PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s8

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

48.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1647

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0133

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.098398	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.098161	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.095117	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.086006	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.088831	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.091842	-0.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.095476	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.097885	-1.02%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0312	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.102014	-1.16%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0129	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.105725	-1.28%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0981	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.107371	-1.47%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.2161	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.111155	-1.51%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2271	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.111064	-1.55%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1902	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.111125	-1.65%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1478	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.110549	-1.69%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.1092	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.11098	-1.66%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0813	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.112723	-1.38%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0638	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.113715	-1.37%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0609	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.113958	-1.12%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0223	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.114542	-1.60%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0233	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.114316	-1.71%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0206	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.115594	-1.78%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0418	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.114054	-2.21%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0118	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.113424	-2.28%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0153	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.112618	-2.40%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0319	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.119757	-2.10%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0311	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.120053	-2.15%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0297	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.118202	-2.20%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0148	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.116247	-2.21%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0140	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.111262	-2.29%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0442	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.118939	-1.56%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0354	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.116394	-1.46%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0211	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.113034	-2.13%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.0960	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.114739	-1.82%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.0836	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.113126	-0.97%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.0826	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.108823	-0.07%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1430	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.109349	+0.05%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.0974	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.108201	+0.71%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.1782	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.113331	+0.03%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.0985	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.111114	+0.46%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.0682	✓	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.11737	-0.00%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0236	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.115044	+0.47%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0190	✓	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.111133	+1.34%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0217	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.118897	+0.87%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.1013	✗	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.126239	+0.43%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1795	✗	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.132763	+0.16%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1644	✗	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.128876	+0.98%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1728	✗	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.128023	+1.50%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.1017	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.125906	+1.61%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.1077	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.13121	+1.63%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.2055	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.138312	+1.29%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1565	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.150204	+0.97%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1747	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.159833	+0.76%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.1848	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.174597	+0.38%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.3043	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.182837	+0.27%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3662	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.187508	+0.18%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.4085	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.203873	+0.55%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4531	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.204616	+0.31%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.4111	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.212999	+0.40%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3638	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.220708	+0.37%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3320	✗	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.231432	+0.10%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.2858	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.229408	+0.00%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.2256	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.253779	+0.58%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.3064	✗	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.254145	-1.04%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1966	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.310533	-1.94%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4265	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.43342	-3.28%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.8948	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.379464	-2.77%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7283	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.385628	-3.02%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.7140	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.342862	-3.31%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5928	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.340244	-3.00%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.5071	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.293254	-2.31%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2742	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.315623	-2.53%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0947	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.321104	-2.73%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3142	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.297231	-2.47%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2629	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.26888	-2.15%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4272	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.293516	-2.41%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2229	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.277128	-2.43%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2678	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.273211	-2.32%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1084	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.265858	-2.20%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2174	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.25159	-2.14%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.2802	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.252276	-2.39%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.1818	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.25835	-2.69%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0394	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.236562	-2.19%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2050	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.23966	-2.63%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1361	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.240215	-2.82%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1598	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.207568	-2.00%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2600	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.179106	-1.18%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3588	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.17839	-1.33%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3738	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.187931	-1.89%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3682	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.178764	-1.05%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3158	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.17797	-1.00%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3359	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.170711	-0.71%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3733	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.169511	-0.51%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2434	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.175855	-0.58%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0546	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.172853	-0.58%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0593	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.171371	-0.52%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1052	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.171807	-0.52%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0559	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.169396	-0.43%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0574	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.168272	-0.35%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0049	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.168827	-0.37%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0049	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.174274	-0.46%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0029	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.164513	-0.46%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0218	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.169997	-0.58%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0029	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.168278	-0.55%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0169	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.172859	-0.65%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0142	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.168525	-0.65%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0024	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.171078	-0.65%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0274	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.187911	-0.91%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0811	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.188137	-0.98%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.1188	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.17106	-0.83%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0012	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.18215	-1.07%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0777	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.177448	-0.97%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0317	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.166467	-0.89%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0061	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.164523	-0.85%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0281	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.157962	-0.70%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1460	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.161809	-0.88%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1326	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.153186	-0.64%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.0974	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.14997	-0.57%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.1927	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.143495	-0.43%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2126	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.14366	-0.36%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1494	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.138086	-0.44%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.1919	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.140815	-0.72%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1398	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.137663	-0.71%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1875	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.14153	-0.69%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.1033	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.143674	-0.77%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0684	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.143576	-0.60%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0198	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.150203	-0.63%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0253	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.155907	-0.97%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.1016	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.162786	-1.20%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1258	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.181665	-1.38%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2621	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.187479	-1.40%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2651	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.192985	-1.51%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2865	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.188869	-1.46%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2679	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.195226	-1.80%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2531	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.174039	-1.00%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.1062	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.177912	-1.15%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0844	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.185978	-1.53%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0141	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.175623	-1.34%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0759	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.171977	-0.84%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1267	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.173596	-0.76%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.0964	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.185731	-1.36%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0678	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.20351	-1.85%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1487	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.191178	-1.85%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0579	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.193455	-2.23%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0264	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.197393	-2.91%	0.178	-12.45%	0.1137	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.197182	-2.84%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1415	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.17963	-1.15%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0442	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.17673	-1.00%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0501	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.156803	+1.91%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.2782	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.162536	+1.42%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.1743	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.173703	+0.59%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1198	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.180318	+0.38%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1143	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.191619	-0.02%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0530	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.189536	+0.38%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0457	✗	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.196889	-0.25%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.1090	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.199913	-0.30%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2705	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.200451	-0.08%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2263	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.206524	-0.17%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1781	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.199929	+0.15%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.1082	✗	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.203709	+0.05%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0651	✗	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.218535	-0.66%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1595	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.247594	-1.44%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2502	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.251026	-1.61%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2365	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.250842	-1.62%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2486	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.268816	-1.90%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.3003	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.266386	-1.83%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3269	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.283126	-2.32%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3480	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.277163	-2.35%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2391	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.268208	-2.25%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0579	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.262013	-2.04%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0418	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.276251	-2.60%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0831	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.259611	-2.21%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0678	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.246716	-2.23%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1240	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.256684	-2.28%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1377	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.247149	-2.24%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1546	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.272749	-2.80%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0293	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.30316	-3.36%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.0932	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.337836	-4.74%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1432	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.306717	-5.65%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1293	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.216675	-1.83%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1525	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.204083	-1.82%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2521	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.201815	-1.78%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2252	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.199044	-1.45%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3690	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.229123	-1.91%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3460	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.220898	-2.28%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4738	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.214753	-2.49%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.3951	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.185533	-2.38%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1100	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.176588	-1.92%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1381	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.239962	-3.37%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1599	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.276523	-6.97%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3548	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.177232	-1.96%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2320	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.17564	-2.10%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2235	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.172209	-2.00%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2271	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.179343	-3.16%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.1679	-2.62%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0342	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.157679	-2.52%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.3995	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.163906	-2.89%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5494	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.169139	-3.20%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.166384	-3.00%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0443	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.165544	-3.28%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.184735	-4.22%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0226	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.159794	-3.37%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0066	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.140143	-2.85%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0571	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.