NIULAI
? · · gru_s8
- token id
- #227
- symbol
- NIULAI
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +30d
assessed
25
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
84.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3285
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1079
actual -0.2998
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.06254 | 0.05743 | -8.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0625 | 0.057422 | -8.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.05795 | 0.054038 | -6.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.058765 | 0.054771 | -6.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.059455 | 0.055595 | -6.49% | – | pending | – | – | 1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.065015 | 0.060136 | -7.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.06738 | 0.061965 | -8.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.06963 | 0.063965 | -8.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.06776 | -9.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07206 | 0.066156 | -8.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07927 | 0.071796 | -9.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.080075 | 0.072693 | -9.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07419 | 0.068139 | -8.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.067682 | -7.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.071685 | 0.066383 | -7.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.079075 | 0.072585 | -8.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0768 | 0.070822 | -7.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.08235 | 0.076074 | -7.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.08011 | 0.074314 | -7.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.08755 | 0.081198 | -7.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.09927 | 0.091933 | -7.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.104825 | 0.096605 | -7.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.10513 | 0.096844 | -7.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.115845 | 0.105677 | -8.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.10403 | 0.095894 | -7.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.10584 | 0.097399 | -7.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.104305 | 0.095891 | -8.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10064 | 0.092624 | -7.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10741 | 0.098764 | -8.05% | – | pending | – | – | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.112325 | 0.103723 | -7.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10777 | 0.09954 | -7.64% | 0.06254 | -41.97% | 0.4038 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.10109 | 0.091703 | -9.29% | 0.0625 | -38.17% | 0.4152 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.107915 | 0.097764 | -9.41% | 0.05795 | -46.30% | 0.5336 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11962 | 0.107504 | -10.13% | 0.058765 | -50.87% | 0.6239 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.10627 | 0.094725 | -10.86% | 0.059455 | -44.05% | 0.5296 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.10055 | 0.089412 | -11.08% | 0.065015 | -35.34% | 0.3866 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.11971 | 0.105203 | -12.12% | 0.06738 | -43.71% | 0.5285 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.12225 | 0.107552 | -12.02% | 0.06963 | -43.04% | 0.4772 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.11709 | 0.102575 | -12.40% | 0.07463 | -36.26% | 0.3969 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.134925 | 0.116219 | -13.86% | 0.07206 | -46.59% | 0.5343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.125765 | 0.108588 | -13.66% | 0.07927 | -36.97% | 0.3952 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.12138 | 0.104034 | -14.29% | 0.080075 | -34.03% | 0.3417 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.078585 | 0.070725 | -10.00% | 0.07419 | -5.59% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.102125 | 0.090503 | -11.38% | 0.0731 | -28.42% | 0.2541 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.08165 | 0.073266 | -10.27% | 0.071685 | -12.20% | 0.0733 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.09102 | 0.081679 | -10.26% | 0.079075 | -13.12% | 0.0951 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12056 | 0.105319 | -12.64% | 0.0768 | -36.30% | 0.3873 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.08412 | 0.076211 | -9.40% | 0.08235 | -2.10% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.09631 | 0.086614 | -10.07% | 0.08011 | -16.82% | 0.1200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.070524 | -9.38% | 0.08755 | +12.50% | 0.1272 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.08336 | 0.075378 | -9.58% | 0.09927 | +19.09% | 0.1834 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.10287 | 0.091006 | -11.53% | 0.104825 | +1.90% | 0.0797 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.10148 | 0.088698 | -12.60% | 0.10513 | +3.60% | 0.0959 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.05494 | 0.054813 | -0.23% | 0.115845 | +110.86% | 0.6837 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.05606 | 0.056035 | -0.04% | 0.10403 | +85.57% | 0.5370 | ✗ | 1.00 |