NIULAI

? · · gru_s8

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +7d

assessed

48

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

68.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1794

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0331

actual -0.0428

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.060891	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.060897	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057324	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058236	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059213	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064301	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.066464	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.068758	-1.25%	0.06254	-10.18%	0.1156	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.072951	-2.25%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1517	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071436	-0.87%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.2109	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.077409	-2.35%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2473	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.078497	-1.97%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2516	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073949	-0.32%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.1109	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.073481	+0.52%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0941	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.072132	+0.62%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0054	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078134	-1.19%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0067	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076307	-0.64%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0080	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.081145	-1.46%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0207	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079744	-0.46%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0332	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.086443	-1.26%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1218	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.097006	-2.28%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2347	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.102102	-2.60%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3493	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.102306	-2.69%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2870	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.111734	-3.55%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4101	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.101084	-2.83%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2379	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.10264	-3.02%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2531	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.10113	-3.04%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1509	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.09765	-2.97%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0089	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.103871	-3.29%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0224	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.108483	-3.42%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0081	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.104077	-3.43%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1560	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.097469	-3.58%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0067	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.103684	-3.92%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0347	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.114155	-4.57%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1461	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.101874	-4.14%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1123	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.096535	-3.99%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.11374	-4.99%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1439	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.115854	-5.23%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1746	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.111046	-5.16%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1491	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.12655	-6.21%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2094	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.117953	-6.21%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0324	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.112791	-7.08%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.07571	-3.66%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.3114	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.09686	-5.16%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2490	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.078317	-4.08%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4570	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.086986	-4.43%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3423	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.112954	-6.31%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.2104	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.080776	-3.97%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4742	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.091712	-4.77%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3402	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.074903	-3.75%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.079986	-4.05%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2309	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.096899	-5.80%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1779	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.093625	-7.74%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.05486	-0.15%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7672	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055836	-0.40%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3865	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.