MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s8

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 402

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

132

of 134 predictions shown

direction hit

60.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1025

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0123

actual -0.0278

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000324	0.000319141	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003162	0.000312633	-1.13%	0.000324	+2.47%	0.0334	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000358724	-1.23%	0.0003162	-12.94%	0.1392	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000353086	-1.22%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0149	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000412118	-1.43%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1403	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.00042883	-1.61%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0330	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000449484	-1.92%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0293	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000442445	-2.31%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0428	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000442153	-2.55%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0172	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000545363	-2.59%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1654	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000648505	-2.70%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1635	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.00068185	-3.01%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.00031099	+0.32%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000317723	+0.23%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0541	✓	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.00031989	+0.22%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0297	✗	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000397219	-0.12%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0836	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000402009	-0.10%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0015	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000397688	-0.18%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0058	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000447585	-0.09%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1346	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000492028	-0.24%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0201	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000485201	-0.21%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0565	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000469091	-0.17%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0315	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000464799	-0.19%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0175	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000499516	-0.36%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0205	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.00053881	-0.64%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0073	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000514605	-1.17%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0448	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000540957	-0.54%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0249	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000548022	-0.56%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0050	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000506809	-0.47%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0471	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000497989	-0.44%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0365	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000496608	-0.56%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0126	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000545196	-0.87%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0846	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000537738	-0.79%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0919	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000496488	-0.46%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0266	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000507288	-0.53%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0203	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000499111	-0.48%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0193	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000517797	-0.73%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0202	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000532523	-0.98%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0317	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.00049002	-0.08%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0062	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000512845	-0.26%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0326	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000532294	-0.30%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0567	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000487032	+0.25%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0485	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000568382	-0.28%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0876	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000586319	-0.66%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1554	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000615011	-0.79%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0231	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000624563	-0.94%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0962	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000615528	-0.90%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0456	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000660276	-0.70%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1713	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000626949	-0.22%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0250	✗	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000808063	-2.38%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0103	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000677705	-0.34%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0437	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000708509	-0.21%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.0978	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000593221	+0.36%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1907	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000649175	+0.18%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1111	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000591787	+0.20%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2556	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000688205	-0.23%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0500	✓	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000749094	-0.86%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0846	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000782139	-1.00%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0237	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000793548	-0.93%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0190	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000810582	-1.15%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0635	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000677086	-0.43%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1340	✗	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000642978	-0.11%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0213	✗	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000688629	-0.20%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0615	✓	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000737728	-0.31%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0554	✓	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000706986	-0.42%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0960	✗	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000808163	-0.23%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1325	✓	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000887796	-0.25%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1220	✓	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001084	-0.59%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1550	✓	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001394	-1.15%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3205	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001352	-1.31%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.1028	✗	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001526	-1.56%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1432	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001544	-1.68%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0041	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001447	-1.60%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0842	✗	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001571	-1.80%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0656	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001414	-1.80%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1263	✗	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001314	-1.91%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1341	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.00172	-2.27%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1212	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001375	-2.50%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.1196	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001678	-2.46%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.0760	✓	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002	-2.46%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.0936	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.00234	-2.49%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0603	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002437	-2.51%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0460	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.00228	-2.56%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0154	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002657	-2.31%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1030	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003038	-2.00%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.0951	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004039	-1.72%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2015	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004505	-1.86%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.0884	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.00493	-1.80%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.0983	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006246	-2.26%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2260	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.00642	-3.17%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0686	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004776	-2.13%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2196	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.005018	-1.99%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0539	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007155	-1.99%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2554	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009259	-2.03%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2457	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010708	-1.85%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2430	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013401	-2.32%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1905	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010193	-1.71%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.1927	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012973	-1.42%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2848	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016498	-1.68%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2260	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015783	-1.41%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0629	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019531	-1.91%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1946	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020214	-2.11%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0839	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017709	-1.40%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2393	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022432	-1.70%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1617	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025811	-2.38%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0407	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022349	-2.32%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0490	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019814	-2.11%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1397	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020187	-3.23%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0004	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.015995	-3.06%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2289	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012619	-1.80%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1992	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012567	-1.89%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0067	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013002	-2.16%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0360	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.010995	-1.83%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2177	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015048	-3.10%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2787	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011822	-3.26%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2627	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007853	-0.60%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4580	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008938	-1.34%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009795	-1.76%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0856	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009835	-1.65%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0260	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008334	-0.79%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1857	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007504	-0.21%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1350	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.00682	-0.00%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.1032	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007647	-0.17%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1184	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011055	-1.12%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3388	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013566	-1.12%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1354	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015777	-1.94%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1401	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012237	-1.16%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2581	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.01064	-0.93%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1218	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009766	-0.66%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0954	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.01091	-0.72%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1182	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011771	-0.92%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0570	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009338	-0.56%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1949	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009311	-0.52%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0153	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011461	-0.60%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1637	✓	1.00