MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s8
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 402
Track record at +30d
assessed
92
of 134 predictions shown
direction hit
84.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.8688
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1585
actual -0.8731
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.000324 | 0.000273763 | -15.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003162 | 0.000272172 | -13.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.000311718 | -14.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000302694 | -15.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000352509 | -15.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000360797 | -17.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.00036979 | -19.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000351715 | -22.34% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000341837 | -24.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000423263 | -24.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.00050015 | -24.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000512593 | -27.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000310066 | +0.02% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.000316002 | -0.31% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000317391 | -0.57% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000389751 | -2.00% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.00039508 | -1.82% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000389811 | -2.16% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000436251 | -2.62% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000477261 | -3.23% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000470132 | -3.30% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000454801 | -3.21% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000450074 | -3.36% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000481145 | -4.02% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000516692 | -4.72% | – | pending | – | – | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000493084 | -5.30% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000517027 | -4.94% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000523527 | -5.00% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000484571 | -4.84% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000475161 | -5.01% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000469753 | -5.94% | – | pending | – | – | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000509889 | -7.29% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000501686 | -7.44% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000466349 | -6.51% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000473688 | -7.12% | – | pending | – | – | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000466295 | -7.02% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000479455 | -8.08% | – | pending | – | – | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000490731 | -8.75% | – | pending | – | – | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000459333 | -6.34% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000475415 | -7.54% | – | pending | – | – | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.00049056 | -8.12% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000456385 | -6.06% | – | pending | – | – | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000518639 | -9.01% | 0.00031 | -45.61% | 0.3693 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000524056 | -11.21% | 0.000317 | -46.29% | 0.2648 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000543888 | -12.26% | 0.0003192 | -48.51% | 0.2444 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.00054543 | -13.49% | 0.0003977 | -36.92% | 0.1013 | ✓ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.00053597 | -13.71% | 0.0004024 | -35.21% | 0.0658 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000574445 | -13.60% | 0.0003984 | -40.08% | 0.2262 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000551821 | -12.17% | 0.000448 | -28.70% | 0.0915 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000672936 | -18.71% | 0.0004932 | -40.42% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000592825 | -12.82% | 0.0004862 | -28.50% | 0.0882 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000621406 | -12.48% | 0.0004699 | -33.82% | 0.2149 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000530047 | -10.33% | 0.0004657 | -21.21% | 0.0612 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000575481 | -11.19% | 0.0005013 | -22.64% | 0.1472 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000525014 | -11.11% | 0.0005423 | -8.18% | 0.0819 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000601106 | -12.86% | 0.0005207 | -24.51% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000639572 | -15.36% | 0.0005439 | -28.02% | 0.1556 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000663474 | -16.02% | 0.0005511 | -30.24% | 0.1393 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000673133 | -15.96% | 0.0005092 | -36.43% | 0.0855 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000682111 | -16.82% | 0.0005002 | -39.00% | 0.2236 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000584221 | -14.09% | 0.0004994 | -26.56% | 0.2990 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000561299 | -12.80% | 0.00055 | -14.56% | 0.3939 | ✗ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000597719 | -13.37% | 0.000542 | -21.45% | 0.2196 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000636917 | -13.93% | 0.0004988 | -32.59% | 0.2446 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.00060684 | -14.53% | 0.00051 | -28.17% | 0.3214 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000704627 | -13.01% | 0.0005015 | -38.09% | 0.2101 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000772687 | -13.18% | 0.0005216 | -41.39% | 0.0592 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.000929652 | -14.71% | 0.0005378 | -50.66% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001165 | -17.38% | 0.0004904 | -65.22% | 0.2883 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001123 | -18.06% | 0.0005142 | -62.47% | 0.2441 