MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s8

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 402

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

120

of 134 predictions shown

direction hit

70.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3247

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0367

actual -0.1811

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000324	0.000307963	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003162	0.000302622	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000348938	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000341392	-4.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000400009	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000414368	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000431544	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000420275	-7.20%	0.000324	-28.46%	0.2854	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000416957	-8.10%	0.0003162	-30.31%	0.3063	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000514966	-8.02%	0.0003632	-35.13%	0.3472	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000610307	-8.43%	0.00035745	-46.37%	0.5361	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000638595	-9.16%	0.0004181	-40.53%	0.4034	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000311871	+0.60%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000317661	+0.21%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000319956	+0.24%	–	pending	–	–	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000393066	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000398213	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000393787	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000443082	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000485136	-1.64%	0.00031	-37.15%	0.1931	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000478373	-1.61%	0.000317	-34.80%	0.3141	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000462837	-1.50%	0.0003192	-32.07%	0.2562	✓	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000458496	-1.55%	0.0003977	-14.60%	0.1665	✓	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000490533	-2.15%	0.0004024	-19.73%	0.1835	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000525906	-3.02%	0.0003984	-26.54%	0.1636	✓	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000499542	-4.06%	0.000448	-13.96%	0.0108	✓	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000529358	-2.67%	0.0004932	-9.32%	0.0107	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000535357	-2.86%	0.0004862	-11.78%	0.0378	✗	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000496621	-2.47%	0.0004699	-7.72%	0.0429	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000488392	-2.36%	0.0004657	-6.90%	0.0145	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000488348	-2.21%	0.0005013	+0.38%	0.0179	✓	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000533246	-3.05%	0.0005423	-1.40%	0.0597	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000528995	-2.40%	0.0005207	-3.93%	0.0170	✓	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000491479	-1.47%	0.0005439	+9.04%	0.0276	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000501247	-1.72%	0.0005511	+8.06%	0.0018	✓	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.00049383	-1.53%	0.0005092	+1.54%	0.0678	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.00051123	-1.99%	0.0005002	-4.10%	0.0074	✓	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000524886	-2.40%	0.0004994	-7.14%	0.0522	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000492067	+0.34%	0.00055	+12.15%	0.0185	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000513689	-0.10%	0.000542	+5.41%	0.0393	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.00053284	-0.20%	0.0004988	-6.57%	0.0596	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000492886	+1.46%	0.00051	+4.98%	0.1403	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000568066	-0.34%	0.0005015	-12.02%	0.1832	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000582895	-1.24%	0.0005216	-11.62%	0.0506	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000609051	-1.75%	0.0005378	-13.24%	0.0321	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000619008	-1.82%	0.0004904	-22.22%	0.0670	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000609958	-1.79%	0.0005142	-17.21%	0.0569	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000655604	-1.40%	0.0005339	-19.70%	0.0565	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000627525	-0.12%	0.0004858	-22.68%	0.0074	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.00079476	-3.99%	0.00057	-31.14%	0.0848	✗	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000678742	-0.19%	0.0005902	-13.21%	0.1456	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000709627	-0.05%	0.0006199	-12.69%	0.2159	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000601811	+1.81%	0.0006305	+6.67%	0.1260	✗	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000655973	+1.23%	0.0006211	-4.15%	0.2670	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000600169	+1.62%	0.0006649	+12.58%	0.1507	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000694649	+0.70%	0.0006283	-8.92%	0.0903	✓	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000750798	-0.64%	0.0008278	+9.56%	0.1669	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000782943	-0.89%	0.00068	-13.92%	0.2411	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.00079437	-0.83%	0.00071	-11.36%	0.3218	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000811863	-0.99%	0.0005911	-27.91%	0.1857	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000685993	+0.88%	0.000648	-4.71%	0.3970	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000656231	+1.95%	0.0005906	-8.25%	0.1430	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000702388	+1.80%	0.0006898	-0.03%	0.1304	✓	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000752141	+1.64%	0.0007556	+2.11%	0.0004	✓	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000723383	+1.88%	0.00079	+11.27%	0.1226	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000829668	+2.43%	