PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s8

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

64.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3720

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0447

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.096325	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.096346	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.09317	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.084085	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.086692	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.089473	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.092935	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.095294	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.099123	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.10278	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.104123	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.107946	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.10776	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.107667	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.106971	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.107627	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.109815	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.110862	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.11152	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.111418	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.111115	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.112366	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.110296	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.109628	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.108689	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.116211	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.116523	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.114662	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.112835	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.107888	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.11683	-3.30%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.1669	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.114662	-2.92%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.1548	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.109212	-5.44%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.1202	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.111569	-4.54%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2518	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.110473	-3.29%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.2058	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.104615	-3.93%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0876	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.1049	-4.03%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0471	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.104198	-3.01%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0094	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.110115	-2.81%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0410	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.107211	-3.07%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0413	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.113504	-3.30%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0095	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.111194	-2.89%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0601	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.107233	-2.21%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.0955	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.115819	-1.74%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0080	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.122823	-2.28%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0685	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.129694	-2.15%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.1132	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.126159	-1.15%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0711	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.125462	-0.53%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0519	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.123182	-0.59%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0333	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.129671	+0.43%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0896	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.134763	-1.31%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.1237	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.146793	-1.32%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1972	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.157231	-0.88%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2769	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.171639	-1.32%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3714	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.180232	-1.16%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.4299	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.184982	-1.17%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3934	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.202736	-0.01%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4870	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.203094	-0.43%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.5002	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.211833	-0.15%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5533	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.219764	-0.06%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6364	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.229668	-0.66%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.6154	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.227418	-0.86%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.6241	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.253997	+0.67%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7769	✗	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.248663	-3.17%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.7220	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.300443	-5.12%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9744	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.417701	-6.79%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4986	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.364586	-6.58%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3544	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.369846	-6.98%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.4120	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.3294	-7.10%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2719	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.326507	-6.91%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2718	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.281008	-6.39%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0714	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.302826	-6.48%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1898	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.308508	-6.55%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2326	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.285894	-6.19%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.1029	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.259094	-5.72%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9408	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.282905	-5.94%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9847	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.267369	-5.86%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9692	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.263268	-5.88%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9696	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.256479	-5.65%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9551	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.242631	-5.62%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8802	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.243279	-5.87%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7813	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.249348	-6.08%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.7266	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.228016	-5.73%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5973	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.231229	-6.05%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.5061	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.232956	-5.75%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4488	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.201388	-4.92%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2483	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.174206	-3.88%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0400	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.173611	-3.97%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0236	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.183565	-4.17%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0007	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.174211	-3.57%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1175	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.173636	-3.41%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1729	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.16722	-2.75%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2124	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.166706	-2.15%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3100	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.17304	-2.17%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3393	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.169926	-2.27%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.5855	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.168588	-2.14%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9776	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.169114	-2.08%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8399	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.16683	-1.93%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.8799	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.165927	-1.74%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7693	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.166642	-1.66%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7625	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.171988	-1.77%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5756	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.161792	-2.11%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6807	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.167296	-2.16%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6820	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.165747	-2.05%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6078	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.170179	-2.19%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4739	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.165755	-2.28%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5830	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.168199	-2.32%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5048	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.18461	-2.65%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4096	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.184839	-2.72%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.3821	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.16825	-2.46%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4214	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.178945	-2.81%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3653	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.174093	-2.84%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4147	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.163242	-2.81%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.3835	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.161162	-2.87%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4015	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.154642	-2.78%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4222	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.15844	-2.95%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2630	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.14999	-2.71%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1666	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.146894	-2.61%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.1929	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.140463	-2.53%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2905	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.140397	-2.62%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2348	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.134938	-2.71%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2629	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.13748	-3.07%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2138	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.134281	-3.15%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2289	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.13789	-3.25%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2343	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.139866	-3.40%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2133	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.1397	-3.28%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2042	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.145977	-3.43%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1591	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.151385	-3.85%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1191	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.157943	-4.14%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0742	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.176104	-4.40%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0331	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.181524	-4.54%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0335	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.186513	-4.81%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.1120	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.182261	-4.91%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0646	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.18818	-5.34%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.1071	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.167485	-4.72%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0328	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.170947	-5.02%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0107	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.178463	-5.51%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0345	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.168105	-5.56%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1205	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.164298	-5.27%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1420	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.165475	-5.40%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0389	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.176615	-6.20%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0410	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.193439	-6.71%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0779	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.18108	-7.04%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0726	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.183051	-7.48%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.1016	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.186867	-8.09%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1766	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.186682	-8.02%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1481	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.169175	-6.90%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.1129	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.165988	-7.02%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.1148	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.145444	-5.48%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0110	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.151136	-5.69%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0595	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.162502	-5.89%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1893	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.169015	-5.91%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.2012	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.180384	-5.88%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2840	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.178103	-5.68%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2452	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.186242	-5.65%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2909	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.189455	-5.52%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.3128	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.190119	-5.23%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2707	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.196701	-4.91%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2607	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.190477	-4.59%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1784	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.194946	-4.26%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0924	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.210085	-4.50%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1526	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.239231	-4.76%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.3211	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.241929	-5.17%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3463	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.242124	-5.03%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.3224	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.25983	-5.18%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5720	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.257792	-5.00%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5429	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.272956	-5.83%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.5083	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.266993	-5.93%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5405	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.258397	-5.83%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5549	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.25336	-5.27%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5342	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.2672	-5.79%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4810	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.250154	-5.78%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.3184	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.237026	-6.07%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.3009	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.246761	-6.05%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2850	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.237298	-6.14%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1950	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.260744	-7.08%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2672	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.289405	-7.74%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4796	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.323229	-8.85%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.6140	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.296214	-8.89%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6741	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.210306	-4.72%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2697	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.197811	-4.83%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1358	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.195659	-4.77%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0854	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.193815	-4.04%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0099	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.223397	-4.36%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1322	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.213996	-5.33%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0964	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.208049	-5.54%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0579	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.178694	-5.98%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0766	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.171375	-4.82%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1724	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.234013	-5.76%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1629	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.266881	-10.21%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.3090	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.172294	-4.69%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.1895	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.170524	-4.95%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.2984	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.167575	-4.64%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3573	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.172307	-6.96%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2630	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.1625	-5.75%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4108	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.152717	-5.59%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4561	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.158151	-6.30%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.4895	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.162786	-6.84%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4354	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.160677	-6.33%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4284	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.158882	-7.17%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3529	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.176723	-8.37%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3140	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.153365	-7.25%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3776	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.134511	-6.75%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4694	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.