QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s8

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

68.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1529

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0067

actual -0.0675

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007425	0.007405	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007964	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008391	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008596	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008862	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008861	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008971	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008802	-0.76%	0.007425	-16.29%	0.1907	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008952	-0.75%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.1106	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.00905	-0.87%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0682	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.00954	-0.89%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0764	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009637	-1.00%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0535	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009365	-0.69%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0308	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009355	-0.54%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0383	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009305	-0.37%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0273	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009893	-0.38%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0638	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010161	-0.53%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0622	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010975	-0.77%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.1003	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011296	-1.30%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1279	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010832	-1.13%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1161	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010201	-0.67%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0442	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010318	-0.98%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0962	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010652	-1.14%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0887	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011214	-1.29%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1209	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010737	-0.77%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0075	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011111	-1.01%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0261	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010217	-0.42%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0655	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009989	-0.21%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0229	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010104	-0.26%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0394	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009958	+0.18%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1077	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009738	+0.34%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.1902	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008542	-0.15%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.2001	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008693	-0.20%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2209	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008676	-0.27%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1335	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008558	-0.95%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0648	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008587	-0.95%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0725	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008726	-1.24%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0221	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008635	-0.86%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0303	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008847	-0.87%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0823	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009719	-0.98%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1523	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010011	-0.98%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1789	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010518	-1.15%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.1947	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011223	-0.72%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2363	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011089	-0.46%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.1984	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012709	-0.98%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3691	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010867	+0.76%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1573	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010937	+0.71%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0796	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009849	+1.18%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0526	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.00845	+1.57%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.2892	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007515	+0.40%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.3979	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008	+0.63%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.3199	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008626	+0.89%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.3921	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008931	+0.92%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1641	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009067	+1.08%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1660	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009544	+1.11%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0032	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010713	+1.83%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2607	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010164	+1.48%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.2922	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011275	+1.30%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3401	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011745	+1.12%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.3140	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011788	+0.75%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2861	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011827	+0.40%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2861	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012048	+0.65%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2400	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011953	-0.81%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1921	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011789	-2.08%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2573	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011607	-3.11%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.1977	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011342	-2.65%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1409	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011293	-2.47%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1390	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.01107	-2.03%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.1031	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011253	-2.15%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1165	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011277	-2.45%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0480	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010829	-1.46%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0371	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010972	-1.51%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0747	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011479	-1.89%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0085	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011694	-1.94%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0125	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011627	-1.88%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0078	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011655	-1.73%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0065	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011533	-1.60%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0110	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011325	-1.43%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0178	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011458	-1.43%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0229	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011218	-1.25%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0377	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012098	-1.48%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0276	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012073	-1.45%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0400	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.01157	-1.11%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0043	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012088	-1.28%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0266	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.01306	-1.36%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1348	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013787	-1.45%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1725	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013815	-1.32%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1935	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015441	-1.65%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2141	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014975	-1.61%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1890	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014555	-1.52%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2090	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016574	-1.87%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.3006	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016632	-1.70%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2133	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016825	-1.64%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1664	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017108	-1.93%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1892	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016814	-1.73%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0734	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018061	-1.98%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1678	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.01813	-2.32%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.2056	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019346	-3.27%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1442	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016907	-2.13%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0103	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.01849	-3.35%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0906	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013312	-1.17%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2685	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016755	-2.16%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0229	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.028768	-7.94%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.4441	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013069	-0.62%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3509	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013428	-0.75%	0.02	+47.82%	0.3980	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012651	-0.46%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3130	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.01196	-0.12%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4698	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.01262	-0.24%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0647	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012828	-0.37%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.2890	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012299	-0.21%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9329	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011997	-0.11%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.0929	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011107	+0.15%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2000	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014518	-1.84%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1383	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010276	+0.95%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1682	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009228	+1.30%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3210	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010356	+1.24%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2206	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009657	+1.55%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2453	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009837	+1.67%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.2008	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009686	+1.85%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1365	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010588	+1.32%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3328	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011113	+1.03%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.0959	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012168	+0.64%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.3002	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012235	+0.74%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1901	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011805	+0.90%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2270	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012643	+0.86%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2750	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013469	+0.82%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3539	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012511	+1.06%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1821	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012203	+1.31%	0.011	-8.68%	0.1043	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.013038	+1.23%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0765	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013568	+1.25%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.1115	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013919	+1.26%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1737	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014994	+0.97%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1791	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015635	+0.81%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1569	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015606	+1.18%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2319	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017169	+0.72%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3545	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.018052	+0.46%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3359	✗	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017929	+0.67%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2899	✗	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.018112	+1.01%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2734	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019719	+0.56%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2818	✗	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.020015	+0.22%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2552	✗	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.021008	-0.01%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.3117	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.02146	-0.33%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2385	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021872	-0.81%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2224	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.0222	-1.05%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2575	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021299	-0.80%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2175	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022159	-0.90%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1634	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.021006	-0.44%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0806	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021532	-0.59%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0586	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022833	-1.18%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.1009	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021923	-0.89%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0146	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.02289	-1.02%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0314	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.022105	-0.38%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0391	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024269	-1.04%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0863	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024697	-1.41%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1683	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026564	-1.91%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2128	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025626	-1.68%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.1065	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027449	-1.79%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2148	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028092	-1.95%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.1961	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027905	-1.86%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2342	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.02788	-1.81%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1407	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027665	-1.65%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1104	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028608	-1.79%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0595	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027871	-1.48%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0737	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.02796	-1.24%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0086	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.02769	-0.79%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0271	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029002	-0.92%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0213	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029161	-0.88%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.030029	-0.89%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0787	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029879	-0.47%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030169	-0.50%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0591	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030638	-0.78%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.1022	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.030141	-0.79%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1222	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031432	-0.63%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0960	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031798	-0.57%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.1024	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.033063	-1.01%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1346	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034357	-1.39%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.2073	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033863	-1.22%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1689	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034796	-1.18%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1510	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034651	-0.77%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1301	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035657	-1.10%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1330	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.03528	-1.12%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.1081	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036854	-0.85%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0728	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035621	-0.72%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0097	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034369	-1.08%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033527	-1.04%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0294	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034703	-1.80%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034861	-1.19%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0087	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.