0.000801	-1.11%	0.0110	✓	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000912151	+2.49%	0.00082	-7.87%	0.1653	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001105	+1.36%	0.00068	-37.61%	0.4438	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001404	-0.46%	0.0006437	-54.35%	0.7735	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001361	-0.66%	0.00069	-49.64%	0.6187	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.00153	-1.29%	0.00074	-52.26%	0.7132	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001548	-1.39%	0.00071	-54.78%	0.8207	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001456	-0.98%	0.00081	-44.90%	0.6217	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001574	-1.60%	0.00089	-44.38%	0.5726	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001423	-1.18%	0.00109	-24.31%	0.3114	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001323	-1.25%	0.00141	+5.22%	0.1388	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001695	-3.68%	0.00137	-22.16%	0.0720	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001364	-3.26%	0.00155	+9.93%	0.1693	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001649	-4.15%	0.00157	-8.72%	0.0897	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.001948	-5.00%	0.00147	-28.29%	0.0899	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002257	-5.96%	0.0016	-33.33%	0.0839	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002339	-6.45%	0.00144	-42.40%	0.2570	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002175	-7.03%	0.00134	-42.74%	0.3723	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002522	-7.27%	0.00176	-35.29%	0.3411	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.002881	-7.06%	0.00141	-54.52%	0.5606	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.003854	-6.24%	0.00172	-58.15%	0.6860	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004296	-6.42%	0.00205	-55.34%	0.6689	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004712	-6.14%	0.0024	-52.19%	0.6983	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.005952	-6.86%	0.0025	-60.88%	0.8698	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006131	-7.52%	0.00234	-64.71%	0.8183	✓	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004532	-7.12%	0.00272	-44.26%	0.5083	✓	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.004761	-7.02%	0.0031	-39.45%	0.4665	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.006814	-6.65%	0.00411	-43.70%	0.5128	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.008845	-6.40%	0.00459	-51.43%	0.6741	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010197	-6.54%	0.00502	-53.99%	0.8216	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.012726	-7.25%	0.00639	-53.43%	0.7777	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.009697	-6.49%	0.00663	-36.07%	0.6264	✓	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012297	-6.56%	0.00488	-62.92%	1.1468	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.015499	-7.63%	0.00512	-69.49%	1.3043	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.014879	-7.07%	0.0073	-54.40%	0.9970	✓	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.018171	-8.74%	0.00945	-52.54%	0.9249	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.018739	-9.26%	0.01091	-47.17%	0.7717	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.01663	-7.40%	0.01372	-23.61%	0.3731	✓	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.020798	-8.86%	0.01037	-54.56%	0.6831	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.023729	-10.25%	0.01316	-50.23%	0.3478	✓	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.020578	-10.06%	0.01678	-26.66%	0.0832	✓	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.018364	-9.27%	0.01601	-20.90%	0.0226	✓	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.01853	-11.17%	0.01991	-4.55%	0.1799	✗	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.014869	-9.88%	0.02065	+25.15%	0.4616	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012011	-6.53%	0.01796	+39.77%	0.3843	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.011913	-7.00%	0.02282	+78.14%	0.5504	✗	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.012287	-7.55%	0.02644	+98.95%	0.5007	✗	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.010515	-6.11%	0.02288	+104.29%	0.6387	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.01403	-9.66%	0.02024	+30.33%	0.3346	✗	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.01115	-8.76%	0.02086	+70.70%	0.5852	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007795	-1.33%	0.0165	+108.86%	0.7371	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008744	-3.49%	0.01285	+41.83%	0.4363	✗	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.00952	-4.51%	0.01281	+28.49%	0.3514	✗	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009574	-4.26%	0.01329	+32.90%	0.3508	✗	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008241	-1.90%	0.0112	+33.33%	0.3230	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007461	-0.79%	0.01553	+106.52%	0.7549	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006774	-0.68%	0.01222	+79.18%	0.6274	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.00759	-0.91%	0.0079	+3.13%	0.0577	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.010735	-3.98%	0.00906	-18.96%	0.1616	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013124	-4.35%	0.00997	-27.33%	0.2011	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015044	-6.50%	0.01	-37.85%	0.2954	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.01188	-4.04%	0.0084	-32.15%	0.2527	✓	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010371	-3.44%	0.00752	-29.98%	0.2795	✓	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009577	-2.58%	0.00682	-30.62%	0.3027	✓	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010642	-3.17%	0.00766	-30.30%	0.3019	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011449	-3.63%	0.01118	-5.89%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009196	-2.06%	0.01372	+46.11%	0.3065	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009159	-2.15%	0.01609	+71.90%	0.4771	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.01124	-2.52%	0.01238	+7.37%	0.0648	✗	1.00