037	-4.22%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3975	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014566	-4.29%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3281	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014148	-4.28%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2811	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016116	-4.58%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3850	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016233	-4.06%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3789	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016484	-3.63%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3544	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016707	-4.23%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3569	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016387	-4.23%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.3132	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017623	-4.35%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.4117	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017685	-4.71%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.4164	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.018889	-5.56%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.5088	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016571	-4.08%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3510	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018155	-5.10%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4379	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013087	-2.84%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1754	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016406	-4.20%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3875	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.027782	-11.10%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8646	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012998	-1.16%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0865	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013339	-1.42%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.1193	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012618	-0.73%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0603	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.01196	-0.12%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0202	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012631	-0.15%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0945	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.01283	-0.35%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.0985	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012337	+0.10%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0823	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.012073	+0.52%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0177	✓	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011162	+0.65%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.0950	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014447	-2.32%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.2175	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010274	+0.93%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.1949	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009231	+1.33%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3661	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010373	+1.40%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.3023	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009658	+1.56%	0.014	+47.21%	0.3729	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009854	+1.85%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4681	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009689	+1.89%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4542	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010587	+1.31%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3380	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011126	+1.14%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4220	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012183	+0.77%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3343	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012239	+0.77%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3440	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011836	+1.16%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.3904	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012671	+1.08%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.3029	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013483	+0.92%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3157	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012537	+1.27%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.3920	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.01226	+1.78%	0.02	+66.04%	0.4891	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.013054	+1.35%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2795	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013538	+1.03%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3455	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013875	+0.94%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0300	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014915	+0.43%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1381	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015534	+0.15%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.6989	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015473	+0.31%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1629	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016955	-0.53%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2257	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017815	-0.86%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3381	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017647	-0.92%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3877	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017785	-0.81%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3385	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019326	-1.45%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.4044	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019606	-1.82%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4649	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020548	-2.20%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5387	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.020959	-2.65%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6451	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021337	-3.23%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.4030	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021608	-3.68%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.8093	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020695	-3.61%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8685	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.021512	-3.79%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7903	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020339	-3.61%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.8035	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020792	-4.01%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.8139	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022029	-4.66%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9182	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021093	-4.64%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7626	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022038	-4.70%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7463	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021189	-4.51%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.6083	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.023302	-4.99%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6794	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.02376	-5.15%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7469	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.025596	-5.48%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7557	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.024611	-5.58%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6587	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.026367	-5.66%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.8025	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.02701	-5.73%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8534	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.026866	-5.52%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7793	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.026905	-5.25%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7463	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.02687	-4.48%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7273	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.027647	-5.09%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6655	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.02705	-4.38%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.5895	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027277	-3.65%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6093	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027157	-2.70%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.4994	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028341	-3.17%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4678	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028461	-3.26%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2323	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029282	-3.36%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2168	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029369	-2.17%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1155	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029639	-2.25%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1574	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.029942	-3.04%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1336	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029356	-3.37%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1458	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030768	-2.73%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2348	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031159	-2.57%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2671	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032287	-3.33%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3742	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033427	-4.06%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3701	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033036	-3.63%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.4109	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034054	-3.28%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.4123	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034137	-2.24%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3535	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.03506	-2.76%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4554	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034711	-2.72%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3998	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036544	-1.68%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4778	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035405	-1.32%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.3312	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033965	-2.24%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.3200	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.03317	-2.09%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.2239	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034043	-3.67%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.3061	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034766	-1.46%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.2340	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.