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001253 | -19.17% | 0.0005339 | -65.55% | 0.3146 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001258 | -19.85% | 0.0004858 | -69.06% | 0.2210 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.001177 | -19.91% | 0.00057 | -61.22% | 0.0883 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001269 | -20.72% | 0.0005902 | -63.11% | 0.3618 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001131 | -21.44% | 0.0006199 | -56.95% | 0.2178 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001039 | -22.46% | 0.0006305 | -52.95% | 0.1969 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001362 | -22.60% | 0.0006211 | -64.71% | 0.3904 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001048 | -25.69% | 0.0006649 | -52.84% | 0.0764 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.0013 | -24.40% | 0.0006283 | -63.47% | 0.2168 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001574 | -23.20% | 0.0008278 | -59.62% | 0.3743 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.001875 | -21.87% | 0.00068 | -71.67% | 0.3840 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.00195 | -22.01% | 0.00071 | -71.60% | 0.3435 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.001791 | -23.46% | 0.0005911 | -74.74% | 0.5338 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002152 | -20.88% | 0.000648 | -76.18% | 0.5868 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002543 | -17.97% | 0.0005906 | -80.95% | 0.9977 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003562 | -13.33% | 0.0006898 | -83.22% | 1.2348 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.003967 | -13.57% | 0.0007556 | -83.54% | 1.4014 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.004342 | -13.50% | 0.00079 | -84.26% | 1.4819 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.005474 | -14.33% | 0.000801 | -87.46% | 1.6931 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.005534 | -16.52% | 0.00082 | -87.63% | 1.6735 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.003927 | -19.52% | 0.00068 | -86.07% | 1.5976 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.004096 | -20.01% | 0.0006437 | -87.43% | 1.6893 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.005983 | -18.04% | 0.00069 | -90.55% | 1.9414 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.00792 | -16.19% | 0.00074 | -92.17% | 2.1674 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.009249 | -15.22% | 0.00071 | -93.49% | 2.4966 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.011766 | -14.24% | 0.00081 | -94.10% | 2.5889 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.008696 | -16.14% | 0.00089 | -91.42% | 2.2818 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.011254 | -14.48% | 0.00109 | -91.72% | 2.4345 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.014474 | -13.74% | 0.00141 | -91.60% | 2.3669 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.013773 | -13.97% | 0.00137 | -91.44% | 2.3940 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.01718 | -13.71% | 0.00155 | -92.21% | 2.4586 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.017741 | -14.09% | 0.00157 | -92.40% | 2.5490 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.015488 | -13.77% | 0.00147 | -91.82% | 2.4053 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.019742 | -13.49% | 0.0016 | -92.99% | 2.5008 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.023045 | -12.84% | 0.00144 | -94.55% | 2.5993 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.019657 | -14.09% | 0.00134 | -94.14% | 2.6687 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.017376 | -14.15% | 0.00176 | -91.30% | 2.3885 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.017626 | -15.50% | 0.00141 | -93.24% | 2.5115 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.013904 | -15.73% | 0.00172 | -89.58% | 2.1990 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.011037 | -14.11% | 0.00205 | -84.05% | 1.8972 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.010956 | -14.47% | 0.0024 | -81.26% | 1.8224 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.011275 | -15.17% | 0.0025 | -81.19% | 1.8100 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.009561 | -14.63% | 0.00234 | -79.11% | 1.6284 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.012858 | -17.20% | 0.00272 | -82.49% | 1.6237 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.010226 | -16.32% | 0.0031 | -74.63% | 1.2789 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.007045 | -10.82% | 0.00411 | -47.97% | 0.6294 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.007905 | -12.75% | 0.00459 | -49.34% | 0.5976 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.008598 | -13.77% | 0.00502 | -49.65% | 0.5907 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.008642 | -13.58% | 0.00639 | -36.10% | 0.3917 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.007431 | -11.53% | 0.00663 | -21.07% | 0.2243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.006801 | -9.56% | 0.00488 | -35.11% | 0.3813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.006169 | -9.54% | 0.00512 | -24.93% | 0.2211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.006924 | -9.61% | 0.0073 | -4.70% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.009952 | -10.98% | 0.00945 | -15.47% | 0.0905 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.012629 | -7.95% | 0.01091 | -20.48% | 0.0866 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.014613 | -9.18% | 0.01372 | -14.73% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.011462 | -7.41% | 0.01037 | -16.24% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.009889 | -7.93% | 0.01316 | +22.53% | 0.3562 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.009125 | -7.17% | 0.01678 | +70.70% | 0.6799 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.010231 | -6.91% | 0.01601 | +45.68% | 0.5040 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.011118 | -6.41% | 0.01991 | +67.59% | 0.6490 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.008618 | -8.22% | 0.02065 | +119.91% | 0.9174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.008638 | -7.72% | 0.01796 | +91.88% | 0.7558 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.010945 | -5.08% | 0.02282 | +97.92% | 0.7775 | ✗ | 1.00 |